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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: B8 vs MIBR (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
B8of B8, MIBR
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$700,226
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$844,121

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $700,226 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 623 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x73e3…1be9backed MIBR44c43,628$19,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,093.9621853.2%116 W · 102 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed B854c38,781$21,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,725.9733343.8%146 W · 187 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd30…f316backed MIBR45c36,150$16,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,267.6613450.7%68 W · 66 L+9.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+22.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed B855c27,413$15,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,273.0323839.9%95 W · 143 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe183…62e6backed B855c25,000$13,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,224.592951.7%15 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed MIBR50c18,363$9,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,267.5582543%355 W · 470 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd888…3c9fbacked B857c17,090$9,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,362.58258.5%48 W · 34 L+9.9wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+28.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed MIBR47c16,456$7,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,797.22,69130.7%826 W · 1,865 L-110.9wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked MIBR52c15,908$8,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,334.8343538.9%169 W · 266 L-15.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked MIBR43c15,000$6,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,45078052.8%412 W · 368 L+28.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked MIBR54c12,652$6,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,772.441,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked MIBR46c10,870$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00016943.8%74 W · 95 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86bf…a172backed B849c8,233$4,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,203.673836.8%14 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed B855c7,777$4,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,499.667041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ebc…a33dbacked MIBR39c6,174$2,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,384.7264356.9%366 W · 277 L+40.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked B854c5,618$3,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,569.9825239.7%100 W · 152 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9279…4748backed B875c5,408$4,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,352.9519358%112 W · 81 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed B855c5,400$2,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,45033359.8%199 W · 134 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c52…1a59backed B855c5,301$2,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,385.639849%48 W · 50 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9679…9315backed B835c5,153$1,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,328.548053.8%43 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed B855c5,000$2,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,243.0957336.1%207 W · 366 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked B854c5,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,299.9838358.7%225 W · 158 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed MIBR51c4,796$2,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,438.811,46139.3%574 W · 887 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c63…3cbbbacked MIBR48c4,199$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00046965.5%307 W · 162 L0.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20b8…0b16backed MIBR29c4,125$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2001612.5%2 W · 14 L-4.3wins-0.27per pick39cpaid-71.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x58a2…c1c2backed B850c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0005151%26 W · 25 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5031…1ffbbacked B851c3,888$1,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,905.14360.5%26 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked B868c3,524$2,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,110.6892456.8%525 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfed…9d03backed MIBR51c3,460$1,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,764.411631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-39.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd537…0f7cbacked MIBR17c3,199$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.2633457.8%193 W · 141 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x616a…5046backed MIBR46c3,181$1,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,463.36560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+50.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked MIBR34c3,072$1,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,036.482,23743.2%966 W · 1,271 L-70.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb726…4d2bbacked MIBR29c3,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8608941.6%37 W · 52 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb72…6532backed MIBR48c3,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,439.867855.1%43 W · 35 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+29.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked MIBR31c2,969$907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906.967617.1%13 W · 63 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-54.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a86…cc01backed MIBR34c2,793$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$938.16136.1%22 W · 39 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-28.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1f2d…2b35backed MIBR45c2,700$1,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,21515251.3%78 W · 74 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77ac…1bf6backed B850c2,664$1,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,328.5428961.2%177 W · 112 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed MIBR37c2,580$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.92,58941.2%1,066 W · 1,523 L-123.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0ec…4892backed MIBR40c2,560$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.89250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed B866c2,514$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.922,53643.1%1,094 W · 1,442 L+44.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66da…69b0backed B861c2,401$1,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$945.7428142.3%119 W · 162 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed MIBR39c2,381$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.375,40031.5%1,699 W · 3,701 L-393.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked MIBR37c2,358$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.3271123.9%170 W · 541 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick23cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed MIBR46c2,351$1,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,09030148.8%147 W · 154 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x913a…edc8backed MIBR45c2,206$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.25714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.32per pick46cpaid-65.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed B860c2,188$1,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.0826660.9%162 W · 104 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked B849c2,188$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,115.6432948.3%159 W · 170 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed MIBR44c2,089$911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911.4369351.9%360 W · 333 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cde…96e2backed MIBR48c2,071$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992.961040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+40.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9de…c026backed B856c2,057$1,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$914.331546.7%7 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x615d…bd5bbacked MIBR48c2,051$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.565641.1%23 W · 33 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe52c…01f4backed MIBR46c2,001$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920.464542.2%19 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb002…0330backed MIBR45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed MIBR1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205740%0 W · 574 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba5e…f9c4backed MIBR54c1,970$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.076546.2%30 W · 35 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed MIBR46c1,957$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90050050.8%254 W · 246 L-21.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked MIBR39c1,937$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.642,44142.9%1,047 W · 1,394 L-72.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36f9…4df8backed B853c1,875$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881.1218356.3%103 W · 80 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b0f…3476backed MIBR30c1,857$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.083713.5%5 W · 32 L-7.5wins-0.20per pick34cpaid-64%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked MIBR34c1,826$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.841,93242.2%815 W · 1,117 L-69.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked B817c1,826$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,514.745,65147.2%2,668 W · 2,983 L+46.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed B855c1,818$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.182045%9 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2972…3f29backed B855c1,818$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.18933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-38.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed MIBR61c1,807$1,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,093.981,04253.1%553 W · 489 L+62.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked B855c1,770$973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.595,13755%2,826 W · 2,311 L+119.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5733…4c87backed MIBR57c1,660$939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$938.795836.2%21 W · 37 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked MIBR34c1,658$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.581,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x35f0…971ebacked B849c1,643$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$838.0931647.8%151 W · 165 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked MIBR44c1,635$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.088,05850.3%4,055 W · 4,003 L+171.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked MIBR52c1,585$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.163,99436.5%1,456 W · 2,538 L-207.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2614…4442backed B855c1,582$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.921448.1%103 W · 111 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked MIBR44c1,570$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.962,81637.6%1,060 W · 1,756 L-138.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked MIBR36c1,502$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.43,62429.4%1,065 W · 2,559 L-291.8wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0f0b…f901backed B849c1,500$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.9835953.2%191 W · 168 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked B855c1,455$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.5575945.3%344 W · 415 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked B848c1,410$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.21,04252.5%547 W · 495 L+29.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked MIBR33c1,380$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.062,60652.6%1,371 W · 1,235 L+96.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed B864c1,330$857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.956,52242.9%2,798 W · 3,724 L-80.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed B859c1,325$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.741,00869.3%699 W · 309 L+152.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed MIBR31c1,302$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40014839.2%58 W · 90 L-15.4wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-29.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x490a…1d4bbacked B857c1,256$716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.1929235.6%104 W · 188 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked B855c1,223$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.3517948.6%87 W · 92 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked B856c1,221$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.84,81743.4%2,091 W · 2,726 L-90.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed MIBR43c1,212$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.1537940.6%154 W · 225 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9572…efffbacked MIBR24c1,200$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28222940.6%93 W · 136 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a13…4d34backed MIBR30c1,200$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.2211838.1%45 W · 73 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+43.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2067…7350backed B862c1,196$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.427657.6%159 W · 117 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed B853c1,186$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.371,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc51f…5dc6backed MIBR45c1,111$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9514854.1%80 W · 68 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3e5…519dbacked B876c1,111$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.646972.5%50 W · 19 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+61.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c93…33d5backed B855c1,100$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49548437.6%182 W · 302 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+42%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbbb…3df5backed MIBR36c1,100$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.9910148.5%49 W · 52 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked B876c1,076$823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.9939157.5%225 W · 166 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf876…1deebacked B854c1,066$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.4519546.2%90 W · 105 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a57…7b0abacked MIBR44c1,055$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.4122449.6%111 W · 113 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc28f…6193backed MIBR44c1,023$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45011354.9%62 W · 51 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f16…553dbacked MIBR45c1,018$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45822751.5%117 W · 110 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed MIBR46c1,016$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.5715146.4%70 W · 81 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked MIBR49c1,012$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.1213760.6%83 W · 54 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.