NBA · resolved market
Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60f31932f8ff2d52b9541635ac880ca30171d5f0ef618f45034041d35bca0076
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $149,997
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $151,198
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,997 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Warriors | 51c | 82,488$42,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,014.38 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 81,633$40,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,632.65 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Warriors | 53c | 14,105$7,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,466.23 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Timberwolves | 49c | 11,058$5,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,600.37 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 10,142$4,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,166.72 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Warriors | 47c | 7,769$3,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,668.38 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Warriors | 51c | 7,000$3,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,569.98 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Timberwolves | 55c | 5,754$3,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,589.06 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Timberwolves | 54c | 5,479$2,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,498.52 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed Timberwolves | 50c | 5,402$2,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,701.23 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 4,110$2,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,021.52 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Warriors | 52c | 3,729$1,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,939.25 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Warriors | 49c | 3,340$1,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,648.58 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Warriors | 50c | 3,030$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515.09 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Warriors | 52c | 2,610$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,357.2 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 2,317$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.17 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x902e…5f41backed Timberwolves | 47c | 1,702$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.13 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Timberwolves | 48c | 1,700$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves | 49c | 1,524$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.21 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Timberwolves | 47c | 1,460$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.57 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 1,148$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.46 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 1,127$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.45 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Warriors | 51c | 1,091$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.22 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Warriors | 49c | 1,036$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.72 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed Timberwolves | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0f…f3e6backed Timberwolves | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +7.2wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Timberwolves | 55c | 999.93$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.97 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb4…48bebacked Warriors | 55c | 546.05$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca5…e6c9backed Timberwolves | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +9.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec5…9fe0backed Warriors | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 168 | 53%89 W · 79 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Timberwolves | 56c | 358.88$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.03 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Warriors | 54c | 351.58$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.53 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Timberwolves | 79c | 281.51$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.12 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Warriors | 52c | 254$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.08 | 153 | 36.6%56 W · 97 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 230.36$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.27 | 335 | 54.6%183 W · 152 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Warriors | 47c | 212.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Timberwolves | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Warriors | 51c | 201.8$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.36 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Warriors | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Timberwolves | 55c | 181.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.67 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Warriors | 47c | 180.03$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.29 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Timberwolves | 51c | 173.47$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.53 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Warriors | 48c | 165.78$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.83 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Timberwolves | 55c | 163.49$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.23 | 311 | 55%171 W · 140 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Warriors | 46c | 154.16$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.91 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Warriors | 46c | 133.93$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.61 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 126.31$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.68 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Timberwolves | 46c | 113.87$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.45 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Timberwolves | 53c | 109.16$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.82 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed Warriors | 47c | 107.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.11 | 362 | 47.5%172 W · 190 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 100.84$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.84 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Timberwolves | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4683…1218backed Warriors | 46c | 95.65$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Timberwolves | 57c | 94.26$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.64 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Warriors | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Timberwolves | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 127 | 63%80 W · 47 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 89$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.92 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c54…da2cbacked Warriors | 50c | 87.69$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.85 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Timberwolves | 48c | 84.36$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.72 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Warriors | 46c | 76.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 385 | 45.7%176 W · 209 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Timberwolves | 51c | 76$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.25 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed Warriors | 55c | 72.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 378 | 52.9%200 W · 178 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Warriors | 54c | 70.49$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.06 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Warriors | 53c | 70.47$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.35 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Warriors | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 126 | 44.4%56 W · 70 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Warriors | 51c | 59.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.28 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Warriors | 46c | 57.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Warriors | 50c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Timberwolves | 69c | 52.61$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da4…803ebacked Warriors | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Warriors | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Warriors | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -21.7wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Warriors | 52c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f8…5486backed Timberwolves | 48c | 42.62$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Warriors | 50c | 40.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 279 | 43%120 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…2108backed Warriors | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 358 | 44.1%158 W · 200 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b79…a497backed Warriors | 53c | 35.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 35.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 659 | 50.8%335 W · 324 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Timberwolves | 46c | 34.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 397 | 36.3%144 W · 253 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…bac6backed Warriors | 53c | 34.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 383 | 50.4%193 W · 190 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Timberwolves | 50c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Warriors | 61c | 29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Timberwolves | 51c | 26.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Timberwolves | 48c | 26.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 177 | 50.8%90 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed Timberwolves | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 226 | 55.3%125 W · 101 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Warriors | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…25e3backed Timberwolves | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 49cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Timberwolves | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Warriors | 55c | 19.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 355 | 51.3%182 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…ecfabacked Warriors | 53c | 19.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)this page
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Draymond Green: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-10.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)Timberwolves won
- Stephen Curry: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Stephen Curry: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Stephen Curry: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Warriors vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves won
- Warriors vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Warriors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 227.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 230.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 231.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.