NBA · resolved market

Thunder vs. Bulls: O/U 229.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07483e4be91fca62e958b70a074ae66d7e4b84e47948be5850d1fbdabf4e6bde

Rebuilt 21 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 4, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $89,614
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $92,878

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,614 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over	50c	24,866$12,321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,321	435	42.8%186 W · 249 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under	49c	13,336$6,523 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,812.98	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Over	53c	10,741$5,693 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,692.57	175	54.9%96 W · 79 L	+8.8wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under	49c	8,638$4,254 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,383.26	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3817…7d10backed Under	53c	8,000$4,240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,760	46	54.3%25 W · 21 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Under	46c	7,000$3,220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,780	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Over	54c	4,451$2,404 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,403.54	483	52%251 W · 232 L	+10.2wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Under	46c	3,479$1,601 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,878.91	247	44.1%109 W · 138 L	-10.8wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over	51c	3,260$1,664 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,664.34	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	52c	3,164$1,653 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,653.07	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6557…0999backed Over	55c	2,825$1,554 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,553.75	139	46.8%65 W · 74 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over	54c	2,778$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over	47c	2,230$1,037 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,037.1	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Under	46c	2,174$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,173.96	266	37.2%99 W · 167 L	-10.5wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under	52c	2,000$1,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$960	807	37.7%304 W · 503 L	-33.9wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under	56c	1,800$1,008 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$792	910	50.9%463 W · 447 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	57c	1,031$591 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$440.86	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	50c	1,023$511 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$511.54	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over	54c	800$432 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$432	212	47.2%100 W · 112 L	-5.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under	50c	706.31$353 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$353.27	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Under	47c	654$307 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$346.62	136	38.2%52 W · 84 L	-8.5wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c54…7e41backed Under	46c	584.81$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$314.81	81	58%47 W · 34 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74c5…6cb7backed Over	46c	565.22$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	55	41.8%23 W · 32 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Under	71c	542.7$385 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$157.78	139	51.1%71 W · 68 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff7e…8a0fbacked Under	47c	502.13$236 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$266.13	36	44.4%16 W · 20 L	+1.7wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over	41c	430.63$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.33	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under	50c	400.6$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200.22	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over	52c	385$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.2	1,150	49.5%569 W · 581 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…e032backed Over	54c	370.37$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	190	45.8%87 W · 103 L	-8.7wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x23d5…1232backed Over	55c	370.31$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.28	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under	46c	300$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162	911	48.1%438 W · 473 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under	49c	274.33$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.76	648	44.8%290 W · 358 L	-32.3wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under	49c	269.03$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136.64	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under	50c	255.69$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.84	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over	37c	237.17$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.76	1,532	42.5%651 W · 881 L	-17.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75ea…1616backed Under	46c	214$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.56	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-3.8wins	-0.27per pick	56cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9325…adafbacked Under	47c	212.77$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.77	117	54.7%64 W · 53 L	+6.7wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Under	48c	209.71$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.71	656	49.2%323 W · 333 L	+9.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over	50c	200.15$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.99	1,634	48.1%786 W · 848 L	+5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under	46c	187.84$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.52	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x034c…9109backed Under	70c	180.37$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.11	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.10per pick	56cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Over	42c	173.81$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73	918	46.2%424 W · 494 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over	52c	163.89$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.68	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over	47c	160.57$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.41	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Under	46c	160$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.4	171	48%82 W · 89 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over	48c	155.13$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	395	52.2%206 W · 189 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86d9…b214backed Under	47c	137.02$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.62	218	54.6%119 W · 99 L	+5.0wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under	46c	129.03$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.68	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c39…20eebacked Under	47c	112.05$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.39	358	43.6%156 W · 202 L	-8.0wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86a8…d0e7backed Under	46c	108.7$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.7	109	55%60 W · 49 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Under	46c	100$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54	394	35.3%139 W · 255 L	+12.1wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5558…f9c4backed Under	55c	100$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45	375	49.6%186 W · 189 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	1,475	51.3%756 W · 719 L	+35.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under	53c	94.34$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.34	1,110	52%577 W · 533 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under	70c	89.55$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.08	658	72.8%479 W · 179 L	+46.1wins	+0.07per pick	66cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x434e…a62ebacked Over	54c	89.02$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.07	217	48.4%105 W · 112 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe276…a85bbacked Under	55c	83.58$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.61	125	52%65 W · 60 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6912…2aabbacked Under	55c	81.82$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.82	77	44.2%34 W · 43 L	-5.8wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over	41c	76$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.16	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under	56c	75.11$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.03	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Under	45c	72.59$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.92	531	49.3%262 W · 269 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6d6…f530backed Under	57c	70.18$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.18	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1093…d547backed Under	47c	63.83$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.83	97	68%66 W · 31 L	+9.5wins	+0.10per pick	58cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0dcc…031ebacked Over	54c	63.64$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.37	233	49.4%115 W · 118 L	+5.0wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Under	59c	63.55$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.84	454	52%236 W · 218 L	+11.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Over	53c	62.1$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.8	1,018	51.6%525 W · 493 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8eb7…d529backed Over	47c	60.27$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.25	293	51.9%152 W · 141 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under	54c	50.01$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.84	661	43.4%287 W · 374 L	-32.6wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Under	55c	50$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.3	224	56.3%126 W · 98 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3108…8a52backed Under	53c	47.17$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.17	53	45.3%24 W · 29 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Under	49c	46.9$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.92	525	52%273 W · 252 L	+10.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over	32c	46.21$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.61	903	57%515 W · 388 L	+40.0wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fa7…2bb4backed Under	47c	43.6$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.11	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe922…3807backed Under	47c	42.55$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.55	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+1.7wins	+0.43per pick	57cpaid	+82.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0fbb…727fbacked Over	42c	41.5$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.43	144	48.6%70 W · 74 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ed8…0e99backed Under	52c	40.75$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.5	456	53.5%244 W · 212 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb8…f7debacked Over	32c	40.49$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.82	66	21.2%14 W · 52 L	-5.1wins	-0.08per pick	29cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed Under	50c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	95	50.5%48 W · 47 L	+6.3wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf702…683dbacked Under	57c	35.09$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.09	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.8wins	-0.11per pick	55cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0e3…c09fbacked Under	55c	32.73$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.73	69	53.6%37 W · 32 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over	45c	32.12$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.45	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0172…4d2bbacked Under	47c	31.91$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.91	49	53.1%26 W · 23 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under	48c	31.23$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.24	545	49.5%270 W · 275 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a1f…0568backed Over	54c	31$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.74	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-2.4wins	-0.12per pick	55cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under	50c	30$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	620	49%304 W · 316 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Over	42c	29$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.18	880	57.5%506 W · 374 L	+34.6wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8c…686fbacked Over	46c	28.64$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.05	244	9.4%23 W · 221 L	-27.5wins	-0.11per pick	21cpaid	-72.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x52fe…effdbacked Under	49c	28.38$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.36	88	40.9%36 W · 52 L	-7.0wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Under	58c	27.95$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.64	101	45.5%46 W · 55 L	-5.3wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over	39c	27$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.53	656	30.2%198 W · 458 L	-86.7wins	-0.13per pick	43cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x5767…8cc1backed Over	45c	26.65$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.99	1,084	42.4%460 W · 624 L	-48.6wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x92c6…95a0backed Under	57c	24.56$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.56	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Under	45c	23.64$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13	464	47.8%222 W · 242 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed Under	61c	21.43$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.38	156	63.5%99 W · 57 L	+10.9wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6f1a…66b4backed Under	73c	20.55$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.55	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+1.1wins	+0.13per pick	62cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Under	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	327	47.4%155 W · 172 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x217c…d494backed Under	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	50cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Over	55c	18.55$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	522	46.6%243 W · 279 L	-7.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Thunder vs. Bulls: O/U 229.5this page
Cason Wallace: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 9.5Yes won
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)Bulls won
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Bulls won
Thunder vs. BullsThunder won
Thunder vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylineThunder won
Thunder vs. Bulls: O/U 226.5Under won
Thunder vs. Bulls: O/U 227.5Under won
Thunder vs. Bulls: O/U 228.5Under won
Tre Jones: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Thunder vs. Bulls: O/U 229.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event