TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Timberwolves vs. Bucks: O/U 228.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$90,533
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$90,540

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,533 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x777d…5143backed Over52c20,045$10,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,621.619754.3%107 W · 90 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under48c17,000$8,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,1602,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed Under52c16,124$8,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,401.4611656.9%66 W · 50 L+10.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over49c12,197$5,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,245.69,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Under56c5,050$2,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,827.981,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over48c5,025$2,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6135,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Under48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40024045.4%109 W · 131 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over52c5,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,399.991,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under48c4,941$2,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,385.271,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Under48c4,239$2,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,034.6140350.1%202 W · 201 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe2a…8bd8backed Under51c4,216$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,150650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Under49c4,074$1,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,99633447.9%160 W · 174 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb48f…d015backed Under49c3,491$1,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,710.5912454.8%68 W · 56 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over51c3,310$1,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,621.752,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over46c3,148$1,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,699.268,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over52c2,215$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,063.265750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over51c2,108$1,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,042.532,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over48c2,001$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.522,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00048448.8%236 W · 248 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under49c1,869$916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915.611,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x478f…f5d9backed Under55c1,816$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00022035.5%78 W · 142 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over47c1,708$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910.623,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Over51c1,626$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.761,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Over48c1,335$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.0721937%81 W · 138 L-15.9wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over51c1,080$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.1956043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over52c1,000$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4842,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4804,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over50c935.04$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.521,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ea2…9ad4backed Under52c774.52$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40012855.5%71 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over47c770$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.74,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd55c…d703backed Under51c588.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010840.7%44 W · 64 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Over52c578$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.4440648%195 W · 211 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Under48c541.67$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26038750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over45c466.74$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.612,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf79a…56c2backed Under50c438.9$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.4523250.4%117 W · 115 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Under49c435.98$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.391,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over53c372.24$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.053,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over45c338.71$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.421,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Under48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14419435.1%68 W · 126 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over48c278.38$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.622,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under4c269$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.761,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Under48c254.17$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12218241.2%75 W · 107 L-17.6wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Under11c248.23$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1563745.8%292 W · 345 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Over52c225$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10833945.1%153 W · 186 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf400…1620backed Under39c217.9$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852343.5%10 W · 13 L-4.0wins-0.17per pick61cpaid-29.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Under49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005147.1%24 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Under7c200.07$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158234.1%28 W · 54 L-8.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-23.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1101,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1061,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fdb…0b12backed Over47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.051154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under53c184.1$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.753,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ad8…9bc1backed Over46c158.3$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.588936%32 W · 57 L-7.2wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-24.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Under49c150$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.3868940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x725f…cea7backed Over47c146.82$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.819642.7%41 W · 55 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc330…1667backed Over53c146.72$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.966253.2%33 W · 29 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdca6…9a97backed Over46c146.53$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.958556.5%48 W · 37 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Over48c145.18$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4971547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Over46c124.89$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.0339756.7%225 W · 172 L+21.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over52c119.24$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.462,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Over47c113.38$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.0962541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4824946.6%116 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5684150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5035444.6%158 W · 196 L+1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aab…d612backed Over51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.041758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+25.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1052…53dabacked Under53c83.44$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2210235.3%36 W · 66 L-9.7wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-28.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Over53c77$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.1942143.7%184 W · 237 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Over47c72.34$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.341,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe09e…5047backed Over46c60.14$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.418243.9%36 W · 46 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9de1…f272backed Over52c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.847948.6%233 W · 246 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d5c…cbccbacked Under17c60$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-37%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6385…e191backed Over48c59.28$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.942339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xecec…d72fbacked Over46c56.92$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.541833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick45cpaid+37.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.52,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce65…6759backed Under45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.513441%55 W · 79 L-16.1wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-30%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x230b…1e27backed Over46c42$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.832777.8%21 W · 6 L+5.7wins+0.21per pick57cpaid+48.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Under49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016546.1%76 W · 89 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over49c40.81$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.811,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Over72c40.55$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2621642.1%91 W · 125 L-0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x125e…583fbacked Over53c40.12$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.887749.4%38 W · 39 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Over51c40.02$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6188845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11a5…2fa8backed Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018560.5%112 W · 73 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Under48c28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4423946.4%111 W · 128 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Under48c23.42$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2452246.6%243 W · 279 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e2c…6aaebacked Over50c23.35$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6810234.3%35 W · 67 L-12.7wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-28.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under47c23.15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.881,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over53c22.65$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6559141.8%247 W · 344 L-26.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over52c21.85$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.492,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.