TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FUT Esportsof G2, FUT Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,592,628
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,542,034

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,592,628 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,236 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked G251c247,975$125,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125,987.5342440.3%171 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked G252c205,039$107,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107,520.1414050.7%71 W · 69 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5291…d4b6backed FUT Esports48c101,640$48,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,745.641963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x73e3…1be9backed FUT Esports47c99,999$46,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,999.3420354.2%110 W · 93 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed FUT Esports49c97,847$48,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,621.9823839.9%95 W · 143 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked FUT Esports43c74,300$31,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,384.7641040%164 W · 246 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed FUT Esports68c70,524$47,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,819.7510361.2%63 W · 40 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed FUT Esports48c70,388$33,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,896.1341649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked FUT Esports46c53,598$24,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,106.8676058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x47b3…039cbacked FUT Esports52c48,665$25,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,403.415742.1%24 W · 33 L-0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked G253c47,169$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,999.675,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf886…2620backed FUT Esports49c42,448$20,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,648.410359.2%61 W · 42 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed G252c42,000$21,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,72050054.4%272 W · 228 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe40e…9770backed FUT Esports48c40,000$19,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,699.9117951.4%92 W · 87 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed G232c34,291$11,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,023.455,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked FUT Esports48c31,250$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,25016443.9%72 W · 92 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xffe9…a70ebacked G259c30,259$17,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,852.634639.1%18 W · 28 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed G253c27,235$14,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,476.2323949%117 W · 122 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked FUT Esports48c22,541$10,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,721.327250%36 W · 36 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked G245c22,119$9,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,964.1236453.8%196 W · 168 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed G253c21,592$11,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,440.85540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-39.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed G253c20,000$10,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,499.9516449.4%81 W · 83 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bae…885abacked FUT Esports44c18,000$7,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,14027658%160 W · 116 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed FUT Esports41c18,000$7,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,60017737.3%66 W · 111 L-16.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-20.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked FUT Esports50c17,800$8,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,900.1622354.7%122 W · 101 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed FUT Esports48c17,000$8,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,84022849.6%113 W · 115 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked G233c15,932$5,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,294.6613043.1%56 W · 74 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9c4…7433backed G252c15,695$8,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,182.713244.7%59 W · 73 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed FUT Esports48c15,658$7,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,142.3422142.5%94 W · 127 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52f9…1fb2backed FUT Esports48c15,387$7,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,979.073447.1%16 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+29%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97fd…3313backed FUT Esports40c15,000$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,00011439.5%45 W · 69 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb517…06ddbacked G214c14,000$1,946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,945.76266.1%41 W · 21 L+6.5wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+22%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked G236c14,000$5,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,032.951,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf33…0353backed G237c13,526$4,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,958.529746.4%45 W · 52 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked FUT Esports45c12,985$5,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,180.7464852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed G251c12,771$6,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,512.9825355.7%141 W · 112 L+19.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked FUT Esports47c12,500$5,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,62523145.9%106 W · 125 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa40a…fa62backed G226c12,000$3,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,179.982462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x96f7…d6aebacked G211c11,995$1,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,261.3722129.9%66 W · 155 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0562…18a4backed FUT Esports48c11,104$5,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,774.2320448.5%99 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed G252c10,913$5,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,660.722,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked G223c10,755$2,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,487.9348319%92 W · 391 L-65.4wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-46.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed G251c10,700$5,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,502.8967041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed FUT Esports47c10,640$5,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,639.1319455.2%107 W · 87 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1032…c372backed FUT Esports51c10,576$5,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,193.297157.7%41 W · 30 L+8.6wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+27.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfaa2…e80abacked FUT Esports48c10,300$4,971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,329.073053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e23…e933backed FUT Esports48c10,179$4,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,293.3212660.3%76 W · 50 L-0.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed G252c10,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,20030340.3%122 W · 181 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x008b…c1cfbacked G230c10,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0006355.6%35 W · 28 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked G238c9,999$3,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,806.021,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed G235c9,999$3,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,481.2988746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked FUT Esports47c9,000$4,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,77036152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5eab…d552backed FUT Esports42c8,996$3,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,175.2318624.2%45 W · 141 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-30.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x15e4…7ba4backed FUT Esports52c8,935$4,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,280.5411843.2%51 W · 67 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked G233c8,726$2,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,918.531,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed FUT Esports46c8,526$3,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,602.2812653.2%67 W · 59 L+8.7wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed G253c8,491$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,50048350.9%246 W · 237 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x83b3…b3a2backed FUT Esports48c8,388$4,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,320.0818547%87 W · 98 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31d6…e66cbacked FUT Esports53c8,328$4,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,918.681136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid+48.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e5e…7315backed FUT Esports69c7,707$5,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,405.8122943.7%100 W · 129 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked FUT Esports48c7,660$3,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,983.421,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b4d…5f4abacked G225c7,632$1,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,903.737941.8%33 W · 46 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick35cpaid-1.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed G252c7,372$3,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,802.8484958.3%495 W · 354 L+60.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked FUT Esports47c7,209$3,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,820.9338358.7%225 W · 158 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a60…7b81backed G216c7,171$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,122.319335.5%33 W · 60 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf1a…ba1ebacked G251c7,000$3,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5704544.4%20 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe916…7e93backed FUT Esports48c6,875$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,5753636.1%13 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5257…f324backed FUT Esports41c6,719$2,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,964.161844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79be…b605backed FUT Esports47c6,366$3,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,358.96245.2%28 W · 34 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed FUT Esports48c6,250$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,25019055.8%106 W · 84 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea1c…921bbacked FUT Esports46c6,159$2,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,329.4112143.8%53 W · 68 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x89eb…cff9backed FUT Esports49c6,144$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,143.7136450.3%183 W · 181 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed FUT Esports60c6,062$3,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,441.751252.3%268 W · 244 L+16.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed G252c6,000$3,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,12078639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed G229c6,000$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7407450%37 W · 37 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked FUT Esports48c6,000$2,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,12028538.2%109 W · 176 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed G253c6,000$3,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,18023848.3%115 W · 123 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed FUT Esports47c6,000$2,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,179.9911638.8%45 W · 71 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed G252c6,000$3,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,119.9271645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cbf…0eb4backed FUT Esports70c5,850$4,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,754.9137157.7%214 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed G234c5,819$1,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,989.0587047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked G20c5,714$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3469624%167 W · 529 L+2.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d2b…afc5backed G236c5,681$2,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,024.519659.2%116 W · 80 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed G242c5,621$2,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,376.022,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x18f3…0c20backed G260c5,500$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,30026155.2%144 W · 117 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed FUT Esports44c5,500$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,10097040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d98…e292backed FUT Esports60c5,461$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,160.662744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x89dd…f662backed G252c5,298$2,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,754.826940.6%28 W · 41 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked G235c5,289$1,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,859.911,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked G237c5,050$1,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,868.6810635.8%38 W · 68 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbbbb…ae06backed G210c5,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-68.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x98e5…f069backed G254c5,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,699.9414763.9%94 W · 53 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed FUT Esports47c5,000$2,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,649.9737946.4%176 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked FUT Esports47c5,000$2,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,649.9612956.6%73 W · 56 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3561…d87cbacked G258c4,976$2,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,868.831338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb93b…4208backed FUT Esports49c4,940$2,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,536.3624339.5%96 W · 147 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked G241c4,844$2,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,005.81,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x018c…9794backed G251c4,626$2,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,340.722857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked FUT Esports41c4,562$1,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,691.3953545%241 W · 294 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf61a…5943backed G250c4,403$2,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,201.389040%36 W · 54 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.