NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Timberwolves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa2de983f8642c0f61c6c9f6890144c00569720c7ac4966fa14ae61887805119
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Warriors, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,301,362
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,273,415
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,301,362 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,026 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Warriors | 27c | 1,246,339$333,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333,943.37 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b6…13acbacked Timberwolves | 71c | 374,648$266,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108,647.89 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…d504backed Warriors | 23c | 326,086$75,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74,999.75 | 210 | 57.1%120 W · 90 L | +20.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Timberwolves | 79c | 259,934$205,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,099.93 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Timberwolves | 74c | 217,967$161,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,549.93 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Timberwolves | 78c | 151,000$117,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,740 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Timberwolves | 77c | 150,531$115,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,659.17 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…db04backed Warriors | 1c | 147,595$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.71 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Timberwolves | 72c | 118,754$85,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,435.87 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Warriors | 29c | 110,987$32,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,203.06 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5330…0bfabacked Warriors | 23c | 105,924$24,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,362.52 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Timberwolves | 74c | 90,133$66,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,434.59 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac7…e0efbacked Timberwolves | 71c | 83,045$58,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,083.05 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Timberwolves | 75c | 81,333$60,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,543.28 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Timberwolves | 78c | 76,923$60,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,923.08 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Timberwolves | 76c | 75,571$57,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,801.32 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…88b4backed Warriors | 26c | 71,054$18,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,473.97 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed Timberwolves | 72c | 68,879$49,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,325 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Timberwolves | 72c | 60,100$43,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,003 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Warriors | 27c | 50,000$13,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,549.98 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11db…841fbacked Warriors | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 227 | 0%0 W · 227 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Timberwolves | 71c | 47,812$34,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,787.64 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Timberwolves | 77c | 45,000$34,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,550 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Timberwolves | 72c | 44,603$32,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,557.53 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Timberwolves | 78c | 44,237$34,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,827.47 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Warriors | 19c | 41,513$7,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,723.74 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Timberwolves | 76c | 40,534$31,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,534.43 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe12a…67efbacked Warriors | 25c | 40,043$10,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,210.39 | 158 | 41.1%65 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Timberwolves | 72c | 40,000$28,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,199.99 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Warriors | 25c | 35,544$8,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,801.63 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Timberwolves | 72c | 34,047$24,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,491.32 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Timberwolves | 67c | 32,773$22,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,771.76 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb915…8da5backed Warriors | 27c | 32,359$8,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,736.92 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Timberwolves | 77c | 31,405$24,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,296.48 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Warriors | 26c | 31,050$8,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,073 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf19c…1e99backed Warriors | 25c | 29,507$7,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,376.85 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Timberwolves | 71c | 27,739$19,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,044.26 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Warriors | 28c | 26,290$7,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,361.15 | 152 | 50.7%77 W · 75 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…8f6abacked Timberwolves | 77c | 25,546$19,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,875.48 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7791…af80backed Timberwolves | 74c | 25,472$18,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,568 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Timberwolves | 77c | 25,425$19,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,886.83 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Timberwolves | 77c | 23,741$18,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,571.25 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves | 72c | 23,453$16,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,548.28 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d75…c09fbacked Warriors | 23c | 23,100$5,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,313 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Warriors | 26c | 23,033$6,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,009.85 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…4302backed Warriors | 12c | 22,843$2,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,853.56 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Timberwolves | 71c | 22,509$15,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,638.63 | 215 | 49.8%107 W · 108 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Warriors | 26c | 21,505$5,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,598.49 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Warriors | 28c | 21,285$5,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,959.87 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3644…6fdfbacked Timberwolves | 74c | 20,007$14,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,101.96 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Timberwolves | 72c | 20,000$14,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,600 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5626…71c7backed Warriors | 1c | 20,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Warriors | 28c | 19,984$5,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,660.68 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…73adbacked Warriors | 3c | 19,500$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.31 | 94 | 24.5%23 W · 71 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed Timberwolves | 73c | 18,835$13,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,094.89 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked Timberwolves | 71c | 17,898$12,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,190.39 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Warriors | 28c | 16,767$4,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,694.76 | 132 | 39.4%52 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Timberwolves | 77c | 16,661$12,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,833.85 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Warriors | 28c | 16,464$4,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,673.61 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Timberwolves | 68c | 16,367$11,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,164.1 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Warriors | 32c | 16,099$5,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,130.84 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb78…5206backed Warriors | 37c | 15,823$5,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,802.75 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…63f6backed Warriors | 23c | 15,448$3,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,515.12 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Warriors | 1c | 15,150$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.61 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Warriors | 31c | 14,731$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,599.81 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Warriors | 24c | 14,539$3,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,502.08 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Warriors | 26c | 14,500$3,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,721.66 | 352 | 51.1%180 W · 172 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Warriors | 29c | 14,325$4,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,154.24 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Timberwolves | 72c | 14,200$10,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,976 | 74 | 68.9%51 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c14…7bc1backed Warriors | 29c | 13,840$4,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,013.49 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked Timberwolves | 72c | 13,355$9,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,684.57 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Warriors | 27c | 12,916$3,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,513.22 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Warriors | 23c | 12,680$2,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,916.32 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcad4…c108backed Warriors | 31c | 12,657$3,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,912.68 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Warriors | 10c | 12,358$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.77 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Warriors | 1c | 12,257$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.57 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…cca9backed Warriors | 23c | 11,111$2,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,555.53 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…f855backed Warriors | 24c | 11,106$2,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,635.68 | 287 | 42.9%123 W · 164 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03a9…37babacked Warriors | 34c | 10,991$3,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,712.32 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fd…90c0backed Warriors | 28c | 10,656$2,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,983.76 | 284 | 39.8%113 W · 171 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Warriors | 0c | 10,655$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff4…7ebbbacked Warriors | 14c | 10,076$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Warriors | 25c | 10,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500.01 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed Timberwolves | 75c | 10,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Warriors | 29c | 10,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Timberwolves | 72c | 9,988$7,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,801.4 | 399 | 58.4%233 W · 166 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…9134backed Warriors | 24c | 9,140$2,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,193.6 | 199 | 57.8%115 W · 84 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Warriors | 23c | 9,053$2,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,084.14 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61a1…6657backed Timberwolves | 72c | 9,014$6,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,479.56 | 277 | 58.8%163 W · 114 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed Warriors | 10c | 9,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 207 | 46.4%96 W · 111 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…2aefbacked Warriors | 10c | 8,718$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.55 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Warriors | 26c | 8,626$2,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,242.08 | 320 | 39.4%126 W · 194 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Timberwolves | 71c | 8,324$5,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,413.87 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Warriors | 11c | 8,226$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.86 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Warriors | 31c | 7,681$2,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,393.63 | 397 | 44.3%176 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…f7e2backed Warriors | 31c | 7,644$2,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,382.92 | 191 | 36.1%69 W · 122 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbb…39dabacked Warriors | 22c | 7,500$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Warriors | 28c | 7,468$2,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,110.03 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a55…fd0dbacked Warriors | 30c | 7,446$2,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,221.72 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Warriors | 28c | 7,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.98 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Timberwolvesthis page
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Draymond Green: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-10.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)Timberwolves won
- Stephen Curry: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Stephen Curry: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Stephen Curry: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Warriors vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Warriors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 227.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 230.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 231.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.