NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 236.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78627626470aa8387fad30d734fb43e9ffb469dd981212ea86fd886f34c222e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,058
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,486
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,058 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf92b…22e1backed Over | 50c | 10,200$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf651…56c0backed Under | 50c | 10,200$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 7,646$3,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,996.64 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Under | 54c | 3,174$1,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,714.12 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Over | 51c | 3,137$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,537.25 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 51c | 2,400$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea2…9ad4backed Over | 53c | 1,895$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.3 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Under | 50c | 1,566$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 50c | 1,506$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f82…f278backed Under | 51c | 1,316$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Over | 55c | 1,300$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Over | 45c | 1,102$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Under | 50c | 1,019$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.4 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Under | 55c | 1,001$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.7 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Under | 50c | 819.6$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.8 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc95…c60fbacked Under | 51c | 530$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.3 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 50c | 502.17$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.17 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Over | 50c | 410$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f3…0d57backed Under | 51c | 280.39$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 210.64$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.21 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 51c | 208$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.92 | 430 | 52.3%225 W · 205 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa75d…1d45backed Over | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 223 | 47.1%105 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 50c | 124.11$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.06 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 47c | 99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.53 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Under | 47c | 95.74$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 334 | 42.8%143 W · 191 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 288 | 52.8%152 W · 136 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Under | 54c | 77$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e6…224cbacked Under | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Under | 55c | 68$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +10.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5faa…9af7backed Over | 54c | 65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Over | 44c | 61.24$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.29 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Under | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Under | 55c | 57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc17…53b6backed Over | 45c | 48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Under | 56c | 43.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Under | 54c | 42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6061…1ff7backed Over | 45c | 37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc789…3907backed Over | 45c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe5…fd84backed Under | 49c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8327…1043backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a7…261bbacked Over | 46c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2348…9d10backed Over | 46c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…9f5abacked Over | 45c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95c4…a93bbacked Over | 45c | 23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 50c | 22.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Under | 52c | 22.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 222 | 47.3%105 W · 117 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x413b…13dbbacked Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 236.5this page
- Knicks vs. SpursSpurs won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 233.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 234.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 235.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 237.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 238.5Over won
- Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.