NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Bucks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x616761fb0ccdac2cc31e8a163887fa1bca1afd0059afa1c7ccb175835f9eb195
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Bucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,722,903
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,723,557
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,722,903 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 916 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Timberwolves | 45c | 372,810$166,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206,173.28 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e2…4b88backed Timberwolves | 45c | 260,979$116,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144,758.11 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Bucks | 54c | 145,608$78,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78,994.82 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Bucks | 54c | 122,996$66,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,657.14 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Timberwolves | 46c | 75,937$34,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,226.9 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bucks | 55c | 55,347$30,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,654.18 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x282c…0313backed Bucks | 53c | 51,871$27,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,491.66 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bucks | 56c | 26,160$14,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,712.24 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Bucks | 0c | 25,877$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.59 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bucks | 55c | 24,681$13,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,496.74 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Bucks | 56c | 22,000$12,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,319.94 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bucks | 57c | 20,945$11,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,852.54 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Bucks | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Bucks | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,600 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Bucks | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,400 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Bucks | 0c | 20,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Timberwolves | 48c | 19,918$9,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,418.44 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Bucks | 57c | 19,338$10,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,944.53 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked Bucks | 57c | 18,564$10,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,581.48 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2000…dffebacked Timberwolves | 42c | 18,500$7,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,729.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e3…e383backed Bucks | 59c | 18,485$10,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,906.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0364…f19bbacked Bucks | 53c | 15,797$8,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,328.48 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Bucks | 56c | 15,000$8,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,400 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Timberwolves | 42c | 15,000$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,699.93 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Bucks | 56c | 14,852$8,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,338.67 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Timberwolves | 50c | 14,500$7,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,279.99 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bucks | 29c | 14,307$4,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,079.11 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Bucks | 55c | 13,342$7,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,363.45 | 176 | 46%81 W · 95 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Timberwolves | 70c | 13,049$9,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,860.31 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Bucks | 59c | 12,712$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Bucks | 2c | 11,047$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.9 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Bucks | 2c | 11,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed Bucks | 54c | 10,900$5,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,886 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec55…6870backed Bucks | 1c | 10,687$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.67 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Timberwolves | 67c | 10,649$7,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,481.06 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e68…3215backed Timberwolves | 47c | 9,559$4,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,026 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Timberwolves | 70c | 9,392$6,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,826.83 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…f855backed Bucks | 54c | 9,200$5,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,002 | 287 | 42.9%123 W · 164 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f76…6323backed Bucks | 2c | 9,000$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 101 | 19.8%20 W · 81 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Bucks | 56c | 8,964$5,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,054.65 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Bucks | 56c | 8,701$4,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,857.24 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fd…90c0backed Bucks | 53c | 8,625$4,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,571.5 | 284 | 39.8%113 W · 171 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed Timberwolves | 56c | 8,495$4,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,740.23 | 278 | 65.8%183 W · 95 L | +25.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Timberwolves | 43c | 8,070$3,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600.16 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked Timberwolves | 44c | 7,859$3,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,401.22 | 470 | 43.8%206 W · 264 L | -22.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Bucks | 58c | 7,447$4,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,283.8 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…88b4backed Bucks | 49c | 7,412$3,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,639.53 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c28…7ba5backed Bucks | 58c | 7,000$4,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,060 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35bd…1ecfbacked Timberwolves | 41c | 6,999$2,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,129.4 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Bucks | 56c | 6,990$3,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,914.4 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Bucks | 56c | 6,910$3,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,884.87 | 309 | 47.6%147 W · 162 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Timberwolves | 44c | 6,900$3,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,864 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Bucks | 48c | 6,879$3,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,275.91 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Bucks | 49c | 6,755$3,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,286.44 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 6,600$3,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,564 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Bucks | 44c | 6,372$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,799.63 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc13a…f97fbacked Timberwolves | 45c | 6,369$2,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,502.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Bucks | 0c | 6,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72f7…6d94backed Bucks | 1c | 5,965$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 189 | 38.1%72 W · 117 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Bucks | 56c | 5,776$3,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,234.5 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf35f…64c5backed Bucks | 53c | 5,671$3,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,005.53 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Bucks | 56c | 5,603$3,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,160.61 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3493…47bcbacked Bucks | 2c | 5,479$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.34 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Bucks | 55c | 5,448$2,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,996.4 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Timberwolves | 44c | 5,422$2,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,062.22 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeff7…4bb3backed Bucks | 21c | 5,248$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.28 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.8wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Timberwolves | 76c | 5,214$3,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.29 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Bucks | 5c | 5,168$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.24 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1a…cee8backed Bucks | 2c | 5,086$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.86 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ede…2de3backed Bucks | 2c | 5,068$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f6…15fbbacked Bucks | 19c | 5,050$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.38 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Timberwolves | 44c | 5,049$2,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,827.27 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Bucks | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde7f…2658backed Timberwolves | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Bucks | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Bucks | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Timberwolves | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 320 | 39.4%126 W · 194 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45f0…f120backed Timberwolves | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1147…da78backed Bucks | 56c | 4,910$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,749.6 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89da…a6c2backed Bucks | 5c | 4,788$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.66 | 103 | 4.9%5 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b49…d0dfbacked Timberwolves | 44c | 4,620$2,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,586.96 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bucks | 53c | 4,536$2,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,414.36 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Bucks | 3c | 4,496$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.48 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 4,461$2,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,364.25 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Bucks | 22c | 4,434$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.07 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Bucks | 56c | 4,340$2,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,427 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Bucks | 58c | 4,278$2,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,481.08 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5667…a084backed Timberwolves | 44c | 4,250$1,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,380 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 54cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Bucks | 56c | 4,133$2,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,331.02 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Timberwolves | 41c | 4,009$1,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,365.5 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Bucks | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Timberwolves | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Bucks | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Timberwolves | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.99 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Bucks | 56c | 3,978$2,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,227.61 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Timberwolves | 59c | 3,845$2,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,585.74 | 397 | 44.3%176 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb6…7245backed Bucks | 52c | 3,559$1,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,847.28 | 150 | 34%51 W · 99 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…f5d9backed Bucks | 57c | 3,509$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 220 | 35.5%78 W · 142 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Bucks | 18c | 3,502$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d26…1c15backed Bucks | 59c | 3,467$2,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,045.7 | 224 | 59.4%133 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Bucksthis page
- Spread: Bucks (-1.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Bucks (-2.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)Timberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Bucks: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Bucks: O/U 226.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Bucks: O/U 227.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Bucks: O/U 228.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Bucks: O/U 229.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Bucks: O/U 231.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.