NBA · resolved market

Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ad55853be5e0ca6d9fa16f53b3cd52bb843df2450af1356280d0bbace224e4b

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Warriors
Resolved: Jan 27, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,372,559
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,394,595

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,372,559 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 312 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4924…3782backed Warriors	50c	594,491$297,222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297,222.03	874	51.5%450 W · 424 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Timberwolves	50c	343,915$171,958 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171,957.66	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Warriors	45c	264,540$119,134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119,134.05	871	44.7%389 W · 482 L	+14.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Timberwolves	50c	198,067$99,033 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99,033.39	1,045	49%512 W · 533 L	+21.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Timberwolves	52c	134,925$70,575 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64,350.39	513	50.1%257 W · 256 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Timberwolves	58c	128,748$74,440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54,307.61	404	46.8%189 W · 215 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Timberwolves	54c	66,121$35,688 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30,432.93	363	59.8%217 W · 146 L	+23.7wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Warriors	48c	59,926$28,736 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28,736.26	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Timberwolves	54c	52,607$28,229 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,377.67	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Timberwolves	57c	28,653$16,293 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,359.86	1,046	51.1%534 W · 512 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Warriors	49c	27,321$13,308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,308.01	767	46.4%356 W · 411 L	-16.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Timberwolves	50c	23,340$11,670 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,669.79	132	48.5%64 W · 68 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves	54c	19,464$10,448 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,015.7	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed Warriors	43c	19,196$8,318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,318.19	94	40.4%38 W · 56 L	-5.3wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Warriors	42c	17,400$7,308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,308	55	34.5%19 W · 36 L	-6.5wins	-0.12per pick	46cpaid	-20%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Timberwolves	52c	16,048$8,348 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,700.31	398	42.5%169 W · 229 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Timberwolves	58c	15,929$9,239 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,690.28	1,212	48.3%586 W · 626 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Timberwolves	50c	15,000$7,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,500	79	46.8%37 W · 42 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Timberwolves	54c	14,815$8,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,814.81	443	52.4%232 W · 211 L	+10.3wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Warriors	45c	12,210$5,437 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,436.9	584	49.7%290 W · 294 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Warriors	45c	11,327$5,084 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,083.82	715	47.7%341 W · 374 L	-26.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b9f…e125backed Timberwolves	52c	10,000$5,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,800	112	52.7%59 W · 53 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Timberwolves	52c	10,000$5,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,800	153	49%75 W · 78 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Timberwolves	50c	9,999$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,999.5	245	54.7%134 W · 111 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+28.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed Warriors	48c	9,550$4,569 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,568.76	116	53.4%62 W · 54 L	+3.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Warriors	42c	8,979$3,771 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,771.36	1,332	51.2%682 W · 650 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Timberwolves	50c	8,824$4,412 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,411.76	524	60.1%315 W · 209 L	+35.6wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Warriors	47c	8,296$3,899 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,899	208	49.5%103 W · 105 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Warriors	47c	7,500$3,520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,520.22	877	50.2%440 W · 437 L	-19.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf35f…64c5backed Timberwolves	58c	7,167$4,157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,010.13	48	62.5%30 W · 18 L	+2.2wins	+0.05per pick	58cpaid	+7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Warriors	44c	6,980$3,089 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,088.52	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Timberwolves	52c	6,500$3,380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,120	158	44.9%71 W · 87 L	-8.5wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Timberwolves	50c	6,000$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,000	245	49%120 W · 125 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Warriors	48c	5,593$2,663 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,662.56	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Warriors	43c	5,508$2,349 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,349.07	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09ad…819ebacked Timberwolves	57c	5,310$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,309.6	142	54.9%78 W · 64 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Warriors	46c	5,289$2,454 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,454.47	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x65f9…4dd7backed Warriors	20c	5,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	59	32.2%19 W · 40 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Timberwolves	51c	4,902$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,401.96	100	45%45 W · 55 L	-9.4wins	-0.09per pick	54cpaid	-20%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb4b7…3c8bbacked Timberwolves	50c	4,500$2,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,250	6	50%3 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Timberwolves	55c	4,341$2,409 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,932.35	1,204	55.3%666 W · 538 L	+52.0wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Timberwolves	56c	4,341$2,431 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,910.1	346	54%187 W · 159 L	+13.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Timberwolves	50c	4,335$2,168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,167.63	426	48.1%205 W · 221 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Warriors	42c	4,119$1,718 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,717.88	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Warriors	48c	3,893$1,874 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,874.47	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Timberwolves	52c	3,437$1,777 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,660.37	1,139	48.3%550 W · 589 L	+3.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Timberwolves	53c	3,400$1,802 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,598	646	51.7%334 W · 312 L	-14.9wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Warriors	42c	3,000$1,260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,260	433	48.5%210 W · 223 L	+11.0wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x56be…57eebacked Warriors	50c	2,997$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	211	43.1%91 W · 120 L	-6.4wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Timberwolves	52c	2,968$1,550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,418.74	1,055	49.9%526 W · 529 L	+29.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Timberwolves	51c	2,941$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,441.18	564	53.9%304 W · 260 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Warriors	47c	2,700$1,269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,269	1,475	51.3%756 W · 719 L	+35.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Warriors	46c	2,464$1,133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,133.22	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3d…55b3backed Timberwolves	51c	2,090$1,066 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,024.09	35	48.6%17 W · 18 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79c9…b2f1backed Warriors	51c	2,070$1,056 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,055.55	75	36%27 W · 48 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Timberwolves	51c	2,000$1,020 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$980	801	46.4%372 W · 429 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Timberwolves	51c	2,000$1,020 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$980	228	45.2%103 W · 125 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0122…d4a9backed Warriors	46c	1,814$839 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$838.99	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb94…243cbacked Timberwolves	53c	1,806$951 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$855.25	44	40.9%18 W · 26 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+21.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Warriors	48c	1,688$810 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$810	542	46.7%253 W · 289 L	-7.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Warriors	48c	1,685$804 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$803.71	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x46f4…5bc0backed Timberwolves	53c	1,500$795 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$704.98	56	58.9%33 W · 23 L	+5.5wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Warriors	49c	1,493$729 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$729.4	357	47.1%168 W · 189 L	-8.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Timberwolves	51c	1,476$753 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$723.4	591	40.8%241 W · 350 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Timberwolves	51c	1,250$638 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$612.5	691	49.1%339 W · 352 L	-8.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves	50c	1,200$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$600	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Warriors	43c	1,163$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	266	40.2%107 W · 159 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x158c…8a3fbacked Warriors	37c	1,145$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420.3	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Warriors	16c	1,112$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.92	545	49.5%270 W · 275 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Warriors	49c	1,100$539 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$539	112	42%47 W · 65 L	-10.1wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed Timberwolves	52c	1,100$576 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$523.99	666	45.9%306 W · 360 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84a6…4f84backed Warriors	29c	1,015$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	-2.6wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Warriors	50c	1,002$501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$501.25	293	52.6%154 W · 139 L	+14.1wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+26%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Timberwolves	51c	1,000$510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$490	672	52.7%354 W · 318 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xae8c…93cdbacked Timberwolves	58c	1,000$580 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$420	83	47%39 W · 44 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cbf…82abbacked Warriors	46c	1,000$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460	169	45.6%77 W · 92 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5140…9951backed Warriors	53c	936.55$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	82	63.4%52 W · 30 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	64cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Timberwolves	52c	932.69$485 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$447.69	434	53.2%231 W · 203 L	+6.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Timberwolves	51c	812.03$411 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$401.19	321	50.8%163 W · 158 L	+5.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Warriors	46c	807.34$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$369.5	432	44%190 W · 242 L	-18.3wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Timberwolves	52c	751.58$390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$361.89	158	49.4%78 W · 80 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca5…e6c9backed Timberwolves	56c	680$379 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300.6	112	56.3%63 W · 49 L	+9.0wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Timberwolves	52c	668.04$348 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$320.06	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xad14…34fdbacked Timberwolves	58c	620.69$360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260.69	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+1.6wins	+0.20per pick	55cpaid	+35.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Timberwolves	56c	618.38$346 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$272.09	806	53.6%432 W · 374 L	+16.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Timberwolves	50c	600$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300	1,157	47.9%554 W · 603 L	-19.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Timberwolves	53c	600$318 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$282	226	48.2%109 W · 117 L	-5.5wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Timberwolves	51c	555$283 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$271.95	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Timberwolves	65c	513.47$333 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180.35	2,208	46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Warriors	45c	507.83$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.09	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3fc2…9c0dbacked Warriors	48c	503.04$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$241.46	43	44.2%19 W · 24 L	+2.4wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Warriors	27c	500.82$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.39	397	36.3%144 W · 253 L	-27.0wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8cfc…4f30backed Timberwolves	50c	500$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250	87	44.8%39 W · 48 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xdd28…2aefbacked Warriors	21c	500$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	314	30.3%95 W · 219 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9d0f…f3e6backed Timberwolves	57c	499.99$285 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$214.99	66	59.1%39 W · 27 L	+7.2wins	+0.11per pick	48cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Warriors	44c	472.53$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.8	807	44.1%356 W · 451 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Warriors	42c	439.22$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.07	1,029	47.7%491 W · 538 L	-13.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb405…c706backed Warriors	43c	421$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.38	149	49.7%74 W · 75 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Warriors	48c	416.67$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	259	51.4%133 W · 126 L	+3.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf673…68ecbacked Timberwolves	51c	392.16$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.16	46	45.7%21 W · 25 L	-2.6wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)this page
Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 29.5No won
Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 14.5No won
Donte DiVincenzo: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
Draymond Green: Assists O/U 5.5No won
Draymond Green: Points O/U 9.5No won
Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Spread: Timberwolves (-10.5)Timberwolves won
Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Timberwolves won
Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)Timberwolves won
Stephen Curry: Assists O/U 5.5No won
Stephen Curry: Points O/U 28.5No won
Stephen Curry: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Warriors vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves won
Warriors vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
Warriors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5Under won
Warriors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5Under won
Warriors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 227.5Under won
Warriors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 230.5Under won
Warriors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 231.5Under won
Warriors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event