NBA · resolved market

Spread: Heat (-12.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf13555b7b753775013a723ea917085fbbffd118fb4ee9b489487923ccc92692

Rebuilt 23 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Heatof Heat, Nets
Resolved: Mar 4, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $161,026
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $178,284

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,026 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x84db…aeebbacked Nets	51c	46,297$23,430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23,429.85	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Heat	49c	20,400$9,996 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,404	593	47%279 W · 314 L	-7.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Heat	50c	20,000$10,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,000	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Nets	47c	19,188$9,070 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,069.77	458	50.4%231 W · 227 L	+11.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Heat	49c	12,335$6,044 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,290.85	357	44.3%158 W · 199 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Nets	51c	10,000$5,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,100	1,124	48.6%546 W · 578 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Heat	51c	8,805$4,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,304.68	266	48.5%129 W · 137 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Heat	53c	7,583$4,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,582.88	348	54%188 W · 160 L	+15.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x83ab…3d56backed Nets	51c	6,000$3,060 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,060	93	43%40 W · 53 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Nets	51c	6,000$3,060 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,059.99	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Heat	49c	5,755$2,820 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,935.1	485	46.4%225 W · 260 L	-14.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Heat	52c	5,597$2,910 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,686.44	175	50.9%89 W · 86 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Nets	51c	5,000$2,535 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,535.37	773	48.5%375 W · 398 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Heat	49c	4,878$2,390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,487.78	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Heat	49c	4,769$2,337 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,432.19	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Heat	50c	4,281$2,121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,159.43	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Nets	51c	4,000$2,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,039.98	795	49.7%395 W · 400 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Nets	51c	3,200$1,632 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,632	824	42.2%348 W · 476 L	-3.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Nets	49c	3,081$1,517 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,516.51	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Heat	49c	3,061$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,561.22	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x622e…07abbacked Heat	49c	2,929$1,435 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,493.57	173	56.1%97 W · 76 L	+8.5wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Heat	53c	2,617$1,387 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,229.98	244	50%122 W · 122 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfecf…8cc0backed Heat	53c	2,458$1,303 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,155.49	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Heat	54c	2,200$1,188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,012	589	51.3%302 W · 287 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Heat	49c	2,041$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,040.82	389	46%179 W · 210 L	-13.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed Heat	49c	2,041$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,040.82	166	40.4%67 W · 99 L	-14.6wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Nets	46c	2,034$936 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$935.58	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Nets	51c	1,961$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.99	649	44.7%290 W · 359 L	-9.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Heat	49c	1,837$900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$936.68	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Heat	49c	1,826$895 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$931.39	334	47.9%160 W · 174 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b2d…a88dbacked Nets	50c	1,760$884 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$884.4	64	39.1%25 W · 39 L	-7.7wins	-0.12per pick	51cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nets	48c	1,650$784 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$784.41	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc920…7914backed Heat	52c	1,629$843 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$785.64	86	48.8%42 W · 44 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa368…d116backed Heat	52c	1,609$832 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$777.25	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	-3.0wins	-0.11per pick	50cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Heat	54c	1,600$864 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$736	1,085	63.6%690 W · 395 L	+86.7wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+13%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Nets	51c	1,500$765 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$765	442	52.3%231 W · 211 L	+12.1wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Nets	48c	1,302$631 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$631.39	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Nets	48c	1,000$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	261	49.4%129 W · 132 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf630…7e65backed Nets	48c	1,000$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	291	49.5%144 W · 147 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8df3…0fb5backed Nets	51c	1,000$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510	80	57.5%46 W · 34 L	+4.3wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Nets	48c	999.99$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	956	41.7%399 W · 557 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Nets	51c	980.39$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	240	50.8%122 W · 118 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Heat	50c	854$427 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$427	238	50%119 W · 119 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Heat	53c	711.38$376 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$334.91	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Heat	49c	653.07$320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$333.07	874	53.3%466 W · 408 L	+19.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Heat	54c	650$351 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$299	165	50.9%84 W · 81 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Heat	50c	539.34$268 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$271.34	321	51.7%166 W · 155 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Nets	47c	535.31$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253.54	194	34.5%67 W · 127 L	-10.2wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-20%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Nets	50c	401.92$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.96	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x86d9…b214backed Heat	50c	400$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	218	54.6%119 W · 99 L	+5.0wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a10…8b30backed Nets	47c	399.99$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188	502	39%196 W · 306 L	-8.9wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ede…6c27backed Heat	51c	339.08$171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$167.7	451	51.4%232 W · 219 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Heat	50c	300$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150	1,389	54.9%762 W · 627 L	+16.7wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Nets	46c	226$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.73	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6cd2…f20abacked Heat	52c	214.28$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.85	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Nets	51c	205.88$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	395	52.2%206 W · 189 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Nets	49c	204.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	262	33.6%88 W · 174 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5930…012bbacked Nets	49c	203.89$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.91	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	+17%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Heat	56c	201.66$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.55	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Nets	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	382	42.9%164 W · 218 L	-11.5wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeece…b407backed Nets	49c	184.87$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.59	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9094…a787backed Heat	52c	174.48$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.75	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.9wins	+0.28per pick	44cpaid	+39.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Heat	50c	163.39$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.7	765	52.9%405 W · 360 L	-2.9wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Heat	49c	155.7$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.67	558	46.8%261 W · 297 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Heat	52c	153.85$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.85	722	50.6%365 W · 357 L	-17.6wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df4…4eacbacked Heat	49c	153.06$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.06	151	54.3%82 W · 69 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Heat	56c	150.12$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.87	454	52%236 W · 218 L	+11.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Heat	54c	133.33$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.33	260	48.1%125 W · 135 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Heat	52c	131.1$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.99	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18ca…6413backed Heat	52c	130.77$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.77	36	38.9%14 W · 22 L	-4.2wins	-0.12per pick	51cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Nets	48c	123.71$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.38	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ed8…0e99backed Heat	53c	110.8$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.75	456	53.5%244 W · 212 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Nets	49c	102.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	545	49.5%270 W · 275 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Nets	50c	101.56$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.6	918	46.2%424 W · 494 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Heat	49c	100$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51	151	56.3%85 W · 66 L	+8.8wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3735…3d9dbacked Nets	52c	100$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	107	37.4%40 W · 67 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a2d…4f43backed Heat	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	228	50.9%116 W · 112 L	+7.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed Nets	53c	100$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	127	43.3%55 W · 72 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe02f…3d4cbacked Heat	52c	100$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48	95	45.3%43 W · 52 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-15%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Heat	47c	85.08$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.25	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd62d…5992backed Heat	52c	76.92$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.92	378	52.9%200 W · 178 L	+8.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9345…3869backed Heat	53c	74.68$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.1	54	48.1%26 W · 28 L	-2.6wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x88b8…e7cfbacked Heat	69c	72.5$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.48	66	42.4%28 W · 38 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Heat	49c	71.53$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.48	1,003	51%512 W · 491 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dcc…031ebacked Nets	49c	71.43$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.71	233	49.4%115 W · 118 L	+5.0wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x635b…195dbacked Nets	49c	67$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.83	382	52.4%200 W · 182 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf0…b95dbacked Heat	49c	61.22$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.22	109	55%60 W · 49 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Nets	49c	50.99$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.98	1,018	51.6%525 W · 493 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Heat	50c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	1,661	50.3%836 W · 825 L	-14.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb83d…3aa2backed Nets	51c	49.02$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	240	42.9%103 W · 137 L	-9.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Nets	51c	46.02$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.47	378	45%170 W · 208 L	-7.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Nets	48c	44.58$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.4	870	49.3%429 W · 441 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Nets	52c	42.16$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.02	1,197	48.9%585 W · 612 L	-14.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcaed…37d5backed Nets	30c	40$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.88	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-1.9wins	-0.11per pick	41cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x60c2…8052backed Heat	50c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	153	47.1%72 W · 81 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Nets	49c	38.85$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.15	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb91…ffe3backed Nets	52c	33.29$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.31	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+2.1wins	+0.19per pick	45cpaid	+25.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Nets	40c	33.01$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.34	1,633	41.2%672 W · 961 L	+26.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Heat	48c	31.09$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.3	903	57%515 W · 388 L	+40.0wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf841…b2ebbacked Heat	53c	30$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.1	140	49.3%69 W · 71 L	+3.6wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Heat (-12.5)this page
Andrew Wiggins: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
Andrew Wiggins: Points O/U 16.5No won
Andrew Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 5.5No won
Davion Mitchell: Points O/U 8.5No won
Davion Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
Day'Ron Sharpe: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
Nets vs. HeatHeat won
Nets vs. Heat: 1H MoneylineHeat won
Nets vs. Heat: O/U 225.5Under won
Nets vs. Heat: O/U 226.5Under won
Nets vs. Heat: O/U 227.5Under won
Spread: Heat (-13.5)Heat won
Tyler Herro: Points O/U 21.5Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Heat (-12.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event