TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Ignacio Buse vs Liam Draxl

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ignacio Buseof Ignacio Buse, Liam Draxl
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$107,057
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$118,762

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,057 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Liam Draxl33c15,934$5,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,300.162,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fa9…c100backed Liam Draxl44c9,995$4,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,397.7643051.2%220 W · 210 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cef…71b4backed Ignacio Buse56c7,729$4,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,394.2220045%90 W · 110 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Ignacio Buse78c6,615$5,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,487.751,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Liam Draxl25c4,536$1,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,128.926,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Liam Draxl41c3,005$1,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2211,11842.8%479 W · 639 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Ignacio Buse68c2,961$2,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$958.773,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Ignacio Buse57c2,904$1,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,236.8212952.7%68 W · 61 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Ignacio Buse79c2,843$2,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.66,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Ignacio Buse43c2,333$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,333.211,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Liam Draxl44c2,270$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,008.3238133.9%129 W · 252 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4afb…ed2bbacked Liam Draxl42c2,177$913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913.4616636.7%61 W · 105 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Liam Draxl23c1,979$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.3811,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2301…c95fbacked Ignacio Buse52c1,917$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.144759.6%28 W · 19 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+28.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Ignacio Buse50c1,791$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$895.6548851.6%252 W · 236 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Ignacio Buse66c1,714$1,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.7297046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Liam Draxl44c1,526$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.351,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Ignacio Buse66c1,482$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.941,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69f1…0e04backed Ignacio Buse57c1,450$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.51145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdebc…c36dbacked Ignacio Buse79c1,326$1,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+25.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7fb…e5fdbacked Liam Draxl45c1,326$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.39per pick55cpaid-67.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb353…19bebacked Ignacio Buse56c1,313$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.721050%5 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x913a…edc8backed Ignacio Buse56c1,162$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.281546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-24.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked Liam Draxl21c1,160$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.616648.8%81 W · 85 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Liam Draxl44c1,136$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020542.4%87 W · 118 L-12.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Ignacio Buse55c1,097$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.1537342.6%159 W · 214 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Liam Draxl48c1,085$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.372,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Liam Draxl26c1,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26057645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Ignacio Buse59c933$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.234744.4%154 W · 193 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Liam Draxl22c909.09$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20068026.2%178 W · 502 L-24.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d2a…d5d0backed Liam Draxl62c908.32$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.324762.3%154 W · 93 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbddc…83b9backed Ignacio Buse61c824.28$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.2812951.9%67 W · 62 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec7a…a1f2backed Ignacio Buse64c807.91$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.8714766.7%98 W · 49 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Liam Draxl43c807.45$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.461,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Ignacio Buse56c803.57$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.5753058.1%308 W · 222 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9416…98cfbacked Liam Draxl44c800$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35214536.6%53 W · 92 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Liam Draxl35c790.1$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27627935.8%100 W · 179 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd93d…5138backed Ignacio Buse56c740$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.6837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-39.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15ae…6ccdbacked Ignacio Buse56c719$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.361580%12 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+31.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x57c3…3201backed Ignacio Buse57c704.38$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.3818957.7%109 W · 80 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Ignacio Buse56c694$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.4773745.2%333 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Ignacio Buse61c682$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.0599044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6aad…20aebacked Ignacio Buse58c653$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.4352460.9%319 W · 205 L+0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x282d…f0c8backed Ignacio Buse57c601$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.43616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.42per pick59cpaid-70.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Ignacio Buse51c592$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.752,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda49…152ebacked Ignacio Buse56c534$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.961154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Liam Draxl42c506.41$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.441,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58dc…59e4backed Liam Draxl45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2256639.4%26 W · 40 L-7.0wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-22.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc181…0992backed Ignacio Buse56c498.21$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.2165651.8%340 W · 316 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Ignacio Buse43c461.91$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.911,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dff…fe35backed Ignacio Buse56c447$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.68966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf70…7d5fbacked Ignacio Buse56c355.85$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.8521758.1%126 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7bf…b02dbacked Ignacio Buse57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.8859165.3%386 W · 205 L-16.9wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed Ignacio Buse55c348.53$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.8440744%179 W · 228 L-14.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Liam Draxl36c337.73$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.3524637.4%92 W · 154 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Ignacio Buse56c321.43$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.4343448.4%210 W · 224 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba86…9ab0backed Liam Draxl43c307.26$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13367239.1%263 W · 409 L-29.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Liam Draxl41c298.94$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.134,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Liam Draxl44c292.5$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.243,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfded…312cbacked Ignacio Buse57c275$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.252770.4%19 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7820…5b79backed Liam Draxl20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020515.6%32 W · 173 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb213…49e1backed Ignacio Buse52c246.34$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.9120953.6%112 W · 97 L-19.0wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-21%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Ignacio Buse56c227.27$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10042046.9%197 W · 223 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd29a…d236backed Ignacio Buse56c226.79$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.792060%12 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Liam Draxl40c219$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.67,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Ignacio Buse56c216$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.041,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x89fe…8d55backed Ignacio Buse52c208$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.842740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x903f…de5fbacked Liam Draxl14c200.14$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0216830.4%51 W · 117 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Liam Draxl56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11247057.2%269 W · 201 L+16.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a2b…c97cbacked Ignacio Buse79c200$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423470.6%24 W · 10 L+4.1wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Ignacio Buse56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8836161.8%223 W · 138 L+41.3wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+25%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1574…64c9backed Liam Draxl44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8847639.1%186 W · 290 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Liam Draxl51c195.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030750.5%155 W · 152 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Ignacio Buse55c195.6$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.0228747.7%137 W · 150 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Ignacio Buse59c182.09$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.0967836%244 W · 434 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Ignacio Buse55c181.91$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.921,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Ignacio Buse56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5711462.3%71 W · 43 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Liam Draxl41c169.53$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.5195846.6%446 W · 512 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e06…1942backed Ignacio Buse57c166.67$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.673100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+60.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Liam Draxl41c153.22$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.522,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Liam Draxl45c152.84$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.7832649.1%160 W · 166 L-18.4wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0eb8…56ecbacked Ignacio Buse56c150$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6611256.3%63 W · 49 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Ignacio Buse73c143.92$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.3361953.3%330 W · 289 L+18.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bcf…ef2fbacked Ignacio Buse56c141.46$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.249755.7%54 W · 43 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b07…869abacked Liam Draxl21c131$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.13732.4%12 W · 25 L-4.4wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-38.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe81b…ae69backed Ignacio Buse41c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.953847.4%18 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Liam Draxl31c109.95$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.613,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Ignacio Buse55c109.4$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.234562.2%28 W · 17 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Ignacio Buse66c105.89$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.52,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4421…7600backed Liam Draxl20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x999d…5b2ebacked Ignacio Buse56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447550.7%38 W · 37 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Ignacio Buse55c98.99$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.131,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ae3…3c15backed Ignacio Buse51c93.8$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.9668350.1%342 W · 341 L-25.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Liam Draxl25c92$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2369249.6%343 W · 349 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Ignacio Buse59c90$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.924547.8%117 W · 128 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Ignacio Buse55c87$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.153,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70f9…f25bbacked Ignacio Buse55c85$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2599056%554 W · 436 L+32.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4a4…3117backed Liam Draxl18c82.65$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8912313.8%17 W · 106 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dd8…39b1backed Ignacio Buse59c81.36$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3618248.9%89 W · 93 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04eb…f50dbacked Liam Draxl44c77.48$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0929461.9%182 W · 112 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.