CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x511eade63a6f66d401abf721422865c52de8ab699dbdf48b0cd3d46e34cc9f27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FUT Esportsof G2, FUT Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,252
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,607
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,252 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf070…fe6bbacked G2 | 30c | 546.67$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec9…b8abbacked FUT Esports | 70c | 480$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 206 | 43.7%90 W · 116 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed G2 | 26c | 373.63$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.14 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…798fbacked G2 | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked FUT Esports | 71c | 329.19$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.85 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed FUT Esports | 70c | 289$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.7 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked FUT Esports | 73c | 204.59$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.59 | 656 | 62.3%409 W · 247 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked G2 | 29c | 190.12$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.13 | 488 | 45.7%223 W · 265 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3145…fcf5backed FUT Esports | 74c | 121.62$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 127 | 61.4%78 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59c…4da7backed FUT Esports | 74c | 100.78$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 152 | 64.5%98 W · 54 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked FUT Esports | 76c | 80.67$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd468…f6febacked G2 | 23c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 460 | 42.8%197 W · 263 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52cd…85fbbacked G2 | 30c | 72.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 365 | 41.9%153 W · 212 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa45d…93f1backed G2 | 28c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 142 | 50.7%72 W · 70 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c2…a16ebacked FUT Esports | 77c | 65.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 485 | 66.2%321 W · 164 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed FUT Esports | 70c | 56.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf54b…91f7backed G2 | 29c | 34.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 165 | 38.8%64 W · 101 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3d…235fbacked FUT Esports | 76c | 26.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf08…12a3backed FUT Esports | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2FUT Esports won
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 WinnerG2 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)G2 won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5)G2 won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5)FUT Esports won
- Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)G2 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.