Boxing · resolved market
Zuffa Boxing 2: Bohachuk vs. Butaev (Middleweight, Main)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe720e0975501de4379b0f537fffe136aacff77032d8aafb5ac556203d87fa341
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bohachukof Bohachuk, Butaev
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,321
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,621
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,321 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Butaev | 36c | 711.47$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.97 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8240…edebbacked Bohachuk | 64c | 531.49$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5b…1ab3backed Bohachuk | 61c | 400$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa22e…fe32backed Butaev | 39c | 400$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf64…92bdbacked Bohachuk | 65c | 308.09$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f3…3426backed Butaev | 45c | 223.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Butaev | 35c | 119.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe160…b6b9backed Butaev | 46c | 87.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Bohachuk | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…9f9ebacked Butaev | 45c | 44.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bd…9dd5backed Bohachuk | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0506…8c6abacked Bohachuk | 50c | 27.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +6.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0d93…9ed1backed Bohachuk | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34ea…3955backed Bohachuk | 73c | 23.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9772…a7e0backed Bohachuk | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.