Boxing · resolved market
Zuffa Boxing 4: Palma vs. Jr. (Featherweight, Main)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x289dcc4922a4cbcc9b1f41af389b2c6f4e64d531b18c10eec487e8a4e22de748
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jr.of Palma, Jr.
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,653
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,653 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9b29…8373backed Jr. | 44c | 5,208$2,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,918.06 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Palma | 56c | 4,500$2,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,540 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Jr. | 12c | 1,832$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612.14 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 14cpaid | +123.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00ea…f34abacked Jr. | 41c | 487$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2a…2b25backed Jr. | 41c | 456$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Palma | 58c | 431$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7358…98cebacked Jr. | 41c | 365$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…68afbacked Palma | 59c | 330$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b35…631abacked Jr. | 41c | 329$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62b0…940abacked Palma | 59c | 311$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd298…b7e2backed Jr. | 41c | 301$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8902…4647backed Palma | 59c | 286$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986b…3969backed Jr. | 41c | 284$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76a1…5c72backed Jr. | 41c | 279$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2828…00f3backed Palma | 59c | 269$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f8…f72ebacked Jr. | 41c | 265$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd54…edadbacked Jr. | 41c | 265$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e1…278bbacked Palma | 59c | 263$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd54f…482dbacked Palma | 59c | 259$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f47…8c39backed Palma | 59c | 250$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23ba…45a4backed Palma | 59c | 244$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4e…3c05backed Palma | 59c | 228$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9268…8cf7backed Palma | 59c | 214$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…71ffbacked Jr. | 41c | 211$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…ad31backed Palma | 59c | 203$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7297…eccabacked Jr. | 41c | 202$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a6…c9dcbacked Palma | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4be…4e0dbacked Palma | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6452…7f32backed Palma | 59c | 199$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…ded8backed Jr. | 41c | 199$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x954d…b528backed Palma | 59c | 186$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6b…9078backed Palma | 59c | 186$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6467…1bfabacked Jr. | 41c | 185$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Palma | 53c | 173.64$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.9 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Palma | 58c | 160.44$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.66 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Palma | 58c | 150$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.5 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe160…b6b9backed Jr. | 35c | 142.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0a…fe3abacked Jr. | 19c | 140.55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +158.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Palma | 51c | 139.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Palma | 67c | 97.78$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Palma | 48c | 86$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Jr. | 41c | 75.02$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7501…9edbbacked Palma | 58c | 75$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…5e5dbacked Jr. | 40c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…e9d3backed Jr. | 50c | 59.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4597…272bbacked Palma | 61c | 50.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a22…5405backed Jr. | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6627…a997backed Jr. | 49c | 45.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3155…268ebacked Jr. | 48c | 41.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Jr. | 40c | 38.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.84 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a24…dcbfbacked Palma | 53c | 30.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc5…610ebacked Jr. | 40c | 29.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -41%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aca…2fb8backed Jr. | 40c | 26.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3c…ceb7backed Palma | 60c | 26.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Jr. | 40c | 25.02$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Jr. | 43c | 24.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…cee9backed Palma | 57c | 24.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Jr. | 45c | 24.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -56%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c02…e977backed Jr. | 48c | 22.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…adb9backed Palma | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Palma | 71c | 14.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.