NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Bulls
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1531b8e58874df83c4eb9feee59f3b70454c272a8b43afd1de1a714a6498cb22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,279,847
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,457,137
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,279,847 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,696 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Bulls | 23c | 199,979$45,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,995.23 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Bulls | 22c | 182,343$40,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,115.52 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Bulls | 23c | 100,000$23,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,000 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Thunder | 77c | 100,000$77,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,000 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Thunder | 77c | 94,718$72,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,736.52 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Bulls | 0c | 92,769$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.06 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Bulls | 23c | 78,772$18,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,117.56 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7af9…b408backed Thunder | 77c | 62,169$47,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,298.84 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…0944backed Thunder | 78c | 55,370$43,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,181.42 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Thunder | 77c | 52,359$40,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,042.67 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Thunder | 77c | 48,887$37,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,243.92 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Thunder | 79c | 40,146$31,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,630.6 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa491…3177backed Thunder | 77c | 35,000$26,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,050 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x183d…1270backed Bulls | 21c | 34,407$7,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,181.83 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Bulls | 11c | 32,426$3,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,516.31 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Bulls | 23c | 30,000$6,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,900 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Bulls | 25c | 27,977$6,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,994.33 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Thunder | 75c | 27,603$20,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,926.68 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e9…4044backed Bulls | 21c | 26,402$5,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,524.8 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11db…841fbacked Bulls | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 227 | 0%0 W · 227 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bulls | 22c | 21,175$4,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,664.58 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Thunder | 80c | 20,935$16,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,277.86 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…bd57backed Bulls | 22c | 20,123$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.55 | 418 | 32.8%137 W · 281 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Bulls | 23c | 20,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Bulls | 11c | 18,486$2,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,112.95 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Thunder | 76c | 18,366$13,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,407.83 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Thunder | 77c | 16,966$13,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,902.18 | 215 | 49.8%107 W · 108 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Thunder | 77c | 16,948$13,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,898.05 | 130 | 63.8%83 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Thunder | 79c | 16,570$13,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,538.28 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Bulls | 1c | 16,328$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.85 | 317 | 9.5%30 W · 287 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed Thunder | 78c | 16,091$12,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,540.08 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Bulls | 21c | 16,042$3,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,414.08 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Thunder | 77c | 16,000$12,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,679.95 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Bulls | 8c | 15,976$1,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.09 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b71…8044backed Bulls | 22c | 15,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Bulls | 23c | 13,943$3,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,207 | 173 | 56.1%97 W · 76 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1a…5abfbacked Thunder | 78c | 12,581$9,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,830.44 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Bulls | 14c | 12,288$1,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,754.96 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…1aa9backed Bulls | 13c | 11,616$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550.43 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bulls | 22c | 11,487$2,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,576.67 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…34d7backed Bulls | 20c | 10,990$2,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,190.86 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Thunder | 79c | 10,910$8,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,344.45 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Thunder | 77c | 10,243$7,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,355.81 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Bulls | 21c | 10,100$2,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120.94 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Bulls | 23c | 10,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Bulls | 23c | 10,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…3d56backed Bulls | 23c | 10,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77d3…f4d6backed Bulls | 15c | 9,684$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444.24 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Bulls | 4c | 9,222$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.97 | 286 | 16.4%47 W · 239 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Bulls | 7c | 9,037$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.49 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07c…11a0backed Bulls | 23c | 8,575$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Thunder | 78c | 8,572$6,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,885.79 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Bulls | 24c | 8,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 320 | 39.4%126 W · 194 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Bulls | 22c | 8,000$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,759.99 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Thunder | 77c | 7,762$5,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,782.68 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Thunder | 78c | 7,762$6,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,707.64 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bulls | 9c | 7,545$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.27 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Bulls | 1c | 7,459$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.49 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…f7e2backed Bulls | 27c | 7,425$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 191 | 36.1%69 W · 122 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02b6…fbbbbacked Bulls | 23c | 7,391$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Bulls | 19c | 6,693$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.69 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…b1aabacked Bulls | 14c | 6,663$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.62 | 295 | 47.5%140 W · 155 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed0…a9c5backed Thunder | 77c | 6,596$5,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,517.08 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Bulls | 21c | 6,500$1,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.17 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Bulls | 16c | 6,459$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.37 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Bulls | 23c | 6,343$1,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450.99 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f0…cbb1backed Thunder | 77c | 6,225$4,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,411.01 | 87 | 65.5%57 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed Thunder | 78c | 6,139$4,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350.63 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed Thunder | 80c | 5,419$4,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.8 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8000…3a21backed Bulls | 22c | 5,000$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.88 | 259 | 47.5%123 W · 136 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Thunder | 77c | 5,000$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Thunder | 77c | 5,000$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Thunder | 79c | 5,000$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.98 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa25d…2227backed Thunder | 78c | 5,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.97 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b6…159dbacked Thunder | 79c | 4,744$3,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.82 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed Thunder | 77c | 4,540$3,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.2 | 176 | 53.4%94 W · 82 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Bulls | 21c | 4,500$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.74 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Thunder | 78c | 4,487$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.18 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3280…ea74backed Bulls | 23c | 4,348$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 95 | 31.6%30 W · 65 L | -11.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 78c | 4,346$3,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.98 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bulls | 10c | 4,272$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.74 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4c…444cbacked Bulls | 24c | 4,167$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Bulls | 23c | 4,158$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.34 | 314 | 55.1%173 W · 141 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Bulls | 0c | 4,040$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Thunder | 77c | 4,000$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x269c…9017backed Thunder | 71c | 4,000$2,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Thunder | 77c | 4,000$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 386 | 49.7%192 W · 194 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bulls | 16c | 3,959$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.08 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Bulls | 4c | 3,940$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.46 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…7708backed Bulls | 5c | 3,790$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.41 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Thunder | 77c | 3,719$2,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.41 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Thunder | 80c | 3,623$2,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.5 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Thunder | 77c | 3,500$2,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805 | 359 | 42.1%151 W · 208 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Thunder | 77c | 3,456$2,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.88 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Bulls | 23c | 3,261$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 209 | 45.5%95 W · 114 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Bulls | 21c | 3,190$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Bulls | 21c | 3,108$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.9 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Bulls | 22c | 3,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1520…378fbacked Thunder | 78c | 2,996$2,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.05 | 204 | 53.9%110 W · 94 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Bulls | 22c | 2,860$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.2 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Bullsthis page
- Cason Wallace: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 9.5Yes won
- Spread: Thunder (-10.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Bulls won
- Thunder vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Bulls: O/U 226.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Bulls: O/U 227.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Bulls: O/U 228.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Bulls: O/U 229.5Under won
- Tre Jones: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.