Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb370e9f7520f3c00bda4a4a3c2033891de8ad5c8172ca5200331b29085be4903
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xtreme Gamingof Xtreme Gaming, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $351,206
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $411,883
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $351,206 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 307 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 32,877$16,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,649.8 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 24,063$12,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,050.24 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 20,025$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,024.51 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 16c | 13,905$2,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,278.42 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3dd…a7e0backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 12,562$6,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,544.49 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 11,415$5,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,921.07 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 10,534$5,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,146.14 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 9,661$4,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,733.93 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Natus Vincere | 24c | 7,425$1,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,797.74 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 6,104$3,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,017.72 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f9…e310backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 6,076$3,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,977.14 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…932fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 5,882$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,882.35 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 5,767$2,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,931.45 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 5,134$2,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,515.49 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeafd…c307backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 4,952$2,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,574.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 4,600$2,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,393.97 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…edaabacked Natus Vincere | 10c | 4,579$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.12 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere | 21c | 4,428$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.17 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…5695backed Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 4,339$2,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560.5 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 4,215$2,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,797.08 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Natus Vincere | 37c | 4,210$1,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560.61 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 3,830$1,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,972.69 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb3…d38ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 3,279$1,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,516.43 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…40e3backed Xtreme Gaming | 74c | 3,267$2,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.5 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…d7c1backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 3,236$1,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,657.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 3,200$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.99 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4b…f8fbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 3,035$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435.57 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Natus Vincere | 28c | 2,943$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.24 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Natus Vincere | 21c | 2,929$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.06 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 2,796$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.04 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 2,532$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 2,532$1,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.45 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 2,500$1,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.92 | 130 | 27.7%36 W · 94 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 2,404$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.15 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 62c | 2,128$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.52 | 108 | 33.3%36 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 2,076$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.54 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Natus Vincere | 3c | 2,050$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.63 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…91adbacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 2,000$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.84 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8664…9981backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 2,000$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | +16.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefee…d2b3backed Xtreme Gaming | 79c | 1,839$1,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.88 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 1,826$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.92 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 1,806$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.75 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 1,800$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc61a…52b7backed Xtreme Gaming | 73c | 1,759$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.41 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 1,729$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc651…15d3backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 1,568$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.28 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 1,500$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 1,437$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.13 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Natus Vincere | 32c | 1,391$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.68 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 1,390$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.79 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dd…ea96backed Natus Vincere | 17c | 1,380$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.54 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7efc…bea6backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 1,371$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 1,349$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Xtreme Gaming | 62c | 1,261$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.84 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 1,258$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.74 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 1,200$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.12 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0801…35cbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 1,102$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 1,078$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.43 | 197 | 43.1%85 W · 112 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9792…9212backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 999.99$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd547…f7a8backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 989$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.57 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 979.66$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.44 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…13bfbacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 970.22$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 949.9$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.47 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec61…4a2ebacked Natus Vincere | 35c | 939.12$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.56 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x544e…2d9fbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 926$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…135fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 901.8$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.09 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 782.8$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.97 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9be…8b35backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 774.89$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.89 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e79…089bbacked Natus Vincere | 18c | 746.48$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.83 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd23d…f322backed Natus Vincere | 10c | 744.65$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 737.2$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.54 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | +11.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 729$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.5 | 206 | 42.2%87 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8979…9428backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 721.79$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.04 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…9b9cbacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 699.98$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.99 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Natus Vincere | 12c | 699.98$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 699.97$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.99 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Natus Vincere | 7c | 693.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 688.46$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 412 | 48.8%201 W · 211 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17d…d0eebacked Natus Vincere | 25c | 625.42$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.62 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb10…8062backed Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 606.36$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.69 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad4e…12f1backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 599.98$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.99 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 599.98$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.99 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9c…7fa0backed Natus Vincere | 3c | 589.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 561.42$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…46ddbacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 558.89$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 552.79$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.96 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 540.5$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.06 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb9…4734backed Xtreme Gaming | 61c | 538$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.18 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -32%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b00…7cbbbacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 530.02$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.14 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 529.36$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.85 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a96…3087backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 502.7$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 500.99$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.23 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a64…86a8backed Natus Vincere | 3c | 487.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x520e…d75abacked Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 468.4$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.9 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8021…0da8backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 463.61$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…cdcebacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 459.61$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 WinnerXtreme Gaming won
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.