NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb16990d946decad2581bbc09030abb77dc00fc6ae1626a72ff59e76fd2472548
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bullsof Thunder, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $274,141
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $275,857
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $274,141 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Thunder | 43c | 173,502$74,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74,605.68 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Bulls | 57c | 101,379$57,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,592.97 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Bulls | 56c | 64,509$36,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,162.91 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bulls | 56c | 25,943$14,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,307.72 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Bulls | 57c | 17,902$10,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,697.65 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Thunder | 44c | 14,240$6,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,212.2 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Thunder | 44c | 10,710$4,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,712.34 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked Thunder | 44c | 8,908$3,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,919.35 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Bulls | 57c | 6,063$3,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,607.23 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3c29backed Thunder | 44c | 5,341$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Thunder | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3280…ea74backed Bulls | 56c | 4,445$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,944.79 | 95 | 31.6%30 W · 65 L | -11.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Thunder | 43c | 2,760$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.76 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bulls | 56c | 2,685$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.01 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Bulls | 57c | 2,605$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.3 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Bulls | 58c | 2,424$1,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.74 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Thunder | 46c | 2,306$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.31 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Bulls | 56c | 1,917$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.48 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Thunder | 41c | 1,894$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.82 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed Thunder | 44c | 1,800$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Thunder | 45c | 1,277$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.5 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Thunder | 50c | 1,198$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.08 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Bulls | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Bulls | 56c | 853.36$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.86 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e3…c09fbacked Thunder | 45c | 781.98$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.89 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Thunder | 45c | 778.72$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.42 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Thunder | 43c | 773.96$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.8 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Thunder | 44c | 771.34$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.39 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 45c | 729.04$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.07 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Bulls | 57c | 625$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.75 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Thunder | 21c | 584.27$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.15 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Thunder | 44c | 545.98$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.56 | 221 | 40.7%90 W · 131 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Bulls | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Bulls | 56c | 517.86$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.86 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Thunder | 44c | 505.75$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.07 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…67f5backed Bulls | 49c | 493.19$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.49 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Thunder | 44c | 478.84$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.69 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2d…a88dbacked Bulls | 56c | 460$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.4 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -7.7wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Bulls | 57c | 427.07$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.64 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Thunder | 5c | 417.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Thunder | 42c | 312.77$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.73 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Bulls | 56c | 311.2$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.93 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Bulls | 55c | 299.99$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Bulls | 57c | 298.74$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.46 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Bulls | 57c | 291.67$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.42 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Bulls | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…4856backed Thunder | 44c | 227.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.97 | 241 | 51%123 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8510…57e6backed Thunder | 44c | 207.4$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.26 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…45d9backed Thunder | 44c | 202.75$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.21 | 343 | 42.9%147 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Bulls | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…a85bbacked Bulls | 57c | 197.31$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.84 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Thunder | 44c | 185.18$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.48 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Thunder | 44c | 180.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.69 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Bulls | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd506…4f0ebacked Thunder | 79c | 161.41$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.98 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Bulls | 65c | 160$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 619 | 57.5%356 W · 263 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7895…896cbacked Bulls | 68c | 146.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.21 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb756…5846backed Bulls | 55c | 145.45$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.45 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +6.6wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcaed…37d5backed Thunder | 46c | 144$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.24 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2b…effbbacked Thunder | 44c | 143.18$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed Thunder | 44c | 139.09$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 362 | 47.5%172 W · 190 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Bulls | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.36 | 311 | 51.1%159 W · 152 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bulls | 58c | 124.59$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.35 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed Bulls | 56c | 110.68$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.7 | 207 | 62.3%129 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Thunder | 44c | 108$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Bulls | 56c | 106.19$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.72 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Thunder | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Bulls | 56c | 89.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.28 | 545 | 49.5%270 W · 275 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Thunder | 44c | 81$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Thunder | 51c | 80.53$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.77 | 745 | 47.2%352 W · 393 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Bulls | 67c | 74.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.76 | 243 | 58%141 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…ba84backed Bulls | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Bulls | 57c | 69.68$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.96 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…031ebacked Bulls | 57c | 60.34$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.95 | 233 | 49.4%115 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Bulls | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +28.6wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Bulls | 58c | 59.37$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Thunder | 43c | 57.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Bulls | 55c | 55.95$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Bulls | 56c | 54.3$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d95…373fbacked Thunder | 45c | 52.22$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Bulls | 56c | 51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…ac2cbacked Bulls | 56c | 49.98$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 243 | 34.2%83 W · 160 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a67…0b8abacked Bulls | 37c | 47.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.57 | 239 | 50.6%121 W · 118 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Thunder | 49c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Thunder | 52c | 45.22$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Thunder | 46c | 44.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Thunder | 48c | 44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Bulls | 57c | 43.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.98 | 488 | 52%254 W · 234 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6f…5d6fbacked Thunder | 44c | 41.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 231 | 44.2%102 W · 129 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…6562backed Thunder | 44c | 41.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec5…65ecbacked Thunder | 44c | 40.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Bulls | 54c | 40.84$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Thunder | 27c | 39.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1024…831abacked Bulls | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Bulls | 57c | 36.02$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.49 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf375…a60cbacked Thunder | 44c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Bulls | 51c | 31.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Thunder | 52c | 29.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Thunder | 72c | 27.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce66…8e63backed Thunder | 44c | 27.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)this page
- Cason Wallace: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 9.5Yes won
- Spread: Thunder (-10.5)Bulls won
- Thunder vs. BullsThunder won
- Thunder vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Bulls: O/U 226.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Bulls: O/U 227.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Bulls: O/U 228.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Bulls: O/U 229.5Under won
- Tre Jones: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.