TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Spurs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Knicks, Spurs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,053,112
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,124,562

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,053,112 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc2e7…be51backed Spurs61c1,177,549$722,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454,718.8810049%49 W · 51 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Knicks40c446,825$178,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178,327.162,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Knicks38c400,000$152,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152,00026253.8%141 W · 121 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d3b…c46bbacked Spurs61c311,466$189,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121,471.737745.5%35 W · 42 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18d1…dbcbbacked Knicks41c266,933$108,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108,5009641.7%40 W · 56 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Knicks36c262,021$93,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93,041.711,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b6c…6305backed Spurs58c103,468$59,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,554.747941.8%33 W · 46 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+20.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Knicks39c102,177$39,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,677.041,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0352…3292backed Spurs54c70,000$37,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,20010158.4%59 W · 42 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Spurs60c66,189$39,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,475.4159653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Knicks40c60,601$24,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,35150653.2%269 W · 237 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x060e…2384backed Knicks42c60,000$25,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,2008037.5%30 W · 50 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Knicks38c52,624$20,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,258.2859347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb889…a430backed Spurs60c50,000$30,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,0009263%58 W · 34 L+9.8wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+21.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x654d…8e3ebacked Knicks42c45,000$18,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,699.96825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Spurs59c40,000$23,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,4001,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Spurs34c39,103$13,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,650.7425925.9%67 W · 192 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Knicks70c35,759$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,00016846.4%78 W · 90 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Knicks46c35,000$16,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,10024650%123 W · 123 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Spurs59c33,333$19,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,666.5347848.1%230 W · 248 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbca1…dd13backed Knicks63c31,585$19,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,899.991233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-40.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Knicks41c28,779$11,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,754.62,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Knicks39c25,641$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0005947.5%28 W · 31 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Spurs37c25,000$9,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,75051350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Knicks44c24,525$10,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,746.8330845.8%141 W · 167 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Knicks46c23,923$11,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,029.3944654.3%242 W · 204 L+21.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Knicks40c23,483$9,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,483.2737944.3%168 W · 211 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Spurs35c22,243$7,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,496.161,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Knicks42c22,062$9,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,266.185534.5%19 W · 36 L-6.5wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked Knicks62c20,536$12,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,648.777869.2%54 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick70cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83ab…3d56backed Spurs47c20,365$9,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,756.869343%40 W · 53 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Knicks39c20,149$7,858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,858.2829245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8980…d4f4backed Knicks42c20,000$8,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,40021951.1%112 W · 107 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ca8…1a39backed Knicks40c19,821$7,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,928.288343.4%36 W · 47 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Knicks2c17,971$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.21,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed Spurs53c17,685$9,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,311.7820055%110 W · 90 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Spurs58c17,241$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,241.3834062.1%211 W · 129 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Spurs54c17,056$9,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,816.271,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf83e…4663backed Knicks43c16,417$7,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,057.1422051.8%114 W · 106 L+1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Knicks57c15,996$9,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,183.245,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Spurs55c15,771$8,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,058.72,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x062a…c2a3backed Spurs58c15,000$8,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,299.9919048.4%92 W · 98 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+25.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Spurs52c12,848$6,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,118.521,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Spurs44c12,510$5,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,954.21,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Knicks49c12,500$6,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,12147856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x27d2…a66cbacked Knicks65c12,010$7,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,800.2621450%107 W · 107 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Spurs59c11,000$6,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,5102,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Knicks41c11,000$4,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,459.9878445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07c8…2696backed Spurs52c10,631$5,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,125.631540%6 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-5.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Spurs69c10,526$7,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,295.2181529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Knicks1c10,427$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.2764517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31b0…8c4cbacked Knicks54c10,125$5,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,467.3511750.4%59 W · 58 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Spurs37c10,002$3,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,280.091,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55a1…db28backed Knicks47c10,000$4,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,7005541.8%23 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfbf5…b4f8backed Spurs57c9,846$5,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,186.312100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9285…749ebacked Spurs31c9,808$3,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,767.555541.8%23 W · 32 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0aa3…64e9backed Knicks45c9,745$4,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,385.056358.7%37 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Knicks51c9,532$4,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,884.2712143%52 W · 69 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs57c8,563$4,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,697.034,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Spurs53c8,006$4,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,762.7226544.9%119 W · 146 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7320…28b4backed Knicks42c8,000$3,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,36012657.1%72 W · 54 L+11.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Spurs37c7,847$2,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,943.624053.8%129 W · 111 L+12.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Spurs60c7,777$4,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,110.7929748.1%143 W · 154 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Knicks66c7,500$4,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,935.0173649.9%367 W · 369 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Spurs40c7,025$2,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,185.48,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Spurs54c7,000$3,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,250.171,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbdac…f7e2backed Knicks47c6,531$3,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,082.0519136.1%69 W · 122 L-15.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Knicks26c6,489$1,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,655.2548046%221 W · 259 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Knicks52c6,441$3,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,375.0148845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Knicks40c6,325$2,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,544.929,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Knicks47c6,144$2,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,918.0520352.2%106 W · 97 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Spurs68c6,014$4,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,952.321,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Spurs52c6,000$3,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8801,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b3b…a84abacked Knicks61c5,978$3,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,620.222462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x11e2…8ea7backed Spurs43c5,923$2,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,375.211145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5150…3f69backed Knicks46c5,921$2,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,701.998268.3%56 W · 26 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x22ed…002bbacked Knicks42c5,870$2,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,465.443246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+32.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Spurs58c5,861$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,461.7848343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked Knicks39c5,733$2,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,235.858961.8%55 W · 34 L+0.4wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Spurs53c5,561$2,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,605.2522458.9%132 W · 92 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Knicks73c5,459$3,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,985.2952460.1%315 W · 209 L+35.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ec0…f7aabacked Knicks46c5,332$2,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,441.7314254.9%78 W · 64 L+9.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x439b…2c9abacked Spurs46c5,295$2,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,834.0312843.8%56 W · 72 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Spurs59c5,288$3,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,168.135438.1%135 W · 219 L+1.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x790b…655fbacked Knicks46c5,274$2,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,425.9250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41a8…1e0fbacked Spurs53c5,179$2,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,434.042100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+113.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2487…fa80backed Spurs58c5,015$2,909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,106.318045%81 W · 99 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161e…6ef0backed Spurs49c5,014$2,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,554.755664.3%36 W · 20 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8b…77d4backed Spurs53c5,001$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,350.4211244.6%50 W · 62 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x089b…2193backed Spurs13c5,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,35027731.4%87 W · 190 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Knicks41c5,000$2,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,069.9975347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35bd…1ecfbacked Knicks46c5,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,299.9814945.6%68 W · 81 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde6f…7ea7backed Spurs53c4,817$2,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,263.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd065…93e8backed Knicks71c4,723$3,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,373.9110945.9%50 W · 59 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x88cc…e4ebbacked Knicks46c4,722$2,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,171.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e68…3215backed Spurs60c4,640$2,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,85611755.6%65 W · 52 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Knicks57c4,635$2,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,659.213,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44b9…0598backed Knicks58c4,586$2,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,669.92040%8 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Spurs47c4,502$2,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,399.681,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Knicks52c4,464$2,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,318.4561939.6%245 W · 374 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.