TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x55fc…8b73

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
92
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: MLB, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT4742.6%20 W · 27 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Medvedev (-1.5) vs Ruiz (+1.5)backed Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
Set Handicap: Khachanov (-1.5) vs Shevchenko (+1.5)backed Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$66.28
Set Handicap: Bergs (-1.5) vs Topo (+1.5)backed Topo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.26
Miami Open: Ann Li vs Kimberly Birrellbacked Kimberly Birrell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Set Handicap: Zakharova (-1.5) vs Bondar (+1.5)backed Zakharova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Miami Open: Sara Bejlek vs Talia Gibsonbacked Sara Bejlek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Miami Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Mackenzie McDonaldbacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$101.82
Thionville: Sebastian Ofner vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaerbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Antalya 2: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Moyuka Uchijimabacked Moyuka Uchijima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$78
Set Handicap: Shelton (-1.5) vs Opelka (+1.5)backed Opelka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+112.8%+$56.38
Thionville: Hugo Gaston vs Moise Kouamebacked Moise Kouame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Thionville: Roman Safiullin vs Jan Choinskibacked Jan Choinski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+117.4%+$46.96
Thionville: Moise Kouame vs Giulio Zeppieribacked Moise Kouame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+136%+$95.22
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Vit Kopriva vs Dalibor Svrcinabacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$150
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Alexis Galarneau vs Tomas Barriosbacked Tomas Barrios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Thionville: Dan Added vs Martin Krumichbacked Dan Added · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$60
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Moez Echarguibacked Moez Echargui · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Set Handicap: McDonald (-1.5) vs Sachko (+1.5)backed Sachko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Set Handicap: Prizmic (-1.5) vs Blanch (+1.5)backed Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+108.3%+$65
Brasilia: Gustavo Heide vs Daniel Galanbacked Daniel Galan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Merida Open Akron: Cristina Bucsa vs Magdalena Frechbacked Magdalena Frech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
ATX Open: Taylor Townsend vs Peyton Stearnsbacked Peyton Stearns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+104.1%+$52.04
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Anastasia Zakharova vs Caroline Dolehidebacked Anastasia Zakharova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+100%+$120
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Emerson Jones vs Nikola Bartunkovabacked Nikola Bartunkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+75.1%+$75.13
Mexican Open: Yibing Wu vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+122.2%+$85.56
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST2548%12 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houston Cougars vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys: O/U 147.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$39.65
Presbyterian Blue Hose vs. Radford Highlanders: O/U 145.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$39.65
Penn Quakers vs. Brown Bears: O/U 142.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$59.48
Northeastern Huskies vs. North Carolina A&T Aggiesbacked Northeastern Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+112.8%+$55.89
Wagner Seahawks vs. Central Connecticut State Blue Devils: O/U 139.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$59.48
Chicago State Cougars vs. LIU Sharks: O/U 137.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+112.8%+$57.01
Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. Saint Mary's Gaels: O/U 143.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+108.3%+$75.17
Maine Black Bears vs. Binghamton Bearcatsbacked Binghamton Bearcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+104.1%+$51.59
Campbell Fighting Camels vs. Towson Tigers: O/U 142.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$39.65
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs. IU Indy Jaguarsbacked IU Indy Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$49.57
Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Cincinnati Bearcats: O/U 151.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$49.56
Loyola Maryland Greyhounds vs. Holy Cross Crusadersbacked Holy Cross Crusaders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$49.56
Maryland Terrapins vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 141.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+96.1%+$76.19
James Madison Dukes vs. Georgia State Panthersbacked Georgia State Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Sacred Heart Pioneers vs. Fairfield Stags: O/U 157.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$99.13
UT Martin Skyhawks vs. Little Rock Trojansbacked Little Rock Trojans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+138.1%+$82.86
Albany Great Danes vs. NJIT Highlandersbacked Albany Great Danes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+150%+$105
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights vs. Chicago State Cougarsbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+88.7%+$62.08
North Dakota State Bison vs. South Dakota State Jackrabbitsbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked Ohio State Buckeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+127.3%+$89.09
Manhattan Jaspers vs. Canisius Golden Griffinsbacked Canisius Golden Griffins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Indiana Hoosiers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 151.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+117.4%+$58.7
UCLA Bruins vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 153.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+100%+$70
Navy Midshipmen vs. Colgate Raidersbacked Colgate Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Hampton Pirates vs. North Carolina A&T Aggiesbacked North Carolina A&T Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+156.4%+$78.21
All 25 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-45%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick52cpaid+55.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.17
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+96.1%+$57.65
Twins vs. Blue Jaysbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Athletics vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+71.1%+$355.47
Brewers vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT+88.5%+$97.3
Padres vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+67.9%+$107.28
All 6 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tianjin Pioneers vs. Shenzhen Leopardsbacked Tianjin Pioneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 6, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liberty vs. Stormbacked Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.