TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Saint Mary's Gaelsof Gonzaga Bulldogs, Saint Mary's Gaels
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$23,387
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$23,650

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,387 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs47c7,460$3,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,526.1490645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Saint Mary's Gaels57c5,670$3,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,465.6235151.9%182 W · 169 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Saint Mary's Gaels53c4,956$2,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,329.5130139.2%118 W · 183 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Gonzaga Bulldogs44c3,694$1,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,637.85,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x198c…6a94backed Gonzaga Bulldogs52c1,994$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.8718846.8%88 W · 100 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Saint Mary's Gaels52c1,973$1,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946.9211048.2%53 W · 57 L+0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Saint Mary's Gaels52c1,667$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.1515858.2%92 W · 66 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x30a3…1943backed Gonzaga Bulldogs43c1,654$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.15740.4%23 W · 34 L-7.2wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-29.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Saint Mary's Gaels48c1,313$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.695,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Gonzaga Bulldogs48c1,098$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.1448855.1%269 W · 219 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked Saint Mary's Gaels52c992.29$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.379250%46 W · 46 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb123…0a15backed Gonzaga Bulldogs48c940.93$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.6510753.3%57 W · 50 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Saint Mary's Gaels58c688.7$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.1216253.1%86 W · 76 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Saint Mary's Gaels45c652.08$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35942934.3%147 W · 282 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Gonzaga Bulldogs53c623.84$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.394,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b1f…4eebbacked Saint Mary's Gaels53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23513147.3%62 W · 69 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x00ed…0a9fbacked Saint Mary's Gaels53c392.77$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.66251.6%32 W · 30 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Gonzaga Bulldogs44c328.76$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.463,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Gonzaga Bulldogs42c250$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10589146.2%412 W · 479 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35f9…e09dbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs64c217.48$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.876235.5%22 W · 40 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-28%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x99c5…03eabacked Gonzaga Bulldogs49c202.3$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.13520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-60%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf48d…fe48backed Saint Mary's Gaels51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9812649.2%62 W · 64 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb451…37f3backed Saint Mary's Gaels52c196.53$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.011457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Gonzaga Bulldogs42c196.12$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.1470936.1%256 W · 453 L-27.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Saint Mary's Gaels51c194.92$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.7930853.2%164 W · 144 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3d6…e952backed Saint Mary's Gaels53c189.97$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.67350.7%37 W · 36 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+18.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Gonzaga Bulldogs43c150$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.585248.8%416 W · 436 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f4f…6dddbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs48c147.7$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.94440.9%18 W · 26 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs42c125$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.593941.6%391 W · 548 L+25.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x348f…a206backed Gonzaga Bulldogs49c113.29$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.514645.7%21 W · 25 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c77…a901backed Saint Mary's Gaels34c100$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+59.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Saint Mary's Gaels52c98.94$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.4940755.8%227 W · 180 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Gonzaga Bulldogs45c94.24$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.417748.1%37 W · 40 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-17.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4855…6a41backed Saint Mary's Gaels52c76.35$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.6532652.8%172 W · 154 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…a219backed Gonzaga Bulldogs52c72.03$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.87542.7%32 W · 43 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Saint Mary's Gaels49c63.77$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.283,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Saint Mary's Gaels48c61.98$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.282,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Gonzaga Bulldogs50c55.91$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7764647.5%307 W · 339 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b1a…7ddebacked Gonzaga Bulldogs48c51.63$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.784450%22 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89bc…a463backed Gonzaga Bulldogs48c51.22$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.782650%13 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb83d…3aa2backed Saint Mary's Gaels53c46.76$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.981942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs50c41.23$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6224857.3%142 W · 106 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Gonzaga Bulldogs49c40.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8362140.4%251 W · 370 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Gonzaga Bulldogs44c39.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.530652%159 W · 147 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a38…d420backed Saint Mary's Gaels66c38.76$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.173452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe81b…ae69backed Gonzaga Bulldogs51c29.4$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.994843.8%21 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc676…f35cbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs50c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.58248.8%40 W · 42 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Gonzaga Bulldogs44c22.61$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.021625%4 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-40.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs52c21.64$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.251330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-39%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.