NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01b3caa50a85bce1f126cac2104f04efb07267f3da2bb366df49a9278cbf4fd6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bullsof Thunder, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $873,978
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $972,205
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $873,978 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 430 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Thunder | 46c | 461,488$213,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213,124.92 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Bulls | 53c | 170,000$90,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79,899.79 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Bulls | 54c | 112,436$60,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,727.55 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Bulls | 54c | 70,000$37,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,200 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Thunder | 47c | 53,191$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Bulls | 54c | 40,000$21,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,400 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Bulls | 51c | 35,371$18,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,299.29 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Bulls | 54c | 32,500$17,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,950 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Bulls | 54c | 18,519$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,518.52 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3290…1135backed Thunder | 49c | 13,978$6,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,814.4 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Bulls | 52c | 12,344$6,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,950.55 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c21…9b8abacked Bulls | 54c | 12,037$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,537.04 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…3d56backed Bulls | 54c | 12,000$6,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,520 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Bulls | 54c | 11,657$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,356.57 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bulls | 53c | 11,640$6,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,443.31 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Bulls | 54c | 11,626$6,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,348.22 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Bulls | 54c | 10,185$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,685.19 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Bulls | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Bulls | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x175e…49b4backed Thunder | 49c | 9,755$4,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,780 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3280…ea74backed Bulls | 54c | 9,259$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,259.26 | 95 | 31.6%30 W · 65 L | -11.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4270…e461backed Thunder | 49c | 8,918$4,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,369.82 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Bulls | 55c | 7,999$4,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,589.27 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Thunder | 49c | 7,727$3,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,786.45 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed Thunder | 46c | 7,700$3,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,578.98 | 265 | 44.9%119 W · 146 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Thunder | 42c | 7,370$3,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,123.2 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Bulls | 54c | 6,862$3,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,158.36 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Thunder | 46c | 6,614$3,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,040.26 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Thunder | 46c | 6,600$3,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,036 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Thunder | 47c | 6,383$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Thunder | 49c | 5,521$2,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,705.4 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Thunder | 49c | 5,245$2,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,570 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Thunder | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Thunder | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Bulls | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Bulls | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.99 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Bulls | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.99 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…4c8abacked Thunder | 49c | 4,900$2,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,424 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -51%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked Bulls | 54c | 4,637$2,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,133.04 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Bulls | 52c | 4,636$2,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,225.45 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf058…be52backed Bulls | 54c | 4,576$2,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,104.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Thunder | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Bulls | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Thunder | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.99 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bulls | 53c | 3,816$2,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,796 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Bulls | 53c | 3,585$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,684.91 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Thunder | 47c | 3,191$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Thunder | 47c | 3,087$1,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450.79 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38dc…cabbbacked Thunder | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Thunder | 49c | 2,796$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2d…a88dbacked Bulls | 52c | 2,660$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.25 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -7.7wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Thunder | 49c | 2,520$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Thunder | 49c | 2,502$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.98 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Thunder | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Bulls | 51c | 2,201$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.73 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…5200backed Bulls | 53c | 2,128$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Thunder | 48c | 2,120$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.6 | 221 | 43%95 W · 126 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Thunder | 48c | 2,055$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.28 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Thunder | 49c | 2,013$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…f999backed Bulls | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Thunder | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Bulls | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.88 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24b3…a5a4backed Bulls | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Thunder | 49c | 1,837$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder | 47c | 1,793$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.71 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3153…1dbcbacked Bulls | 51c | 1,700$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Bulls | 54c | 1,613$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.82 | 135 | 63%85 W · 50 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bulls | 51c | 1,603$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.24 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Bulls | 54c | 1,546$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.3 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Thunder | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 331 | 46.2%153 W · 178 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Thunder | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Thunder | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a10…8b30backed Thunder | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 502 | 39%196 W · 306 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Bulls | 42c | 1,500$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Bulls | 52c | 1,392$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.1 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb9…0879backed Thunder | 50c | 1,378$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef1…202ebacked Bulls | 50c | 1,322$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda42…f683backed Thunder | 50c | 1,264$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a71…dd74backed Bulls | 50c | 1,249$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ca…8f50backed Thunder | 50c | 1,236$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d8…44c4backed Thunder | 50c | 1,134$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d2…ad14backed Bulls | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.11 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1425…9e2cbacked Bulls | 50c | 1,096$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6445…0d8fbacked Bulls | 50c | 1,052$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7356…b839backed Thunder | 42c | 1,020$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.39 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76a0…78aabacked Bulls | 50c | 1,008$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5173…a2adbacked Thunder | 50c | 1,004$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Thunder | 51c | 1,002$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Bulls | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Thunder | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Bulls | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 211 | 39.8%84 W · 127 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Thunder | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Thunder | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05c4…a4f2backed Bulls | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Bulls | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.99 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63de…b134backed Bulls | 50c | 992$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…2b96backed Thunder | 50c | 988$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1736…accbbacked Thunder | 50c | 976$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9668…2d5cbacked Bulls | 50c | 976$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…2f5abacked Thunder | 50c | 972$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-10.5)this page
- Cason Wallace: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 9.5Yes won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Bulls won
- Thunder vs. BullsThunder won
- Thunder vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Bulls: O/U 226.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Bulls: O/U 227.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Bulls: O/U 228.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Bulls: O/U 229.5Under won
- Tre Jones: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.