NBA · resolved market

Spread: Heat (-13.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5c5e89a79b59b997d43794455bd68e7674f2f8656adb72dc450946a4ae64a7a

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Heatof Heat, Nets
Resolved: Mar 4, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $145,481
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $147,580

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,481 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Nets	50c	34,715$17,336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,335.58	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Nets	54c	21,154$11,496 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,495.83	431	48.7%210 W · 221 L	-5.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf0…8b2bbacked Nets	53c	15,206$7,999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,999.38	59	45.8%27 W · 32 L	-3.4wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3817…7d10backed Heat	46c	12,000$5,520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,480	46	54.3%25 W · 21 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfecf…8cc0backed Heat	50c	11,200$5,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,600	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Nets	51c	11,097$5,636 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,635.85	458	50.4%231 W · 227 L	+11.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3846…9742backed Heat	47c	10,000$4,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,299.99	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Heat	50c	9,000$4,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,500	492	46.3%228 W · 264 L	-15.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3290…1135backed Heat	49c	8,400$4,116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,284	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+2.0wins	+0.11per pick	50cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nets	50c	8,198$4,135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,134.7	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Heat	50c	8,000$4,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,000	348	54%188 W · 160 L	+15.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Heat	51c	7,802$4,003 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,799.47	265	44.9%119 W · 146 L	-8.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4270…e461backed Heat	50c	5,995$2,998 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,997.5	47	42.6%20 W · 27 L	-3.5wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Heat	50c	5,298$2,649 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,649	702	46.4%326 W · 376 L	-20.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Heat	51c	5,000$2,550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,449.96	691	49.1%339 W · 352 L	-8.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05c4…a4f2backed Nets	51c	4,000$2,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,020	120	45%54 W · 66 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Heat	50c	4,000$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,000	304	46.7%142 W · 162 L	-8.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked Heat	45c	3,569$1,606 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,963.22	203	55.2%112 W · 91 L	+7.9wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x32b0…0b70backed Nets	49c	3,200$1,570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,569.66	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+2.5wins	+0.18per pick	46cpaid	+31.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Nets	49c	3,153$1,545 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,545.1	247	44.1%109 W · 138 L	-10.8wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf676…09c5backed Heat	51c	3,000$1,530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,470	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-2.1wins	-0.12per pick	51cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3280…ea74backed Nets	55c	2,727$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	95	31.6%30 W · 65 L	-11.6wins	-0.12per pick	44cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Heat	49c	2,722$1,334 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,388.05	244	50%122 W · 122 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Nets	51c	2,367$1,212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,212.05	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Heat	49c	2,123$1,036 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,086.92	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Heat	47c	2,013$943 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,069.85	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec2c…19f8backed Heat	51c	2,001$1,021 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$980.49	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+1.6wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf2a…9aa8backed Nets	49c	1,800$882 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$882	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-2.5wins	-0.16per pick	50cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Nets	30c	1,790$530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$530	288	38.2%110 W · 178 L	-17.6wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Heat	45c	1,650$743 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$907.5	927	53.5%496 W · 431 L	+20.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Nets	55c	1,361$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750.47	591	40.8%241 W · 350 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b2d…a88dbacked Nets	53c	1,300$689 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$689	64	39.1%25 W · 39 L	-7.7wins	-0.12per pick	51cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Heat	46c	1,074$494 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$580.09	151	47%71 W · 80 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Nets	49c	1,046$513 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$513.41	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Nets	51c	1,000$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510	261	49.4%129 W · 132 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf630…7e65backed Nets	51c	1,000$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510	291	49.5%144 W · 147 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Nets	53c	1,000$530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$530	956	41.7%399 W · 557 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd501…b86ebacked Heat	64c	918.84$587 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$331.55	37	48.6%18 W · 19 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa793…2bb7backed Heat	49c	836.73$410 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$426.73	24	66.7%16 W · 8 L	+3.7wins	+0.15per pick	51cpaid	+30.8%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Heat	48c	833.33$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$433.33	1,259	48.7%613 W · 646 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Heat	49c	832.97$412 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$421.23	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Heat	45c	666.66$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$366.66	649	44.7%290 W · 359 L	-9.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Heat	47c	638.3$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$338.3	277	46.6%129 W · 148 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0e3…c09fbacked Heat	48c	611.56$294 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$318.01	69	53.6%37 W · 32 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Heat	49c	584.1$286 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$298.37	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Nets	53c	500$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265	625	39.4%246 W · 379 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Nets	40c	407.12$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.35	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Heat	52c	396.64$206 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$190.14	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Nets	20c	395.2$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.07	194	34.5%67 W · 127 L	-10.2wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-20%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21e6…cbd8backed Heat	47c	392.79$185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208.18	114	59.6%68 W · 46 L	+8.8wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Heat	45c	368$166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$202.4	239	46.4%111 W · 128 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Heat	47c	319.15$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$169.15	521	46.6%243 W · 278 L	-14.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Nets	48c	312.5$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	2,736	46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L	-67.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Heat	46c	310$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$167.4	456	46.7%213 W · 243 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Heat	50c	300.7$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.35	511	46.6%238 W · 273 L	-13.7wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Nets	50c	300$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	911	48.1%438 W · 473 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Nets	41c	298.18$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.88	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Nets	28c	283.03$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.66	402	43.8%176 W · 226 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc869…8a6ebacked Nets	53c	283.02$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	129	51.9%67 W · 62 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ede…6c27backed Heat	48c	244$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.63	451	51.4%232 W · 219 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72bc…b24ebacked Nets	48c	243$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.84	70	52.9%37 W · 33 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb4…d481backed Heat	47c	221$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.13	57	54.4%31 W · 26 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Heat	52c	217.42$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.61	454	52%236 W · 218 L	+11.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Heat	47c	212.77$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.77	434	47.5%206 W · 228 L	-8.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Heat	51c	211.4$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.59	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed Nets	50c	209.76$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.88	227	46.3%105 W · 122 L	-8.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Nets	51c	200$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	841	50.3%423 W · 418 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Heat	52c	194.98$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.83	2,208	46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Nets	39c	187.97$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.5	1,633	41.2%672 W · 961 L	+26.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Heat	46c	177.3$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.74	765	52.9%405 W · 360 L	-2.9wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Heat	46c	160$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.4	955	48.5%463 W · 492 L	-3.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa7a0…e4a4backed Heat	48c	155.84$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.04	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Heat	46c	155$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.7	565	47.8%270 W · 295 L	+9.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Nets	49c	145.51$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.8	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc948…7315backed Heat	48c	139.62$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.6	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+2.7wins	+0.25per pick	48cpaid	+55%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Nets	49c	119.39$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.5	625	41.9%262 W · 363 L	-32.7wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-11%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Nets	50c	106.37$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.87	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xaf16…65a6backed Heat	48c	104.17$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.17	257	53.7%138 W · 119 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Nets	52c	102$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.7	1,018	51.6%525 W · 493 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Nets	52c	101.78$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.3	628	44.9%282 W · 346 L	-21.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbaea…4bbfbacked Nets	55c	100$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	405	41%166 W · 239 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xecbb…a8c2backed Heat	48c	100$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	39	56.4%22 W · 17 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb337…5589backed Heat	45c	100$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55	366	43.2%158 W · 208 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1093…d547backed Nets	53c	94.34$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	97	68%66 W · 31 L	+9.5wins	+0.10per pick	58cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Nets	53c	94.34$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	381	52.8%201 W · 180 L	+18.2wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Heat	47c	90.2$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.74	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ed8…0e99backed Nets	58c	81.55$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.24	456	53.5%244 W · 212 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Nets	51c	80.28$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.69	1,197	48.9%585 W · 612 L	-14.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked Heat	46c	77.5$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.85	340	47.1%160 W · 180 L	-10.3wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Heat	46c	77.5$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.85	572	50%286 W · 286 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb53e…1aa3backed Nets	51c	75.19$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.42	69	39.1%27 W · 42 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Nets	48c	75$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	655	42.9%281 W · 374 L	+17.2wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x92aa…0341backed Heat	48c	75$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39	159	49.7%79 W · 80 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Nets	49c	71.43$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	554	44.4%246 W · 308 L	-11.0wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e66…e1b2backed Heat	47c	70$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.38	118	50%59 W · 59 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Nets	53c	70$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.1	319	47.6%152 W · 167 L	-18.8wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0dcc…031ebacked Nets	52c	67.31$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	233	49.4%115 W · 118 L	+5.0wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Nets	49c	57.99$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.42	335	54.6%183 W · 152 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Nets	58c	55$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.9	138	50%69 W · 69 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Heat	42c	55$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.9	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Heat (-13.5)this page
Andrew Wiggins: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
Andrew Wiggins: Points O/U 16.5No won
Andrew Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 5.5No won
Davion Mitchell: Points O/U 8.5No won
Davion Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
Day'Ron Sharpe: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
Nets vs. HeatHeat won
Nets vs. Heat: 1H MoneylineHeat won
Nets vs. Heat: O/U 225.5Under won
Nets vs. Heat: O/U 226.5Under won
Nets vs. Heat: O/U 227.5Under won
Spread: Heat (-12.5)Heat won
Tyler Herro: Points O/U 21.5Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Heat (-13.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event