UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Montel Jackson (Bantamweight, Main Card)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7db1dccec21f9f44b1c951380054ab9cbb2378661e0fef19b84e41fbfd85e0f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raoni Barcelosof Raoni Barcelos, Montel Jackson
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,015,395
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,228,295
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,015,395 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 430 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Montel Jackson | 66c | 326,250$216,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216,754.86 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Raoni Barcelos | 54c | 110,192$59,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,339.75 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Raoni Barcelos | 37c | 109,680$40,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,107.95 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Raoni Barcelos | 34c | 80,228$27,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,950.73 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Montel Jackson | 63c | 48,863$30,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,785.56 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Raoni Barcelos | 34c | 37,497$12,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,747.77 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Montel Jackson | 64c | 27,352$17,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,397.89 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Raoni Barcelos | 36c | 21,964$7,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,020.29 | 159 | 39.6%63 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Raoni Barcelos | 33c | 21,591$7,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,465.91 | 291 | 33.7%98 W · 193 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e4…1cedbacked Montel Jackson | 63c | 20,850$13,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,122.83 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Montel Jackson | 1c | 20,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Montel Jackson | 63c | 18,912$11,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,986.42 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Raoni Barcelos | 33c | 18,227$6,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,212.33 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Raoni Barcelos | 33c | 16,308$5,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,926.42 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54d2…ac37backed Raoni Barcelos | 35c | 15,879$5,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,321.28 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Raoni Barcelos | 35c | 9,859$3,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,361.82 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b6…2d92backed Raoni Barcelos | 43c | 9,850$4,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,617.13 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Raoni Barcelos | 32c | 9,499$3,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,426.3 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Montel Jackson | 76c | 9,080$6,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,907.06 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…82c9backed Raoni Barcelos | 34c | 8,374$2,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,491.67 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…6280backed Raoni Barcelos | 33c | 7,500$2,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,025 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Raoni Barcelos | 34c | 7,499$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,949.21 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe998…b7f0backed Raoni Barcelos | 33c | 6,463$2,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,330.27 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62e1…3497backed Raoni Barcelos | 36c | 6,041$2,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,862.9 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Raoni Barcelos | 38c | 5,734$2,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,555.12 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Raoni Barcelos | 35c | 5,666$1,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,682.89 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Montel Jackson | 62c | 5,160$3,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,198.94 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…ff78backed Montel Jackson | 66c | 5,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Montel Jackson | 55c | 4,143$2,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,289.2 | 159 | 33.3%53 W · 106 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed Montel Jackson | 30c | 4,135$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226.21 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Raoni Barcelos | 71c | 4,099$2,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.59 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d9…5896backed Raoni Barcelos | 37c | 3,704$1,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,349.35 | 142 | 37.3%53 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Montel Jackson | 54c | 3,655$1,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.04 | 49 | 81.6%40 W · 9 L | +10.4wins | +0.21per pick | 60cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Montel Jackson | 67c | 3,579$2,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,381.14 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fd…a0a9backed Montel Jackson | 62c | 3,411$2,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,130.1 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b61…599cbacked Montel Jackson | 62c | 3,297$2,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,052.84 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Raoni Barcelos | 34c | 3,241$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,153.14 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Raoni Barcelos | 36c | 3,137$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,014.48 | 201 | 39.8%80 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0c4bbacked Raoni Barcelos | 40c | 3,107$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,856.84 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…884ebacked Raoni Barcelos | 34c | 3,068$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,035.46 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Raoni Barcelos | 37c | 2,887$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,818.56 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed Raoni Barcelos | 34c | 2,713$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,790.86 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Montel Jackson | 61c | 2,700$1,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,659.21 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Montel Jackson | 60c | 2,645$1,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.12 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Montel Jackson | 54c | 2,530$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.01 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0506…8c6abacked Montel Jackson | 39c | 2,438$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.37 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Raoni Barcelos | 36c | 2,425$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,552.16 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Raoni Barcelos | 57c | 2,361$1,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.19 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Raoni Barcelos | 36c | 2,250$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,434.84 | 261 | 40.6%106 W · 155 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Montel Jackson | 60c | 2,040$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.08 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Raoni Barcelos | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.99 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb47…2bb6backed Montel Jackson | 63c | 1,942$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee7…6760backed Raoni Barcelos | 40c | 1,859$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.11 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…017fbacked Raoni Barcelos | 60c | 1,758$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.73 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Raoni Barcelos | 73c | 1,624$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.86 | 154 | 44.2%68 W · 86 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f3…3426backed Montel Jackson | 37c | 1,582$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.61 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed Raoni Barcelos | 36c | 1,580$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.19 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Montel Jackson | 76c | 1,522$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.58 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc1…57a1backed Montel Jackson | 61c | 1,514$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.69 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 39cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbd75…02f9backed Raoni Barcelos | 38c | 1,513$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.26 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76cc…fbbcbacked Montel Jackson | 65c | 1,484$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.43 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Montel Jackson | 66c | 1,484$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.6 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…7c83backed Montel Jackson | 62c | 1,466$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.8 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e3…1080backed Montel Jackson | 65c | 1,409$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.24 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1599…5432backed Raoni Barcelos | 35c | 1,373$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.36 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Montel Jackson | 64c | 1,366$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.82 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7358…1d32backed Montel Jackson | 73c | 1,347$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.77 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Montel Jackson | 56c | 1,339$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.89 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Raoni Barcelos | 38c | 1,322$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.44 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Raoni Barcelos | 48c | 1,192$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.98 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Raoni Barcelos | 30c | 1,192$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.12 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad6c…586bbacked Raoni Barcelos | 37c | 1,170$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Montel Jackson | 18c | 1,147$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.93 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…3c23backed Raoni Barcelos | 35c | 1,099$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.43 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd21…a494backed Raoni Barcelos | 34c | 1,098$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe757…c161backed Raoni Barcelos | 38c | 1,096$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.73 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5f…b574backed Montel Jackson | 54c | 1,089$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.37 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Montel Jackson | 64c | 1,069$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.02 | 357 | 64.7%231 W · 126 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c17…3844backed Montel Jackson | 65c | 1,041$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.65 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…0734backed Montel Jackson | 57c | 1,030$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.04 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc8…6655backed Raoni Barcelos | 38c | 1,013$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.98 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Raoni Barcelos | 37c | 1,005$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.81 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Montel Jackson | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 226 | 61.9%140 W · 86 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Raoni Barcelos | 40c | 969.51$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.84 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Raoni Barcelos | 48c | 882.85$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.37 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2aab…9ae0backed Raoni Barcelos | 48c | 812.66$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.22 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Raoni Barcelos | 34c | 801.97$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.3 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Raoni Barcelos | 34c | 800$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e1…d80bbacked Raoni Barcelos | 38c | 797.79$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.74 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Montel Jackson | 59c | 779.01$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.04 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffc7…2259backed Raoni Barcelos | 37c | 751.07$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.75 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e48…f025backed Montel Jackson | 66c | 737.68$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.92 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…ec7bbacked Montel Jackson | 66c | 734.7$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…dd68backed Raoni Barcelos | 34c | 734.57$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.82 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedea…8b39backed Montel Jackson | 78c | 718.79$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.97 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Raoni Barcelos | 25c | 710.82$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Raoni Barcelos | 36c | 687.52$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.44 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe10b…f230backed Montel Jackson | 33c | 672.91$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.84 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 32cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Montel Jackson | 53c | 658$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.93 | 107 | 63.6%68 W · 39 L | +13.2wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Raoni Barcelos | 43c | 653.75$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.43 | 360 | 48.3%174 W · 186 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Montel Jackson (Bantamweight, Main Card)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?Yes won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
- Will Montel Jackson win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.