Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Norfolk State Spartans vs. Grambling State Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x242156c85411626bd0bb18ab5a62c7358815c632fa2665a6b0c66cee1e6dc693
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grambling State Tigersof Norfolk State Spartans, Grambling State Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,052
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,794
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,052 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x781c…db68backed Norfolk State Spartans | 25c | 2,610$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.3 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Norfolk State Spartans | 53c | 1,630$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.95 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Grambling State Tigers | 47c | 1,556$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.73 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Norfolk State Spartans | 51c | 1,390$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.94 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Norfolk State Spartans | 3c | 990.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 318 | 37.7%120 W · 198 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Norfolk State Spartans | 8c | 952.28$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.77 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Grambling State Tigers | 74c | 755$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.3 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Norfolk State Spartans | 17c | 594.47$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.06 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Norfolk State Spartans | 28c | 548.05$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.89 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Grambling State Tigers | 47c | 473.71$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.19 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda49…152ebacked Grambling State Tigers | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x282d…f0c8backed Grambling State Tigers | 49c | 265$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2862…b2ddbacked Grambling State Tigers | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 109 | 39.4%43 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Norfolk State Spartans | 53c | 184.97$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.03 | 210 | 50%105 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Norfolk State Spartans | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Norfolk State Spartans | 53c | 120$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c75…8c7abacked Grambling State Tigers | 48c | 117.54$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.12 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913a…edc8backed Grambling State Tigers | 49c | 115$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Norfolk State Spartans | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Grambling State Tigers | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked Norfolk State Spartans | 55c | 91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked Grambling State Tigers | 47c | 60.9$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.28 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Grambling State Tigers | 47c | 59.1$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.32 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Norfolk State Spartans | 52c | 51.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Grambling State Tigers | 49c | 46.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Grambling State Tigers | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Norfolk State Spartans | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Grambling State Tigers | 47c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.