TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Spurs, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$124,450
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$126,008

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,450 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16b2…a881backed Knicks46c92,300$42,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,840.182,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb889…a430backed Spurs54c50,000$27,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,0009263%58 W · 34 L+9.8wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+21.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Spurs54c33,324$17,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,994.9647848.1%230 W · 248 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Knicks49c4,102$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,102.3348448.8%236 W · 248 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f82…f278backed Spurs47c3,134$1,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,473757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Knicks52c3,129$1,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,502.11,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Spurs53c2,957$1,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,565.9525945.6%118 W · 141 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Spurs53c2,847$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.762,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Spurs51c2,000$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,018.951753.8%278 W · 239 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Knicks52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96048054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Spurs50c1,613$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.959,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Knicks60c1,203$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.163,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Knicks2c1,171$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,153.3114438.9%56 W · 88 L+32.5wins+0.23per pick16cpaid+228.3%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Spurs35c1,059$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.473,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x83c8…26f0backed Spurs9c999.99$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929515.8%15 W · 80 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick11cpaid+45.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks47c958.89$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.094,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs51c930$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.686,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78a2…d0a5backed Spurs54c925.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50018343.7%80 W · 103 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1748…a816backed Spurs54c767.26$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.3217344.5%77 W · 96 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Spurs47c691.5$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.350347.9%241 W · 262 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks57c645.41$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.98,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Knicks52c600$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28867252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Knicks50c500$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.556348.5%273 W · 290 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Knicks47c496.65$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.221,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Spurs48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6909…36b5backed Spurs49c404.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005350.9%27 W · 26 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Spurs48c357.74$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.221,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Spurs54c341.92$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.12,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb87b…3f57backed Knicks74c339.21$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.021266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Knicks53c299.99$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14161747.8%295 W · 322 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa35b…0eccbacked Spurs51c294.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15024556.3%138 W · 107 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Spurs53c255.31$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.3169149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc535…6047backed Knicks56c232.14$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.1413834.1%47 W · 91 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Spurs48c221.13$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.563,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe05…b5a5backed Spurs49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10033246.1%153 W · 179 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Knicks48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10489050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc6e7…caa8backed Spurs13c200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261587%11 W · 147 L+0.7wins0.00per pick7cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x611a…e63ebacked Spurs13c200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26437%3 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-35.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e46…0742backed Spurs49c142.86$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7023948.5%116 W · 123 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0c1…18c7backed Knicks52c138.46$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.4614042.9%60 W · 80 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Knicks48c124.28$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.8850648%243 W · 263 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa65b…b0c0backed Knicks48c118$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.369560%57 W · 38 L+10.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Knicks54c116$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.361,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x916c…669abacked Spurs50c100.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502955.2%16 W · 13 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+35.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Knicks52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4895548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b1f…4eebbacked Spurs55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5511464.9%74 W · 40 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Knicks51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4970153.5%375 W · 326 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e57…21cbbacked Spurs50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505655.4%31 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee7e…b1e0backed Knicks49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+43.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3eac…67cbbacked Spurs50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015844.9%71 W · 87 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c9b…a556backed Spurs52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5222953.7%123 W · 106 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Spurs51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5137357.4%214 W · 159 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4f9…5526backed Knicks48c95$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.47651.3%39 W · 37 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Knicks47c90.18$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.041,10941.8%464 W · 645 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Spurs48c87.2$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.22,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf10b…2041backed Knicks51c78.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4319548.7%95 W · 100 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Knicks46c76.09$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4193849.7%466 W · 472 L+36.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1540…04e9backed Knicks47c69.81$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375168.6%35 W · 16 L+8.1wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+31.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Spurs54c60.65$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7545651.1%233 W · 223 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc0a8…753bbacked Knicks47c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.81770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+36.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2700…8235backed Spurs42c59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.991020%2 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-67.9%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x89a7…e7dbbacked Spurs51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011143.2%48 W · 63 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0a1…6daebacked Spurs51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3022442.9%96 W · 128 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0c7…5861backed Knicks52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6951651.2%264 W · 252 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc36…1b11backed Knicks53c57.58$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.39943.4%43 W · 56 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x678d…ee46backed Spurs54c46.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c0f…09debacked Knicks47c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0915440.3%62 W · 92 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xedb5…ce8ebacked Spurs49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021756.7%123 W · 94 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9a7…261bbacked Spurs52c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.84242.9%18 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fb5…440cbacked Knicks55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2999…50bcbacked Spurs52c38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.763647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fb4…8830backed Spurs54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020241.1%83 W · 119 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f20…eaf6backed Spurs58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208543.5%37 W · 48 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c4e…9b6fbacked Spurs52c29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.084643.5%20 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x12af…0730backed Spurs52c29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.083342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Knicks47c28$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8437949.3%187 W · 192 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49ec…c4e5backed Knicks48c26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.522860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Spurs43c25.59$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.921,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda03…7f8cbacked Spurs52c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132450%12 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ff…121cbacked Spurs47c24.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.756845.6%31 W · 37 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe1aa…071abacked Knicks53c22.64$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.649047.8%43 W · 47 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcba…d962backed Spurs50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108543.5%37 W · 48 L-7.9wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2942…5c1bbacked Knicks53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.45745.6%26 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.