CS2 · resolved market
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: B8 (-3.5) vs MIBR (+3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaedb63cbcff2173779b31988e86730b84f7f393d2a64df7d48f9a5ce6607d389
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MIBRof B8, MIBR
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,669
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,098
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,669 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3881…804ebacked MIBR | 63c | 2,979$1,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.2 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked B8 | 37c | 2,562$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.08 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa57e…ed54backed B8 | 37c | 1,049$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed MIBR | 61c | 814.52$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.52 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bc…e09bbacked B8 | 50c | 691.96$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed B8 | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 159 | 48.4%77 W · 82 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed MIBR | 50c | 467.45$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.42 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8494…814abacked B8 | 37c | 396.83$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.83 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…ceb5backed MIBR | 63c | 396.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.83 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked MIBR | 61c | 343.21$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.85 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6add…6992backed B8 | 39c | 328.21$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed B8 | 38c | 314.52$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.52 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed MIBR | 59c | 200$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.5 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked MIBR | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 391 | 57.5%225 W · 166 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c1…489fbacked B8 | 40c | 97.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked B8 | 38c | 91.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed MIBR | 63c | 70$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked MIBR | 50c | 62.36$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.18 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed MIBR | 58c | 58.79$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.69 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed B8 | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…a3dbbacked MIBR | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 366 | 39.9%146 W · 220 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: B8 (-3.5) vs MIBR (+3.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs MIBR (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group StageB8 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.