TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Timberwolves (-10.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Warriors
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$81,927
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$85,479

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,927 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf668…5c69backed Warriors55c18,784$10,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,330.9436359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed Timberwolves45c18,500$8,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,17511653.4%62 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5330…0bfabacked Warriors53c15,094$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,999.8213142.7%56 W · 75 L-8.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Warriors58c10,619$6,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,127.219,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Timberwolves47c10,000$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,3001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Warriors52c9,589$4,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,986.512,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Warriors58c6,485$3,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,761.482,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Timberwolves48c5,208$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,708.3338750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Timberwolves47c5,000$2,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,65077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Timberwolves48c4,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,08080146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Timberwolves48c2,083$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.3341649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2f…3531backed Timberwolves43c2,000$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1404351.2%22 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65f9…4dd7backed Warriors30c2,000$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.785932.2%19 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Timberwolves50c1,450$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.373,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Timberwolves43c1,396$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.722,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Timberwolves71c1,378$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.881,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Warriors8c804.81$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.0944821.4%96 W · 352 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Timberwolves47c697.65$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.931,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed Timberwolves48c675.95$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.4266645.9%306 W · 360 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca5…e6c9backed Timberwolves43c600$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34211256.3%63 W · 49 L+9.0wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+18.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1df4…0540backed Warriors53c561.21$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.135657.1%32 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67cc…942fbacked Timberwolves44c545.45$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.454845.8%22 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Warriors57c519.66$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.216,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x441d…7a4ebacked Warriors37c501.97$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.676145.9%28 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c49…ca9dbacked Warriors49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24518240.7%74 W · 108 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Timberwolves70c468.87$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.422,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5140…9951backed Warriors46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008263.4%52 W · 30 L-0.3wins0.00per pick64cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Timberwolves48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.671,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41e8…626bbacked Timberwolves80c396.84$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.632100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Timberwolves42c389.42$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.183,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Warriors57c345.09$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.911,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Warriors60c333.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Timberwolves44c318.84$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.1843244%190 W · 242 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Warriors57c250$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.595548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Warriors53c235.17$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.6435747.1%168 W · 189 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves64c228.59$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.28,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Timberwolves61c219$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.143,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Timberwolves70c201.21$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.212,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Timberwolves44c200$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11380744.1%356 W · 451 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed Warriors26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529833.7%33 W · 65 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Warriors9c190.07$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8654549.5%270 W · 275 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Warriors37c190$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.349938.9%194 W · 305 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed Warriors53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005947.5%28 W · 31 L-6.5wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-19.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6c8e…22c3backed Warriors23c173.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405841.4%24 W · 34 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Warriors59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019756.3%111 W · 86 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Warriors64c155.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10032952.9%174 W · 155 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Timberwolves42c137$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.2468940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xda4f…65babacked Timberwolves44c134.25$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.611764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+36.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Warriors53c132.08$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7082440.4%333 W · 491 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Timberwolves45c121.47$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.813,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9675…6bf3backed Warriors40c115.27$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468944.9%40 W · 49 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Warriors36c111.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4036453%193 W · 171 L-17.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Timberwolves43c108$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.5628147.7%134 W · 147 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf405…9df2backed Timberwolves76c105.35$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3543269.2%299 W · 133 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa48b…1334backed Timberwolves62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3817031.8%54 W · 116 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec54…a03dbacked Warriors50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010957.8%63 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bed…7574backed Warriors70c99.77$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.682263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fb8…85b9backed Timberwolves70c80$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2413050.8%66 W · 64 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a8f…386cbacked Warriors37c79.41$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Warriors40c58.25$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1925753.7%138 W · 119 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8a1…2974backed Warriors33c56.27$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5717331.8%55 W · 118 L-8.0wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Warriors38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2029046.9%136 W · 154 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1018…7264backed Warriors23c52.08$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0912737%47 W · 80 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b5d…b99abacked Warriors55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.55657.1%32 W · 24 L-5.6wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-14.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Timberwolves43c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.543246.1%199 W · 233 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e47…a7abbacked Warriors53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2549852.4%261 W · 237 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57e5…e51ebacked Warriors58c46$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6833360.4%201 W · 132 L+17.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Warriors53c45.91$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3392750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Warriors52c45.9$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8753043.8%232 W · 298 L-25.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x630b…34ffbacked Warriors36c44.44$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169843.9%43 W · 55 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc82…6421backed Warriors59c40$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.611847.5%56 W · 62 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb53c…c76ebacked Warriors36c35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.648740.7%198 W · 289 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Warriors57c29.73$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.864,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0919…fcbcbacked Warriors53c28.19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9416343.6%71 W · 92 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9784…e452backed Warriors57c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.42948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa825…2ef0backed Timberwolves76c19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.564445.5%20 W · 24 L-6.2wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-31.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked Warriors71c16.9$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1216743.7%73 W · 94 L-16.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-18.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa785…acb6backed Warriors67c15$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0532455.9%181 W · 143 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.