NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Bulls: O/U 228.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc00724693ec5e77b17962fd6724e71f1610ca6dc658849af0683d6a8a3d3aab0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,590
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,887
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,590 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over | 53c | 42,742$22,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,504.86 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 47c | 10,409$4,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,516.89 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 48c | 6,505$3,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,364.41 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Under | 44c | 5,823$2,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,261.1 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 4,372$2,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,276.46 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 49c | 3,302$1,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,613.01 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Under | 47c | 2,544$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.52 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 2,013$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.84 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 49c | 2,000$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 47c | 1,999$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.57 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 47c | 1,650$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.58 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 52c | 1,588$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.92 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 46c | 1,427$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.92 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 50c | 1,201$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.51 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 47c | 1,191$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.23 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Under | 45c | 1,162$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645 | 136 | 38.2%52 W · 84 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Under | 47c | 1,050$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.5 | 221 | 43%95 W · 126 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 47c | 986$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.58 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 51c | 797$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.53 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 53c | 789.99$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.2 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 47c | 757.39$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.98 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 48c | 680.94$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.83 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 46c | 600$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Under | 47c | 419.78$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.48 | 221 | 40.7%90 W · 131 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 48c | 390.37$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.59 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 54c | 370$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 51c | 301.75$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.91 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 53c | 297$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.4 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 60c | 267.46$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.63 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 56c | 253.87$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.7 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Under | 59c | 231.8$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.01 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Over | 45c | 194.07$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.74 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 38c | 165.7$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.28 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea5d…d375backed Over | 38c | 162.02$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.69 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 47c | 155.91$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.63 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Under | 46c | 150.06$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.03 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55fc…8b73backed Over | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -45%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.36 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 46c | 131.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.85 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 56c | 116.36$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.16 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 47c | 104.05$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.09 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 49c | 98.17$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f59…bd2dbacked Under | 58c | 86.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 64c | 71.49$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…a85bbacked Over | 49c | 71.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 24c | 70.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Over | 26c | 70.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 106 | 23.6%25 W · 81 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Under | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 47c | 59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 55c | 51.11$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Over | 55c | 51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…cf14backed Under | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 43.87$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf2…31f0backed Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a3…bce8backed Over | 54c | 41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbb…727fbacked Over | 43c | 40.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…0e99backed Under | 51c | 33.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 456 | 53.5%244 W · 212 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 47c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 620 | 49%304 W · 316 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc08e…45e7backed Under | 47c | 31.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.54 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Under | 66c | 30.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 156 | 63.5%99 W · 57 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Under | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 378 | 45%170 W · 208 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Under | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 69c | 24.28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 47c | 23.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdade…8e37backed Over | 47c | 23.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b0…8100backed Over | 56c | 18.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Bulls: O/U 228.5this page
- Cason Wallace: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 9.5Yes won
- Spread: Thunder (-10.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Bulls won
- Thunder vs. BullsThunder won
- Thunder vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Bulls: O/U 226.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Bulls: O/U 227.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Bulls: O/U 229.5Under won
- Tre Jones: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.