TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe160…b6b9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
176
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Lol, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 54 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFClast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT14442.4%61 W · 83 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 144 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Anthony Hernandez vs. Gregory Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Gregory Rodrigues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$68.11
Dana White's Contender Series: Kaik Brito vs. Namo Fazil (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Kaik Brito · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+226.9%+$172.57
Dana White's Contender Series: Logan Paxton vs. Cristian Perez (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Logan Paxton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Dana White's Contender Series: Alik Lorenz vs. Mahamed Aly (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alik Lorenz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+176.9%+$26.53
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Ian Machado Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
UFC Fight Night: Chase Hooper vs. Mitch Ramirez (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Mitch Ramirez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
UFC 329: Brandon Royval vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Brandon Royval · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$53.13
UFC 329: Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Nikita Krylov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC 329: Wang Cong vs. Tracy Cortez (Women's Flyweight, Early Prelims)backed Tracy Cortez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
UFC Fight Night: Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Rafael Fiziev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$38.43
UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Shara Magomedov (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Michel Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Abus Magomedov vs. Michal Oleksiejczuk (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Michal Oleksiejczuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
UFC Fight Night: Javier Reyes vs. Kaan Ofli (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Javier Reyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
UFC Fight Night: Theodor Berggren vs. Daniil Donchenko (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Theodor Berggren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
UFC Fight Night: Jean Matsumoto vs. Bekzat Almakhan (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Bekzat Almakhan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.95
UFC Fight Night: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Kyoji Horiguchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
UFC Fight Night: Ion Cutelaba vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Navajo Stirling · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$35.23
UFC Fight Night: Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Allan Nascimento · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
UFC Fight Night: Gaston Bolaños vs. Michael Aswell (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Michael Aswell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Ciryl Gane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Mauricio Ruffy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$26.58
UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Kyle Daukaus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Steve Garcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Edmen Shahbazyan (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Edmen Shahbazyan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 144 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$21.59
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$16.25
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs BIG Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #4 Group Dbacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+77.2%+$11.58
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffsbacked Betclic Apogee Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Lazer Cats vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stagebacked Lazer Cats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Change The Game vs Last Bullet (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group Bbacked Last Bullet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 7 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.