NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Bulls: O/U 227.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57ed2b6599c11be1073d5d66beac7909606151dcd9d7891e45f6bd1a053bd5d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,204
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,951
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,204 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over | 55c | 23,026$12,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,566.95 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Under | 45c | 11,000$4,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,050 | 215 | 49.8%107 W · 108 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 55c | 9,652$5,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,272.44 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 45c | 7,029$3,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,865.86 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 46c | 4,295$1,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,332.74 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 46c | 3,951$1,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,145.05 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 50c | 1,960$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.65 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd248…0ceebacked Over | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 48c | 1,212$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.33 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2aa…6be4backed Under | 50c | 1,133$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.5 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Under | 46c | 1,070$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.97 | 221 | 43%95 W · 126 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 45c | 1,070$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.5 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 1,021$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.55 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4077…4e01backed Over | 49c | 996$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6eb…5402backed Over | 58c | 994.83$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fe…385bbacked Under | 51c | 960$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…779abacked Over | 49c | 943$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 55c | 938.91$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.11 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 46c | 920.05$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.61 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…0eebbacked Over | 49c | 895$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6530…7754backed Over | 49c | 892$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7149…e329backed Over | 49c | 842$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26da…aa7cbacked Under | 51c | 832$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…aa67backed Under | 51c | 831$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 50c | 830.61$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.42 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…3195backed Under | 51c | 827$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.23 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03e6…ba20backed Over | 49c | 808$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 47c | 800$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ba…fa25backed Under | 50c | 790$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8576…08b7backed Under | 51c | 790$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2de5…88a1backed Under | 51c | 781$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…a66abacked Under | 51c | 773$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5474…3d04backed Under | 51c | 757$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39a6…f41fbacked Under | 51c | 694$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0d…a7c0backed Over | 49c | 690$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09de…4b9abacked Over | 49c | 684$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…4397backed Under | 51c | 680$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x295e…5ff1backed Over | 49c | 661$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0383…9631backed Under | 51c | 655$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fb…55e5backed Over | 49c | 641$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7636…1742backed Under | 51c | 616$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 45c | 600$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb321…ecf0backed Over | 49c | 590$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.1 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +39%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e38…74e7backed Over | 49c | 572$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa138…8f16backed Under | 51c | 572$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 47c | 543.24$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.7 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8864…55d4backed Over | 49c | 540$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca0f…780bbacked Under | 45c | 525.56$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.06 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0aa…ea99backed Under | 51c | 520$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 48c | 515.13$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.85 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x800d…4736backed Under | 51c | 504$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53d8…46fdbacked Over | 49c | 443$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 55c | 365.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.79 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1981…9637backed Over | 49c | 346$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Under | 54c | 344.52$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.2 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1af…ec42backed Over | 49c | 324$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Under | 46c | 322.61$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.57 | 221 | 40.7%90 W · 131 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 46c | 258.5$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.91 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 45c | 252.43$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.37 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 45c | 235.4$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.47 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 52c | 207.94$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.12 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…20eebacked Under | 43c | 200.97$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.55 | 358 | 43.6%156 W · 202 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f00…2933backed Under | 51c | 176$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 66c | 169.38$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.87 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 49c | 168.74$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.14 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.53 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…a85bbacked Under | 51c | 115.65$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.67 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…23ebbacked Under | 51c | 115$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94ab…f182backed Over | 49c | 102$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 51c | 99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.49 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b6…41a7backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04ce…c95bbacked Over | 49c | 79$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 48c | 78.91$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 54c | 59.94$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.57 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…3869backed Under | 52c | 58.83$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.04 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Over | 52c | 54.01$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Over | 55c | 50.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 50c | 50.01$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d5…dd7bbacked Under | 46c | 48.91$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.41 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +46%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 44c | 45.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 545 | 49.5%270 W · 275 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Under | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 45c | 36.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.97 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 59c | 33.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc08e…45e7backed Under | 45c | 32.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Over | 51c | 31.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 548 | 54.2%297 W · 251 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b51…0ebebacked Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 48c | 29.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Over | 38c | 28.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 49c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Under | 45c | 26.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 378 | 45%170 W · 208 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…dd28backed Over | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked Over | 46c | 24.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a54…ddf3backed Over | 49c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 55c | 22.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Over | 48c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf312…184dbacked Over | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4c…b7b8backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 150 | 54%81 W · 69 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Bulls: O/U 227.5this page
- Cason Wallace: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 9.5Yes won
- Spread: Thunder (-10.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Bulls won
- Thunder vs. BullsThunder won
- Thunder vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Bulls: O/U 226.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Bulls: O/U 228.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Bulls: O/U 229.5Under won
- Tre Jones: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.