TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Spurs, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$105,710
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$105,552

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,710 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed Spurs51c50,044$25,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,521.4220055%110 W · 90 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Knicks56c16,464$9,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,240.533,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Knicks49c16,212$7,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,944.12,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks50c6,023$3,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,015.468,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Knicks47c5,903$2,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,759.49,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Knicks48c5,823$2,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,824.2242648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Spurs46c5,132$2,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,751.544,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0352…3292backed Spurs52c5,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,399.9810158.4%59 W · 42 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8f82…f278backed Knicks49c4,082$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks44c3,809$1,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,669.466,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Knicks51c3,083$1,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5791,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Knicks49c3,029$1,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,483.15,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks47c2,171$1,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.34,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Spurs50c2,152$1,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,07682442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee7e…b1e0backed Knicks51c1,830$934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933.71471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+43.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Knicks49c1,501$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.421,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Spurs51c1,474$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.612,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Knicks49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49044654.3%242 W · 204 L+21.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d46…b09bbacked Spurs50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50015857%90 W · 68 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Spurs36c1,000$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6403,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Spurs54c875.5$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.3349938.9%194 W · 305 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Spurs55c499.99$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2252,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Knicks57c435.34$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.382,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Knicks49c424.81$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.162,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Knicks48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Knicks48c314.75$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.0834654%187 W · 159 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Spurs21c300$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2371,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Spurs45c278$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.651,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Knicks49c262.97$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.643,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Spurs46c252.61$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.4388845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Spurs58c250$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10585147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Spurs50c247$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.51,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x699c…3600backed Knicks42c247$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.748052.5%42 W · 38 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Spurs22c237.68$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.512,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x94a4…7e2dbacked Knicks45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001540%6 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9331…0951backed Spurs55c215.25$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.864252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Knicks47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Spurs53c210$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.471,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Knicks49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036649.5%181 W · 185 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a91…88e1backed Spurs58c199.99$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845131.4%16 W · 35 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick36cpaid+30.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x16e4…0641backed Spurs70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.867035.7%25 W · 45 L-6.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Spurs56c136$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.842,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Knicks48c134.2$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.532,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Knicks27c129$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.172,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9061…9510backed Knicks43c125$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.757162%44 W · 27 L+8.4wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+22%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9d30…2645backed Knicks44c103$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.327448.6%36 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7927…34d2backed Spurs51c102.35$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.154158.5%24 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa57…1e6bbacked Spurs52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.153053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Knicks49c95$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5550347.9%241 W · 262 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x177d…88cfbacked Knicks49c93.88$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-62.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb29f…0d01backed Spurs55c92.5$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a1e…2e41backed Spurs50c88$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x858e…c3c9backed Knicks48c80$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9ba…d1c2backed Spurs52c80$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.42142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb82d…5d1ebacked Knicks44c75$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339446.8%44 W · 50 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed Knicks48c70$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.621056.2%118 W · 92 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d0e…4049backed Knicks43c68.97$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3024253.3%129 W · 113 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Spurs54c65$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.980744.1%356 W · 451 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Spurs55c63.69$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.6937755.7%210 W · 167 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0a8…753bbacked Knicks49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.41770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+36.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6931…89cabacked Knicks69c56.74$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1510248%49 W · 53 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Spurs53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.61,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Knicks48c53.42$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5163745.8%292 W · 345 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f3a…9bdbbacked Spurs58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213959%23 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce9b…0bc0backed Spurs58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6162…e856backed Spurs58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213562.9%22 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+19.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x143d…5bc4backed Spurs58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215843.1%25 W · 33 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3e29…c992backed Spurs58c47$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.745164.7%33 W · 18 L+6.4wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+24.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8655…0853backed Spurs57c45$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.353652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4b0…07bfbacked Knicks48c43.75$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc427…ee41backed Knicks44c43$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.924757.4%27 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0969…b289backed Knicks47c41.69$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5922247.3%105 W · 117 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1540…04e9backed Knicks49c41.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.215168.6%35 W · 16 L+8.1wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+31.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xcc36…1b11backed Spurs30c40$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289943.4%43 W · 56 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x90aa…5f6cbacked Spurs54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0421849.5%108 W · 110 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x061e…81e0backed Spurs54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0419849%97 W · 101 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcba…d962backed Spurs54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.048543.5%37 W · 48 L-7.9wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1313…866abacked Spurs57c36$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.484652.2%24 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Knicks57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208234.1%28 W · 54 L-8.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-23.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x552e…a856backed Spurs59c35$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.354650%23 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8806…1df6backed Spurs58c34.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.469549.5%47 W · 48 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa852…d55dbacked Knicks52c33.53$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.45339.6%21 W · 32 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9874…15d7backed Spurs56c31$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.642536%9 W · 16 L-3.7wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-27.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Spurs50c30.29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1593849.7%466 W · 472 L+36.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Knicks50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1566143.4%287 W · 374 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd934…a00abacked Knicks45c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.515347.7%73 W · 80 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0d7…e241backed Knicks46c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-41.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x859a…1ccebacked Spurs56c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.22972.4%21 W · 8 L+6.0wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+43.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb6f8…256ebacked Knicks51c29.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159547.4%45 W · 50 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Knicks43c28$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.963,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2700…8235backed Knicks43c27.36$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.91020%2 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-67.9%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x117d…6542backed Spurs55c27.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2756454.3%306 W · 258 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3888…0755backed Knicks48c27.08$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1325058.4%146 W · 104 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Knicks48c27$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9662450%312 W · 312 L-2.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa49…949ebacked Knicks44c27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.886160.7%37 W · 24 L+6.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Knicks44c27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8837949.3%187 W · 192 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfacf…e97abacked Spurs56c26$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.443751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dd4…9cebbacked Spurs56c26$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.442846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x15b7…7fd0backed Spurs57c21$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.033863.2%24 W · 14 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+22.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6468…e03dbacked Spurs56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.83053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.