NBA · resolved market

Spread: Heat (-7.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed2e0a0bec332c595fdb305b37a556b380c8cae670d57228f6dab0f6a570bcf9

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Heatof Heat, Nets
Resolved: Dec 19, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $182,061
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $181,883

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $182,061 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x16b2…a881backed Heat	49c	73,484$36,025 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37,459.4	2,298	51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L	+65.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9165…5b98backed Heat	51c	35,895$18,450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,444.74	252	48.4%122 W · 130 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Nets	51c	30,000$15,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,300	513	50.1%257 W · 256 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Heat	52c	20,154$10,480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,674.64	593	47%279 W · 314 L	-7.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Nets	51c	20,000$10,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,200	1,124	48.6%546 W · 578 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Nets	48c	20,000$9,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,600	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Nets	50c	10,262$5,131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,131.04	1,046	51.1%534 W · 512 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbcc9…26fbbacked Nets	51c	10,000$5,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,100	44	56.8%25 W · 19 L	+7.5wins	+0.17per pick	40cpaid	+26%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Nets	49c	8,366$4,117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,117.48	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x25cc…9297backed Nets	49c	8,000$3,920 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,920	169	42%71 W · 98 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Nets	58c	7,000$4,060 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,059.96	736	49.9%367 W · 369 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Heat	49c	6,500$3,184 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,316.1	173	48.6%84 W · 89 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ba7…1bc2backed Nets	51c	4,627$2,360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,360	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.5wins	-0.30per pick	50cpaid	-62.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7634…1b96backed Nets	51c	4,596$2,344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,344	240	51.3%123 W · 117 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Nets	57c	4,356$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	767	46.4%356 W · 411 L	-16.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Nets	48c	4,177$2,005 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,004.96	1,715	44.5%764 W · 951 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Nets	48c	3,039$1,470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,469.85	1,139	48.3%550 W · 589 L	+3.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed Heat	50c	3,000$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,500	184	53.3%98 W · 86 L	+7.9wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Heat	50c	2,909$1,454 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,454.29	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2195…16f9backed Nets	51c	2,114$1,078 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,077.9	51	45.1%23 W · 28 L	-2.9wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Nets	48c	2,032$972 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$972.4	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x45d5…47efbacked Heat	44c	1,969$866 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,102.81	106	42.5%45 W · 61 L	-6.4wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Nets	51c	1,961$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	462	58.2%269 W · 193 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Heat	51c	1,668$858 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$809.54	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Nets	50c	1,515$758 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$757.53	363	51.2%186 W · 177 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Nets	50c	1,450$725 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$725	1,085	63.6%690 W · 395 L	+86.7wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+13%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Nets	43c	1,390$604 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$604.27	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Heat	44c	1,364$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$763.64	1,157	47.9%554 W · 603 L	-19.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc87b…51d4backed Nets	52c	1,346$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	210	55.2%116 W · 94 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Nets	49c	920.98$451 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$451.28	656	49.2%323 W · 333 L	+9.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6e7…caa8backed Nets	4c	800$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	158	7%11 W · 147 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Nets	45c	603.96$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271.04	263	36.5%96 W · 167 L	-9.1wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d9d…992bbacked Nets	50c	600$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	118	34.7%41 W · 77 L	-9.6wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2bd5…26ccbacked Nets	54c	599.98$322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$321.99	516	51%263 W · 253 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Nets	50c	500.07$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.53	2,796	50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L	+27.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Heat	44c	500$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$280	1,197	47.5%569 W · 628 L	-32.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Heat	33c	474$155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$318.8	1,055	49.9%526 W · 529 L	+29.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c8c…237dbacked Heat	24c	416.67$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$316.67	81	56.8%46 W · 35 L	+9.0wins	+0.11per pick	46cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Nets	47c	405$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.35	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Heat	44c	350.89$154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196.5	1,475	51.3%756 W · 719 L	+35.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Nets	47c	302$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.94	1,911	45.4%868 W · 1,043 L	+22.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17e7…85a1backed Nets	52c	300$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156	195	56.9%111 W · 84 L	+20.0wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Heat	47c	274.73$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.88	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Nets	47c	250$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.5	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Nets	44c	223.43$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.66	526	43%226 W · 300 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Nets	54c	210$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.6	617	47.8%295 W · 322 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef31…1798backed Nets	54c	185$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.9	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Heat	45c	167.42$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.08	293	46.4%136 W · 157 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc3e…776bbacked Heat	56c	143.3$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.3	90	47.8%43 W · 47 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fc7…b89bbacked Nets	52c	138.46$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	27	59.3%16 W · 11 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…1943backed Nets	52c	134.62$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	201	50.7%102 W · 99 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9270…7c9ebacked Nets	48c	115.38$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.38	114	45.6%52 W · 62 L	-5.6wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Nets	48c	106.63$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.18	762	47.1%359 W · 403 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c62…01a3backed Nets	50c	104$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-1.4wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Nets	49c	102.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1,661	50.3%836 W · 825 L	-14.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Heat	44c	102$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Nets	51c	100$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	958	48.7%467 W · 491 L	+24.5wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x22eb…7d8dbacked Nets	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	30	33.3%10 W · 20 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Nets	56c	100$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	909	57.6%524 W · 385 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Heat	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	427	44.5%190 W · 237 L	-9.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe54d…fdecbacked Nets	55c	100$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	185	56.8%105 W · 80 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	60cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb545…6e0abacked Nets	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	175	27.4%48 W · 127 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36ce…daddbacked Nets	52c	100$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	61	54.1%33 W · 28 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Heat	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0c7…5861backed Nets	55c	90.91$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	516	51.2%264 W · 252 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ff…121cbacked Heat	49c	81.63$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.63	68	45.6%31 W · 37 L	-4.8wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Heat	51c	70$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.3	624	50%312 W · 312 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3cdb…7a7abacked Nets	51c	65$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.15	58	44.8%26 W · 32 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0495…c68fbacked Nets	48c	62.5$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	113	46%52 W · 61 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc76c…0206backed Nets	56c	62$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.72	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.20per pick	54cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52b6…b02ebacked Nets	49c	61.22$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	223	42.2%94 W · 129 L	-7.4wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c5d…6fcabacked Nets	49c	60.33$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.56	62	33.9%21 W · 41 L	-3.6wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67bc…4d94backed Nets	52c	57.69$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	210	51.4%108 W · 102 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Heat	44c	56.98$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.91	1,294	48.1%623 W · 671 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Heat	43c	55$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.14	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb54…ed59backed Nets	55c	54.55$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	105	50.5%53 W · 52 L	+4.7wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Nets	50c	51.82$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.68	1,695	44.7%758 W · 937 L	-30.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b74…b58fbacked Nets	68c	50$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	166	69.9%116 W · 50 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	68cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62c6…55acbacked Heat	50c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	28	50%14 W · 14 L	+2.1wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0356…5273backed Heat	44c	49$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.44	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b20…7c67backed Nets	55c	45.45$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	195	52.8%103 W · 92 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc0af…5490backed Nets	49c	44.9$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	288	56.9%164 W · 124 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Heat	45c	43.83$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.11	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb4f7…1cddbacked Nets	51c	39.98$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.39	67	41.8%28 W · 39 L	-3.9wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-10%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf888…d04ebacked Nets	52c	38.46$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0564…82fdbacked Nets	52c	38.46$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabf6…129dbacked Nets	54c	36.86$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	199	51.8%103 W · 96 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Heat	46c	34.99$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.9	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x389b…154ebacked Heat	45c	33$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.15	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.6wins	+0.54per pick	46cpaid	+119.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Nets	50c	31.9$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.95	659	50.8%335 W · 324 L	+15.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Heat	47c	31$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.43	446	48%214 W · 232 L	-12.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87b4…23c0backed Heat	45c	29$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.95	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.1wins	+0.19per pick	48cpaid	+39.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Heat	50c	28.9$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.45	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x708a…aadabacked Nets	52c	28.85$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	53	52.8%28 W · 25 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Nets	44c	27.42$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.12	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38b9…1cb4backed Nets	49c	24.47$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.99	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-2.2wins	-0.37per pick	54cpaid	-72.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Nets	50c	24.46$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.23	1,786	53.2%950 W · 836 L	+52.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Nets	47c	22.87$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.75	455	42.4%193 W · 262 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6794…c10dbacked Nets	66c	21.79$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.38	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Heat	80c	14$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2.85	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Heat (-7.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event