TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$17,841
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$19,687

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,841 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x54e0…b02cbacked Over40c2,622$1,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,575.021,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Under46c2,107$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.061,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under51c2,057$1,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,041.622,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Under50c1,338$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.1588242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Over59c977.88$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.111,36566.3%905 W · 460 L+76.1wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1eab…4822backed Over53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.411551.3%59 W · 56 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under48c849.48$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.562,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed Over54c700$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32229851.3%153 W · 145 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f87…f04ebacked Over58c675.98$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.1326653.4%142 W · 124 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8d…01debacked Over49c586.2$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.966737.3%25 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd001…f718backed Over56c529.45$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.1528651%146 W · 140 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under51c500.1$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.0526650.8%135 W · 131 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Under45c476.93$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.6249935.1%175 W · 324 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under51c400$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.232,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41f7…60cfbacked Under62c395.66$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.728038.8%31 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bb6…50fcbacked Under45c337.18$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.9214044.3%62 W · 78 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over45c318.99$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.451,30426.5%345 W · 959 L-89.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Under47c317.15$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.3960032.3%194 W · 406 L-49.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-38.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Over39c304.65$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.666436.6%243 W · 421 L-35.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x56df…22c3backed Over55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1359045.6%41 W · 49 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Over55c272.73$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.7348562.7%304 W · 181 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Over39c262.46$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.15658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+23.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under56c246.01$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.025,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd0cc…ce77backed Under47c224.08$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.3211435.1%40 W · 74 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Under50c223.44$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.6480740.3%325 W · 482 L-3.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe66e…96e8backed Over55c208.42$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.797842.3%33 W · 45 L+0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under49c191$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.783,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5011…94b4backed Under46c178.33$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.6149941.7%208 W · 291 L+2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Under45c155.56$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7026048.5%126 W · 134 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under40c132.24$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.883,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x52be…801ebacked Over55c118.18$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.189549.5%47 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under37c103.28$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.762,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc209…84d0backed Under48c103.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.54463.6%28 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa66a…ca12backed Over54c102$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473650%18 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cf0…e384backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5033153.5%177 W · 154 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed Under51c99.98$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9937453.2%199 W · 175 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x14c8…c192backed Over47c98$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.9410052%52 W · 48 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Over52c97.24$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.687949.4%39 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Under45c95.77$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2320353.2%108 W · 95 L+1.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e28…2ef4backed Over53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.345846.6%27 W · 31 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd41c…e7b9backed Over53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.342646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6202…8872backed Over56c86.53$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.19364.5%60 W · 33 L+8.8wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Over55c84.99$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2513556.3%76 W · 59 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x804f…64febacked Over54c83.14$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.555143.1%22 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83ba…2404backed Over50c78$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3921856%122 W · 96 L+0.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf529…755fbacked Over54c73$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.586944.9%31 W · 38 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+3.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x219e…f793backed Over47c70$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.17943%34 W · 45 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under58c69.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.432,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Under45c68.89$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311,04645%471 W · 575 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over51c66.49$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.532,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfad0…490fbacked Over53c66.04$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.042433.3%8 W · 16 L-5.2wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-41.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xdb2a…e923backed Over48c62.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.59447.9%45 W · 49 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e9e…4bf4backed Over49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.222850%14 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef07…5bd2backed Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307744.2%34 W · 43 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9d5…180abacked Over75c54$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.52536%9 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-29%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Under51c52.82$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.941,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf08…12a3backed Under54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278648.8%42 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e28…f043backed Over53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1710350.5%52 W · 51 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1186…ed95backed Over55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.455545.5%25 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked Under45c43.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2067547.3%319 W · 356 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf8b…ba19backed Over55c42.89$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.31040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2284…e326backed Over48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6717456.9%99 W · 75 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f8f…b302backed Under51c39.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0611358.4%66 W · 47 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Over50c38.26$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.131,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b45…c515backed Over55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.361764.7%11 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Under67c35.91$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0640141.6%167 W · 234 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef0d…c791backed Over54c33.93$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.615644.6%25 W · 31 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+27.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41f4…ee16backed Under55c31.61$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2358745%264 W · 323 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x252f…2561backed Over49c30.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6156454.3%306 W · 258 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb171…32f0backed Over53c30.19$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1918239%71 W · 111 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a55…3072backed Over53c30.19$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.194250%21 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under45c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.547147.3%223 W · 248 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa58c…56e3backed Over78c27.98$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2433869.8%236 W · 102 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Under46c25.93$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.931,00355.7%559 W · 444 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f21…1281backed Over49c25.27$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.89366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+40.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc165…61a9backed Over53c24.99$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.743372.7%24 W · 9 L+5.7wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+37%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd31a…28f5backed Over53c24.76$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.647342.5%31 W · 42 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4c94…1b47backed Under54c22.41$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128160.5%49 W · 32 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Over59c22.03$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.0310753.3%57 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x332e…0747backed Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106346%29 W · 34 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66da…69b0backed Over55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928042.5%119 W · 161 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6bc…42c1backed Over54c19$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.743256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc712…9e96backed Over56c18$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.