NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 234.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58d112c0c2745a874f6ca0a608ed958aa36c1f13219d96ac0f9f344be87f2179
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,292
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,743
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,292 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under | 49c | 21,000$10,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,350 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 51c | 17,062$8,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,382.6 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 51c | 15,310$7,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,547.83 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 49c | 10,493$5,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,171.19 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked Over | 51c | 9,341$4,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,595.97 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 6,304$3,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,076.12 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 4,750$2,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,335 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…47efbacked Over | 51c | 3,687$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,806.52 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Under | 49c | 2,533$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.07 | 277 | 35%97 W · 180 L | -30.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over | 53c | 1,415$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.09 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 51c | 1,364$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.14 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e68…3215backed Under | 50c | 1,348$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Under | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 271 | 61.3%166 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 48c | 547.26$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.68 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa21a…c0c6backed Over | 52c | 415.46$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.42 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 55c | 350$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 49c | 299.99$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.99 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4692…0feebacked Over | 62c | 206.29$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.39 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -6.8wins | -0.26per pick | 57cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…f8d5backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15a3…718ebacked Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Under | 38c | 176.29$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.99 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +9.0wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 39c | 167.6$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.02 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Under | 46c | 165.55$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.15 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eee…bc95backed Over | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 52c | 144.69$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.02 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc01…6397backed Under | 46c | 143.84$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefc2…a352backed Over | 58c | 136.89$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf2…099dbacked Under | 49c | 135.69$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 44c | 132.67$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.49 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0590…b99ebacked Over | 61c | 120.67$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 111.2$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.59 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Over | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 710 | 44.6%317 W · 393 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 45c | 77.53$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Under | 50c | 76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 93 | 60.2%56 W · 37 L | +10.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked Under | 50c | 73$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -8.6wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2107…8f4cbacked Under | 46c | 71.72$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked Under | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 288 | 52.8%152 W · 136 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Over | 51c | 56.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 745 | 47.2%352 W · 393 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x334f…0d32backed Over | 56c | 51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b9…7b8dbacked Over | 56c | 44.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 49c | 43.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d8…480bbacked Under | 49c | 38.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Under | 41c | 36.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 342 | 46.8%160 W · 182 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6014…5a58backed Over | 50c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Under | 50c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…e560backed Over | 50c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 415 | 56.9%236 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eee…5ac4backed Under | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9b…0bc0backed Over | 50c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa64b…1e4bbacked Over | 55c | 28.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…1969backed Over | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Under | 48c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Over | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 42c | 24.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Under | 48c | 24.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 222 | 47.3%105 W · 117 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Over | 52c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1231…786cbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 234.5this page
- Knicks vs. SpursSpurs won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 233.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 235.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 236.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 237.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 238.5Over won
- Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.