TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x913a…edc8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
50
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst CS2 at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$346Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+38.9%+$134.4
Rockets vs. Hawksbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+49.3%+$114.18
Timberwolves vs. Mavericksbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+40.8%+$25.81
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+40.8%+$50.17
Heat vs. Trail Blazersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$627Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$626.98
Timberwolves vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$749Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$749.28
76ers vs. Raptorsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$152.4
Mavericks vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+72.4%+$347.34
Pelicans vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+37%+$129.6
Nets vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+69.5%+$197.62
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$49.98
Celtics vs. Pacersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+33.3%+$66
Heat vs. Netsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$359Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+42.9%+$153.9
Lakers vs. 76ersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+66.7%+$132
76ers vs. Netsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+51.5%+$34
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-24.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Andrey Rublev vs Roman Safiullinbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,030Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,029.76
Halle Open: Taylor Fritz vs Frances Tiafoebacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$738Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$737.83
Chisinau: Sumit Nagal vs Zdenek Kolarbacked Zdenek Kolar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.49
Roland Garros WTA: Viktorija Golubic vs Alycia Parksbacked Alycia Parks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$826Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$825.91
Hamburg European Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Ignacio Busebacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$927Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$926.91
Madrid Open: Hailey Baptiste vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Jasmine Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,128Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,127.57
Madrid Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$17.74
Madrid Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$108.8
Savannah: Liam Draxl vs Kilian Feldbauschbacked Liam Draxl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$606Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$605.59
Madrid Open: Moyuka Uchijima vs Yulia Starodubtsevabacked Yulia Starodubtseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$26.04
Madrid Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Sebastian Ofnerbacked Sebastian Ofner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$368Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$225.4
Barcelona Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$934Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+69.2%+$646.73
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Chun-Hsin Tsengbacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$990Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$990.34
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Ignacio Buse vs Liam Draxlbacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$651Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+78.6%+$511.28
Hellenic Championship: Novak Djokovic vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+44.9%+$62
All 15 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.32per pick46cpaid-65.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-57.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+57.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jackets vs. Senatorsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+194.1%+$41.58
Stars vs. Jetsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+78.6%+$84.48
Ducks vs. Wildbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$195.75
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+69.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Norfolk State Spartans vs. Grambling State Tigersbacked Grambling State Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+104.1%+$58.65
Marist Red Foxes vs. Georgia Tech Yellow Jacketsbacked Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+35.5%+$108.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$22.42
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$139.23
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Northwestern vs. USCbacked Northwestern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$17
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 326: Gregory Rodrigues vs. Brunno Ferreira (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Brunno Ferreira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$171.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.