Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
James Madison Dukes vs. Georgia State Panthers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc75fe2a874471398611de0c21d0e8e469045bd6d1935f0e5c41bc12bf8722e10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- James Madison Dukesof James Madison Dukes, Georgia State Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,168
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,405
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,168 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked James Madison Dukes | 51c | 1,980$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.99 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed James Madison Dukes | 55c | 1,462$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.26 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Georgia State Panthers | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.95 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Georgia State Panthers | 15c | 1,034$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.43 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Georgia State Panthers | 45c | 555$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.75 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Georgia State Panthers | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Georgia State Panthers | 26c | 413.82$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.94 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked James Madison Dukes | 74c | 407.37$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.79 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Georgia State Panthers | 22c | 391.74$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.85 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Georgia State Panthers | 43c | 389.6$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.84 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Georgia State Panthers | 45c | 299.98$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.99 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Georgia State Panthers | 44c | 272.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.11 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed James Madison Dukes | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b4…7730backed Georgia State Panthers | 7c | 270$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Georgia State Panthers | 45c | 266.22$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.73 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Georgia State Panthers | 39c | 208.33$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.22 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Georgia State Panthers | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Georgia State Panthers | 28c | 180$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed James Madison Dukes | 47c | 167$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.51 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Georgia State Panthers | 45c | 146.51$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.93 | 160 | 54.4%87 W · 73 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55fc…8b73backed Georgia State Panthers | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Georgia State Panthers | 45c | 124$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked James Madison Dukes | 56c | 109.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.72 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Georgia State Panthers | 29c | 102.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed James Madison Dukes | 48c | 92$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.53 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked James Madison Dukes | 67c | 76.47$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed James Madison Dukes | 55c | 69.23$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.15 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked James Madison Dukes | 70c | 65.12$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.54 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Georgia State Panthers | 45c | 60.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.27 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed James Madison Dukes | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked James Madison Dukes | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Georgia State Panthers | 26c | 57.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Georgia State Panthers | 25c | 49.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Georgia State Panthers | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 175 | 51.4%90 W · 85 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Georgia State Panthers | 45c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…cf27backed James Madison Dukes | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Georgia State Panthers | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked James Madison Dukes | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked James Madison Dukes | 65c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Georgia State Panthers | 45c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbb…727fbacked Georgia State Panthers | 42c | 25.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Georgia State Panthers | 44c | 25.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 176 | 27.8%49 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed James Madison Dukes | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed James Madison Dukes | 54c | 18.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- James Madison Dukes vs. Georgia State Panthersthis page
- James Madison Dukes vs. Georgia State Panthers: O/U 143.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.