NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Nets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21b8f6323ed7c16f8912e3e2917550dd933bb76a7988cbabab3f00ca5b6e0e53
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof Heat, Nets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,672,925
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,766,036
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,672,925 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 696 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf98d…7adbbacked Nets | 31c | 225,115$69,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,647.3 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc9…26fbbacked Nets | 30c | 188,451$56,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,535.36 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +7.5wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +26%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Heat | 69c | 100,000$69,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,000 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Heat | 71c | 97,394$68,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,658.16 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nets | 31c | 94,968$29,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,100.16 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Heat | 69c | 71,961$49,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,050.18 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd43c…04e8backed Nets | 32c | 69,889$22,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,364.64 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -12.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Nets | 29c | 50,390$14,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,613.19 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Heat | 70c | 50,129$35,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,115.09 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…1795backed Nets | 30c | 50,000$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,999.99 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nets | 25c | 44,362$10,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,891.62 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Heat | 69c | 42,978$29,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,324.68 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Nets | 31c | 42,000$13,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,119.92 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Nets | 31c | 40,000$12,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,400 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Heat | 69c | 38,494$26,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,756.28 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Heat | 70c | 38,149$26,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,589.97 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Heat | 69c | 36,213$25,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,074.54 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Heat | 70c | 34,014$23,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,204.25 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Nets | 3c | 33,072$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.88 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x062a…c2a3backed Nets | 31c | 30,000$9,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,300 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…fa80backed Heat | 69c | 30,000$20,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,299.99 | 180 | 45%81 W · 99 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f16…0246backed Nets | 29c | 29,513$8,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,500 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Heat | 70c | 29,474$20,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,942.37 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Heat | 72c | 29,007$20,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,125.86 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62a…c2c7backed Heat | 69c | 29,000$20,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,990 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Heat | 77c | 24,002$18,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,432.4 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Heat | 79c | 20,567$16,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,324.68 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Heat | 70c | 20,304$14,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,029.09 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Nets | 31c | 20,000$6,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,100 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Nets | 31c | 18,881$5,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,933.93 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Nets | 7c | 18,755$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.56 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Heat | 69c | 18,228$12,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,646.06 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e6…025bbacked Heat | 69c | 17,555$12,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,442.05 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Heat | 68c | 16,779$11,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,369.28 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Heat | 71c | 16,372$11,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,747.87 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Heat | 71c | 16,000$11,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,640 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Nets | 28c | 15,719$4,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,401.43 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Heat | 72c | 15,712$11,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,396.4 | 184 | 53.3%98 W · 86 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Nets | 28c | 15,000$4,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,154.64 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Heat | 68c | 14,706$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,705.88 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Heat | 69c | 14,648$10,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,546.04 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21de…0a94backed Heat | 69c | 12,899$8,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,998.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Heat | 69c | 12,525$8,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,883.9 | 176 | 58%102 W · 74 L | +13.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Heat | 70c | 11,584$8,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,475.05 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Nets | 0c | 11,240$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.74 | 250 | 16.8%42 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Heat | 69c | 11,078$7,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,406 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…dbbdbacked Heat | 72c | 10,158$7,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,844.32 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -6.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9615…60ddbacked Nets | 30c | 10,100$3,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,077 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Heat | 71c | 10,000$7,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Heat | 68c | 9,276$6,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,010.1 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…9498backed Heat | 69c | 9,248$6,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,866.87 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Nets | 31c | 8,607$2,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,692.8 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec0…f7aabacked Nets | 31c | 7,212$2,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,235.8 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Nets | 26c | 6,805$1,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,769 | 400 | 41.5%166 W · 234 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Heat | 70c | 6,750$4,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,058.5 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Heat | 69c | 6,580$4,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.8 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x708d…8a09backed Nets | 23c | 6,533$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480 | 219 | 23.7%52 W · 167 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Heat | 68c | 6,441$4,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,061.18 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Nets | 32c | 6,326$2,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,043.87 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Heat | 69c | 6,295$4,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,934.97 | 255 | 54.1%138 W · 117 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1692…831fbacked Heat | 75c | 6,083$4,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,502.41 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Heat | 69c | 5,659$3,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,756.24 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee9c…8a16backed Heat | 69c | 5,494$3,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ab…ded1backed Nets | 39c | 5,192$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Nets | 29c | 5,100$1,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482.99 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Nets | 16c | 4,659$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.36 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Heat | 68c | 4,032$2,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290.3 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9bb3backed Heat | 69c | 4,012$2,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.76 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Heat | 72c | 3,853$2,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.18 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Nets | 4c | 3,634$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.82 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Nets | 28c | 3,446$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.04 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Nets | 32c | 3,393$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.76 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42fd…4661backed Nets | 30c | 3,358$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Nets | 1c | 3,309$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Heat | 69c | 3,250$2,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.5 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Heat | 69c | 3,196$2,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.91 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Nets | 22c | 3,000$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.97 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Nets | 31c | 3,000$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Heat | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 278 | 48.9%136 W · 142 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Heat | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Nets | 31c | 2,938$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.05 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb990…8d52backed Nets | 31c | 2,600$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc04b…bd48backed Heat | 66c | 2,600$1,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884 | 122 | 40.2%49 W · 73 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Heat | 69c | 2,561$1,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.03 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Heat | 72c | 2,500$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.99 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Heat | 74c | 2,476$1,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.65 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Heat | 69c | 2,441$1,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.73 | 226 | 37.2%84 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Heat | 73c | 2,372$1,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.29 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Nets | 24c | 2,266$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.11 | 342 | 27.2%93 W · 249 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Nets | 1c | 2,151$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked Nets | 25c | 2,069$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Nets | 29c | 2,050$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.57 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Heat | 77c | 2,025$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.98 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Nets | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…9536backed Nets | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ad…af2ebacked Nets | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeef4…32a1backed Nets | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Heat | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5caa…953fbacked Heat | 65c | 2,000$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.99 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.22per pick | 46cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…4cc6backed Heat | 69c | 1,900$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.03 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.21per pick | 44cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Heat vs. Netsthis page
- 1H Spread: Heat (-3.5)Heat won
- Heat vs. Nets: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Heat vs. Nets: O/U 224.5Under won
- Heat vs. Nets: O/U 225.5Under won
- Heat vs. Nets: O/U 226.5Under won
- Heat vs. Nets: O/U 227.5Under won
- Heat vs. Nets: O/U 228.5Under won
- Heat vs. Nets: O/U 229.5Under won
- Spread: Heat (-5.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-6.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-7.5)Heat won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.