NHL · resolved market
Ducks vs. Wild
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77b16ad834f6aaa671464e7e01ffb4abbfa8ceafb1916bc3def4208c564f9646
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wildof Ducks, Wild
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $411,991
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $415,345
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $411,991 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 281 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9b3d…7422backed Wild | 54c | 97,536$52,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,866.49 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Ducks | 28c | 60,000$16,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,800 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Ducks | 46c | 47,661$21,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,924.06 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Wild | 55c | 30,867$16,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,004.41 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Wild | 53c | 21,965$11,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,323.55 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Ducks | 46c | 21,220$9,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,761.17 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Ducks | 45c | 20,000$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Wild | 54c | 20,000$10,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,199.99 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Ducks | 46c | 19,848$9,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,197.29 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Wild | 73c | 19,596$14,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,385.17 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -19.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Ducks | 46c | 18,500$8,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,595 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Ducks | 45c | 13,147$5,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,981.6 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Ducks | 47c | 11,564$5,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,423.95 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Ducks | 28c | 11,284$3,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,114.73 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Ducks | 47c | 10,470$4,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,920.93 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Wild | 72c | 10,293$7,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,924.84 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Ducks | 46c | 10,227$4,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,704.42 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Wild | 54c | 9,259$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,259.26 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Ducks | 46c | 8,713$3,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,997.62 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Wild | 54c | 7,624$4,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,516.76 | 177 | 44.6%79 W · 98 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Wild | 53c | 7,000$3,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,280 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Ducks | 47c | 4,856$2,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,282.32 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.9wins | -0.35per pick | 53cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Ducks | 46c | 4,822$2,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,229.94 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Ducks | 46c | 4,500$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Wild | 55c | 4,400$2,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Ducks | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Ducks | 46c | 3,844$1,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,768.22 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Ducks | 46c | 3,716$1,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.16 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Wild | 64c | 3,357$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.27 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Wild | 73c | 3,186$2,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.58 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Wild | 54c | 3,067$1,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410.8 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Wild | 53c | 3,064$1,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435.51 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Wild | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.99 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Ducks | 46c | 2,798$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.82 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Wild | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Wild | 55c | 2,453$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.67 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Ducks | 32c | 2,334$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.81 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Ducks | 24c | 2,277$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.24 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Wild | 54c | 2,189$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.57 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Wild | 54c | 2,030$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.94 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Wild | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Wild | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.09 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Ducks | 46c | 1,884$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.64 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Ducks | 34c | 1,726$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Wild | 53c | 1,700$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Wild | 53c | 1,556$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.19 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Ducks | 1c | 1,554$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Wild | 53c | 1,402$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.93 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc30b…1b6dbacked Wild | 54c | 1,313$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.84 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Wild | 54c | 1,292$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.12 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Ducks | 26c | 1,204$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.77 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f89…e938backed Wild | 55c | 1,072$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea4…5705backed Wild | 55c | 1,054$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Wild | 52c | 1,029$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.81 | 177 | 49.2%87 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0f…baf9backed Ducks | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2719…2a89backed Wild | 55c | 1,018$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Ducks | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Wild | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 228 | 52.6%120 W · 108 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Wild | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 217 | 50.2%109 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf922…e9c7backed Ducks | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed Wild | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…0febbacked Wild | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2378…4ba4backed Wild | 55c | 981.33$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f63…b9eebacked Ducks | 45c | 966.45$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x009a…9ce1backed Wild | 55c | 963.33$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Wild | 55c | 900.01$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.5 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde4d…ca1abacked Ducks | 45c | 880$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f97…13d2backed Wild | 54c | 851.85$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.85 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40dc…563dbacked Ducks | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2f…36f2backed Ducks | 47c | 800$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd2…19ffbacked Wild | 54c | 800$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01a1…88f3backed Wild | 52c | 799.99$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.99 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Wild | 55c | 756$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.84 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8691…a03dbacked Ducks | 47c | 744.68$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x669c…6c54backed Wild | 54c | 744.44$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.44 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +7.2wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf5be…46cebacked Ducks | 29c | 732.1$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.18 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Ducks | 45c | 726.2$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.09 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37d5…9417backed Ducks | 47c | 720$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.4 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f89…19dfbacked Wild | 54c | 720$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.2 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb95c…46c0backed Wild | 55c | 700$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Wild | 53c | 674.26$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.9 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Wild | 52c | 659.26$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.44 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed94…fd08backed Ducks | 45c | 655$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Ducks | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1d…8afcbacked Ducks | 45c | 614.98$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a39…9e71backed Ducks | 45c | 600$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Ducks | 45c | 600$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Wild | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb74b…d765backed Wild | 53c | 595.72$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.99 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ducks | 48c | 588.11$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.29 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf457…d1a6backed Wild | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Wild | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1114…d59abacked Ducks | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 229 | 49.3%113 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc631…9655backed Ducks | 18c | 520$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Ducks | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb353…19bebacked Ducks | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked Wild | 54c | 499.96$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.98 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x316c…8da9backed Ducks | 45c | 480$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Wild | 68c | 469.38$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.47 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Ducks | 46c | 457$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.22 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ducks vs. Wildthis page
- Ducks vs. Wild: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Wild (-1.5)Wild won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.