TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. Heat

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Heatof Nets, Heat
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,169,216
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,272,054

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,169,216 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 243 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Nets15c204,009$31,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,226.3543542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Nets16c80,797$12,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,927.571,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Nets16c37,753$6,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,028.761,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Nets11c36,112$4,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,106.631,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc5b…1edcbacked Nets16c34,375$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,5001250%6 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+29.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Nets14c31,607$4,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,553.3927424.5%67 W · 207 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Nets13c31,334$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,999.711,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Nets9c29,253$2,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,513.924,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Nets0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252270%0 W · 227 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Nets5c14,389$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.663,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Nets16c13,332$2,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,066.4641832.8%137 W · 281 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Nets8c12,986$1,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,026.521,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Nets11c10,850$1,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,218.882,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Nets1c10,436$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.597211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Nets14c10,022$1,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,448.111,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Nets14c10,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40047043.8%206 W · 264 L-22.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Nets10c7,767$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.991,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Nets4c7,501$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.145,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Nets14c7,153$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.9147028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Nets0c6,738$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.173179.5%30 W · 287 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-59.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4c9…cd97backed Nets14c6,700$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9388640.7%35 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Nets0c6,303$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.018820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Nets12c5,842$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.2648956.4%276 W · 213 L+31.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x184f…389ebacked Nets14c5,500$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7703158.1%18 W · 13 L+4.8wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+25.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3c1d…3846backed Nets14c5,499$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.96943.5%30 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Nets14c5,483$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.672450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Nets6c5,452$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.268,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Nets14c5,439$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.024,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Nets2c5,420$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.281,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Nets14c5,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70058740%235 W · 352 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0c3…c5f8backed Nets14c5,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7002441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-35.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Nets13c4,887$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.3189444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Nets7c4,812$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.741,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f35…95dabacked Nets3c4,223$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.573915.4%6 W · 33 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-76.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x38dc…cabbbacked Nets14c4,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf39…31a2backed Nets14c4,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.991338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4935…fc12backed Nets14c3,500$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.986333.3%21 W · 42 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Nets14c3,441$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.7186641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Nets14c3,274$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.3845850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3280…ea74backed Nets16c3,125$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009531.6%30 W · 65 L-11.6wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-26.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Nets12c3,112$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.3440243.8%176 W · 226 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Nets20c3,007$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61424831.9%79 W · 169 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Nets15c3,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4501,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Nets14c3,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.9843438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe78…446ebacked Nets14c2,500$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501225%3 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-49.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Nets10c2,222$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.23,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Nets13c2,152$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.3919434.5%67 W · 127 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Nets14c2,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2802,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f2e…e6adbacked Nets14c2,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2801338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbaf8…4919backed Nets15c1,850$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.51855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+19.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Nets3c1,400$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9185344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x258d…6f77backed Nets14c1,360$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.41338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Nets14c1,332$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.4565939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbda…6e2cbacked Nets10c1,200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12012855.5%71 W · 57 L+11.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+31.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf3e7…a536backed Nets9c1,109$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005933.9%20 W · 39 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Nets14c1,096$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.4912745.7%58 W · 69 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Nets14c1,075$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.7561336.1%221 W · 392 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dd9…27a7backed Nets13c1,051$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7904…48e2backed Nets14c1,040$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.591947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Nets12c1,023$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12630840.9%126 W · 182 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Nets10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017532%56 W · 119 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x555e…117dbacked Nets15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked Nets4c1,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402128.6%6 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-40.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Nets16c1,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16049142.6%209 W · 282 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f10…c927backed Nets15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502835.7%10 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Nets14c999.98$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14026149.4%129 W · 132 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf630…7e65backed Nets14c999.97$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14029149.5%144 W · 147 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08aa…0126backed Nets4c980.86$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.311428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-33.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7022…d8f9backed Nets14c886$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.041457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+24.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd22d…957abacked Nets10c865.57$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.51333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-32%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Nets3c783.29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2054549.5%270 W · 275 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Nets13c781$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9338540.3%155 W · 230 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4287…e8d1backed Nets16c731.25$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe29e…fa35backed Nets3c731.23$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8634136.1%123 W · 218 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92aa…0341backed Nets14c720.83$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9915949.7%79 W · 80 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9819…47eabacked Nets14c700$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8bd…1454backed Nets15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100156.7%1 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.22per pick28cpaid-87.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Nets14c628.7$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.983,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Nets16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026233.6%88 W · 174 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4a4…3117backed Nets13c608.08$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.0528616.4%47 W · 239 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Nets12c602.91$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.8391846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3d4…5702backed Nets14c590$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.62416.7%4 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-47.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Nets4c588.72$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2928241.1%116 W · 166 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ee1…69cabacked Nets14c580$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.22334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Nets7c577.99$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3142335.9%152 W · 271 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Nets15c562.05$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.6141038%156 W · 254 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Nets12c559$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.5711342.5%48 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccf3…8f27backed Nets15c500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7540726%106 W · 301 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe952…294dbacked Nets14c500$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-40.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0790…463fbacked Nets14c500$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Nets13c494.99$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.383,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7693…ba75backed Nets14c450$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63219.5%2 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick17cpaid-30.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b18…0390backed Nets16c442.25$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.7611038.2%42 W · 68 L-8.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-25.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x35be…e758backed Nets4c422.52$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed Nets3c402.84$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.58937.1%33 W · 56 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Nets8c399.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.455316.5%91 W · 462 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Nets14c391$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.7361939.6%245 W · 374 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf836…ab89backed Nets15c375.64$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.35850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42f3…1e83backed Nets16c375$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6011713.7%16 W · 101 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb25…14e8backed Nets15c350$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.51258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.