NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x329611250f0a8dda6fd91fb830d4b3edacd176be848235584825264a5c7da4b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,598
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,491
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,598 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Under | 53c | 60,000$31,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,199.99 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Over | 47c | 43,727$20,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,551.84 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 47c | 10,500$4,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,935 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Over | 47c | 6,767$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,180.49 | 132 | 39.4%52 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 53c | 5,230$2,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,454.4 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 47c | 3,500$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,644.99 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Over | 47c | 2,755$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,294.72 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 53c | 2,396$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.72 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 51c | 1,602$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.48 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Under | 53c | 1,066$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.04 | 157 | 56.7%89 W · 68 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Over | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 34c | 735.67$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.74 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 687$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.84 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b7…9960backed Over | 42c | 481.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf1…8277backed Under | 68c | 441.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 172 | 36%62 W · 110 L | -19.3wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 48c | 405.67$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.72 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Under | 58c | 390.69$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.09 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 47c | 387$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.89 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Over | 45c | 380$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 206 | 51%105 W · 101 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Over | 49c | 350$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.5 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5d…e82ebacked Under | 65c | 333.72$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.8 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 52c | 330$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.4 | 249 | 55.8%139 W · 110 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 42c | 299.93$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.6 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Over | 38c | 261.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 197 | 56.3%111 W · 86 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ee…89a4backed Over | 44c | 248.86$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.5 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 44c | 232.98$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.55 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Over | 47c | 205.61$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.65 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 62c | 205.11$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.84 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ade…e692backed Over | 49c | 173.76$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.61 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 48c | 166.28$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.36 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Over | 49c | 164.66$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Under | 55c | 156.9$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.28 | 311 | 55%171 W · 140 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb391…8939backed Under | 69c | 145$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.96 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…340fbacked Over | 49c | 121.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed9…3cdebacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2984…57c8backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9985…9b14backed Over | 49c | 84.68$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.41 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x328c…975cbacked Over | 48c | 84.39$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Over | 34c | 70.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Under | 55c | 66$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.86 | 712 | 45.8%326 W · 386 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 52c | 56.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Under | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 379 | 59.4%225 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Under | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 183 | 39.3%72 W · 111 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15e6…5a30backed Under | 67c | 47.94$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…33b9backed Under | 57c | 40.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1466…3bfbbacked Over | 49c | 40.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 196 | 49%96 W · 100 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Over | 50c | 40.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 436 | 47.9%209 W · 227 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x743a…ddcdbacked Over | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x348f…a206backed Over | 49c | 34.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Under | 66c | 33.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3518…c4aebacked Over | 48c | 33.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Over | 48c | 33.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 522 | 46.6%243 W · 279 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d9…70f6backed Over | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73dd…1f06backed Over | 46c | 31.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Under | 53c | 30.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…d571backed Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 49c | 30.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Over | 47c | 27.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c6…5004backed Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95be…9968backed Under | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f8…f00fbacked Under | 65c | 17.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9036…100fbacked Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5this page
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Draymond Green: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-10.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)Timberwolves won
- Stephen Curry: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Stephen Curry: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Stephen Curry: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Warriors vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves won
- Warriors vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Warriors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 227.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 230.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 231.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.