TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H Moneyline

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Knicksof Knicks, Spurs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,324
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,879

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,324 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd7b6…31e9backed Knicks47c1,442$678 inWon+$764.181553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Spurs53c1,317$698 inLost-$697.9344654.3%242 W · 204 L+21.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc87b…51d4backed Spurs39c512.82$200 inLost-$20021055.2%116 W · 94 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Knicks65c480$313 inWon+$166.751,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x250e…e864backed Spurs54c400$216 inLost-$215.73551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Knicks46c400$184 inWon+$21631354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Knicks50c200$100 inWon+$10015844.9%71 W · 87 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c49…ca9dbacked Spurs50c200$100 inLost-$10018240.7%74 W · 108 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0d6…14d9backed Spurs51c158.04$80 inLost-$8013946.8%65 W · 74 L+11.6wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Spurs16c125$20 inLost-$2016532.7%54 W · 111 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Knicks66c100$66 inWon+$345,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1aa…054ebacked Spurs34c100$34 inLost-$346839.7%27 W · 41 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed Knicks44c100$44 inWon+$5663427.3%173 W · 461 L-19.7wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Knicks50c60$30 inWon+$3045542.4%193 W · 262 L-0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4e1…ee5abacked Knicks41c48.78$20 inWon+$28.7818764.7%121 W · 66 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Knicks47c35.36$17 inWon+$18.7436247.2%171 W · 191 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Spurs54c30.36$16 inLost-$16.391,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d97…9283backed Knicks70c28.57$20 inWon+$8.576456.3%36 W · 28 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Knicks44c28.54$13 inWon+$1693849.7%466 W · 472 L+36.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x98d0…01a4backed Spurs56c26.79$15 inLost-$1514654.8%80 W · 66 L+0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.