College Football · resolved market
Northwestern vs. USC
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x351993b29579e287a779127d94d83b7f5cffe5b715f74e2c58c12ff19c0ad018
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- USCof Northwestern, USC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,707,928
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,654,645
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,707,928 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Northwestern | 14c | 275,000$38,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,500 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Northwestern | 14c | 230,000$32,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,500 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Northwestern | 15c | 163,273$24,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,519.83 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed7…e617backed Northwestern | 15c | 87,059$13,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,058.85 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed Northwestern | 15c | 68,918$10,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,137.63 | 127 | 18.9%24 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Northwestern | 15c | 68,542$9,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,956.81 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Northwestern | 15c | 64,014$9,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,602.1 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Northwestern | 15c | 60,487$9,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,076.73 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Northwestern | 9c | 60,000$5,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,349.99 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Northwestern | 14c | 46,919$6,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,568.63 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Northwestern | 14c | 40,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Northwestern | 14c | 35,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Northwestern | 14c | 35,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Northwestern | 16c | 32,814$5,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,250.27 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Northwestern | 14c | 28,393$3,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,975 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Northwestern | 14c | 28,254$3,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,988.09 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Northwestern | 15c | 27,000$4,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,050 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Northwestern | 15c | 23,909$3,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,586.35 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Northwestern | 14c | 23,024$3,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,306.56 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Northwestern | 14c | 22,222$3,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,222.19 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Northwestern | 14c | 20,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Northwestern | 18c | 18,048$3,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,165.31 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 19cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Northwestern | 20c | 7,615$1,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,496.32 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Northwestern | 14c | 7,201$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.1 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Northwestern | 15c | 6,667$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Northwestern | 16c | 6,634$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.48 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Northwestern | 15c | 6,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Northwestern | 15c | 6,400$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.01 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Northwestern | 15c | 6,100$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed Northwestern | 15c | 6,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked USC | 79c | 5,307$4,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.52 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Northwestern | 14c | 5,081$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.78 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Northwestern | 15c | 5,024$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.51 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Northwestern | 15c | 5,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Northwestern | 17c | 3,453$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.25 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Northwestern | 14c | 3,306$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.98 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Northwestern | 15c | 3,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Northwestern | 14c | 3,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Northwestern | 11c | 2,687$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.06 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e12…425dbacked Northwestern | 17c | 2,235$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…1d1ebacked USC | 75c | 2,117$1,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.33 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c1…06cebacked Northwestern | 16c | 1,999$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Northwestern | 33c | 1,815$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.95 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Northwestern | 16c | 1,803$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Northwestern | 17c | 1,800$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…4815backed Northwestern | 21c | 1,718$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Northwestern | 12c | 1,632$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.8 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Northwestern | 24c | 1,621$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.22 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Northwestern | 27c | 1,476$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.56 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Northwestern | 17c | 1,447$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Northwestern | 16c | 1,431$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.04 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Northwestern | 15c | 1,426$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.28 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Northwestern | 16c | 1,213$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.03 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Northwestern | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Northwestern | 16c | 1,060$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.6 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Northwestern | 20c | 1,028$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.18 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…5c0abacked Northwestern | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Northwestern | 15c | 999.98$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 134 | 17.2%23 W · 111 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Northwestern | 15c | 918$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.7 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed USC | 72c | 875.01$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.46 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Northwestern | 15c | 848.93$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.34 | 213 | 48.8%104 W · 109 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa805…83dcbacked Northwestern | 17c | 750$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.97 | 102 | 20.6%21 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Northwestern | 14c | 725.01$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc9f…ce68backed Northwestern | 16c | 721$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Northwestern | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee05…812fbacked Northwestern | 16c | 623.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6d…1ba1backed Northwestern | 16c | 609.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9005…d988backed Northwestern | 20c | 600$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Northwestern | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 112 | 21.4%24 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Northwestern | 15c | 550$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…604ebacked Northwestern | 15c | 530$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Northwestern | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Northwestern | 3c | 462.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 79 | 0%0 W · 79 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Northwestern | 14c | 460.33$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.45 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4b…ab60backed Northwestern | 16c | 443.75$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e8…2867backed Northwestern | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Northwestern | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed USC | 80c | 383.18$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.52 | 269 | 39.8%107 W · 162 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Northwestern | 16c | 336$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.23 | 216 | 29.2%63 W · 153 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdda2…9bd7backed Northwestern | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x559f…cd83backed Northwestern | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1334…3c35backed Northwestern | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4150…d0ebbacked Northwestern | 16c | 309.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -55%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Northwestern | 12c | 302.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.23 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Northwestern | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Northwestern | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff9…ce7abacked Northwestern | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Northwestern | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Northwestern | 22c | 279.61$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.56 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa038…341dbacked Northwestern | 14c | 277.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked Northwestern | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Northwestern | 15c | 261.6$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.24 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x877f…d779backed Northwestern | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Northwestern | 15c | 245.77$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.95 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe827…5209backed Northwestern | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Northwestern | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 184 | 16.8%31 W · 153 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…0730backed Northwestern | 16c | 200$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Northwestern | 15c | 199.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Northwestern | 14c | 195.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45a6…14aebacked Northwestern | 17c | 192$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Northwestern vs. USCthis page
- Northwestern vs. USC: O/U 49.5Over won
- Northwestern vs. USC: O/U 51.5Over won
- Northwestern vs. USC: O/U 52.5Over won
- Northwestern vs. USC: O/U 53.5Over won
- O/U 50.5Over won
- Spread: USC (-14.5)USC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.