Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. Saint Mary's Gaels: O/U 143.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73584931ce5bb76040c2fef4e9f958e419418a2f2e61055c46d128746df51408
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,185
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,840
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,185 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 53c | 9,745$5,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,140.71 | 334 | 38.9%130 W · 204 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 37c | 4,322$1,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,729.41 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 52c | 3,964$2,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,061.06 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | -15.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 67c | 2,536$1,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.5 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 58c | 2,373$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.6 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Under | 55c | 2,168$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.01 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 46c | 1,675$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.82 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Under | 50c | 1,401$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.38 | 143 | 25.9%37 W · 106 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…87bdbacked Under | 53c | 1,108$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.69 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked Under | 48c | 991.26$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.46 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Over | 43c | 761.55$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.78 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Over | 53c | 732.41$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.18 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Under | 48c | 706.77$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.52 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 44c | 668.12$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.67 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 15c | 663.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.55 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 48c | 374.79$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.89 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Under | 48c | 283.27$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.3 | 247 | 37.7%93 W · 154 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 56c | 282.9$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.1 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 46c | 215.5$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Over | 45c | 204.96$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.78 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 40c | 196.02$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.8 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99c5…03eabacked Under | 50c | 183.44$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.72 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 53c | 148.69$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.89 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55fc…8b73backed Under | 48c | 144.56$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.17 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 44c | 125$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 61c | 110.81$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.59 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Over | 46c | 107.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Over | 49c | 105.18$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.54 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 47c | 85.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 56c | 80$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.93 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 56c | 80$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Under | 64c | 78.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +19.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Over | 43c | 67.05$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Over | 40c | 52.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Under | 50c | 47.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Over | 40c | 39.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 45c | 35.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…5c69backed Under | 59c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 61 | 14.8%9 W · 52 L | -12.0wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -64%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 48c | 26.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…4dd4backed Under | 58c | 22.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. Saint Mary's Gaels: O/U 143.5this page
- Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. Saint Mary's GaelsSaint Mary's Gaels won
- Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. Saint Mary's Gaels: O/U 142.5Under won
- Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-1.5)Saint Mary's Gaels won
- Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-2.5)Saint Mary's Gaels won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.