NBA · resolved market
Nets vs. Heat: O/U 225.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce593ece9c6a87ae1265630bca3c0753fa0570faa276c3f2db5826fa93021601
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,013
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,316
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,013 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 49c | 13,080$6,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,670.86 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 51c | 10,901$5,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,559.5 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed Over | 50c | 5,994$2,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,997 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Under | 51c | 5,789$2,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,836.8 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Under | 50c | 3,700$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850 | 226 | 48.2%109 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c75…b299backed Over | 51c | 3,453$1,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,757 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 2,715$1,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,331.21 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 51c | 2,592$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.92 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 49c | 1,036$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.31 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 50c | 1,000$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 306 | 41.8%128 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Under | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf564…a382backed Over | 50c | 410.83$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.42 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Over | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 539 | 51.6%278 W · 261 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 50c | 291.64$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.86 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 51c | 290.29$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.31 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8f…8bbabacked Over | 6c | 212.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Under | 50c | 210$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 184 | 48.9%90 W · 94 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Over | 49c | 197.95$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 49c | 197.34$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.76 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9325…adafbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e32…d479backed Over | 7c | 177.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 131 | 15.3%20 W · 111 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 38c | 168.1$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.19 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Over | 80c | 150$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 221 | 70.6%156 W · 65 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 72c | 142.84$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 49c | 139.14$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.86 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee0…bf55backed Under | 50c | 137.54$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.77 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28c1…ba5fbacked Under | 50c | 137.49$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.75 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1d…32fabacked Under | 50c | 135.63$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.82 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Under | 50c | 104.12$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.06 | 194 | 34.5%67 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over | 40c | 103.53$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.41 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 394 | 35.3%139 W · 255 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 633 | 53.1%336 W · 297 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Over | 62c | 88.63$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.95 | 127 | 47.2%60 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52fe…effdbacked Under | 51c | 82.68$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.75 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 48c | 70.08$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.24 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 31c | 69.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 181 | 50.3%91 W · 90 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Under | 50c | 58.34$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d5…dd7bbacked Under | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +46%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 596 | 50.3%300 W · 296 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabae…d62dbacked Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 52c | 41.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 51c | 38.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x448a…3faabacked Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 46c | 38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 50c | 34.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 49c | 34.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7715…ada4backed Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e7…a322backed Under | 69c | 29.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…df3cbacked Under | 50c | 27.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Under | 50c | 23.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 50c | 21.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 61c | 20.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca16…f901backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nets vs. Heat: O/U 225.5this page
- Andrew Wiggins: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Andrew Wiggins: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Andrew Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Davion Mitchell: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Davion Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Day'Ron Sharpe: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Nets vs. HeatHeat won
- Nets vs. Heat: 1H MoneylineHeat won
- Nets vs. Heat: O/U 226.5Under won
- Nets vs. Heat: O/U 227.5Under won
- Spread: Heat (-12.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-13.5)Heat won
- Tyler Herro: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.