CS2 · resolved market
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd570ab52e1ae2ac317912419629ddbb7aa34c2f8f55e843f9ae54e23431bda09
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FUT Esportsof G2, FUT Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,798
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,053
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,798 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x98e5…f069backed G2 | 41c | 2,102$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.75 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed G2 | 44c | 928.44$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.95 | 222 | 53.2%118 W · 104 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191b…5b67backed FUT Esports | 60c | 849.33$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.39 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed FUT Esports | 59c | 502.47$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.61 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked FUT Esports | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed FUT Esports | 56c | 459.8$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.31 | 294 | 49.3%145 W · 149 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…f3cebacked FUT Esports | 55c | 260$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e2…3ad5backed G2 | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -57%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…5d9fbacked FUT Esports | 57c | 250$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8f…7831backed G2 | 44c | 209.8$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29db…19c3backed FUT Esports | 59c | 167.8$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.8 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b26…6091backed FUT Esports | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5df…be7cbacked G2 | 43c | 117.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.17 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a778backed G2 | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 301 | 55.8%168 W · 133 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21a2…abb3backed FUT Esports | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x616a…8339backed FUT Esports | 59c | 33.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked G2 | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 850 | 54.4%462 W · 388 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2FUT Esports won
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 WinnerG2 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)G2 won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5)G2 won
- Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)G2 won
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)FUT Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.