MLB · resolved market
Padres vs. Dodgers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49579494934e9a9de589dc1f209e4b2074d0ef9d3a5003e1f56d52ff764e9e14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dodgersof Padres, Dodgers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $519,998
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $527,154
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $519,998 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 212 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Padres | 45c | 222,526$100,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,054.96 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Dodgers | 55c | 106,624$58,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,980.67 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Dodgers | 59c | 44,999$26,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,619.1 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Padres | 47c | 40,000$18,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,799.99 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Dodgers | 55c | 31,047$17,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,971.36 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Dodgers | 67c | 30,499$20,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,082.76 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Dodgers | 54c | 25,281$13,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,751.74 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37be…c646backed Padres | 46c | 21,638$9,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,953.09 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Dodgers | 53c | 19,834$10,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,322.07 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Padres | 33c | 15,331$5,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,125.47 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Dodgers | 49c | 10,218$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,217.65 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Dodgers | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Dodgers | 56c | 9,360$5,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,163.99 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Dodgers | 60c | 7,116$4,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,862.25 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc607…4e9abacked Padres | 41c | 6,221$2,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,556.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x622f…8fe6backed Dodgers | 50c | 6,006$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,005.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Dodgers | 55c | 5,555$3,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,499.75 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3aff…e954backed Dodgers | 57c | 5,453$3,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,341.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Padres | 34c | 5,211$1,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,747.53 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…5c7dbacked Padres | 39c | 5,020$1,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,957.8 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Padres | 26c | 4,289$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.72 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Dodgers | 56c | 3,660$2,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,618.48 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x930d…1dd8backed Dodgers | 61c | 3,520$2,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.8 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Padres | 30c | 3,341$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Dodgers | 51c | 2,951$1,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,457.85 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Padres | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Padres | 34c | 2,460$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Padres | 45c | 2,457$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.58 | 193 | 56.5%109 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Padres | 31c | 2,408$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Dodgers | 56c | 2,191$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.84 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25f2…edf8backed Dodgers | 61c | 2,187$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.87 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd87d…f027backed Padres | 39c | 2,100$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Padres | 45c | 2,044$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.84 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Dodgers | 56c | 1,980$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.36 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Dodgers | 49c | 1,977$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.02 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x266d…facabacked Padres | 39c | 1,800$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ab…27d6backed Padres | 39c | 1,800$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Padres | 41c | 1,685$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.62 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Padres | 27c | 1,629$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Dodgers | 56c | 1,543$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.94 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Padres | 41c | 1,536$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.08 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62b2…85d5backed Padres | 43c | 1,400$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d49…9fc1backed Dodgers | 61c | 1,393$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.27 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Padres | 38c | 1,349$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.78 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcab0…4cd3backed Padres | 54c | 1,341$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.74 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Dodgers | 60c | 1,300$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.16 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Dodgers | 55c | 1,273$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.73 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Padres | 32c | 1,222$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.86 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc9…50fabacked Padres | 39c | 1,200$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d2a…a437backed Padres | 39c | 1,200$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Padres | 25c | 1,126$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.67 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Padres | 40c | 1,117$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.45 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Padres | 39c | 1,100$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.96 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62d7…90babacked Dodgers | 61c | 1,084$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.76 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e8…437cbacked Dodgers | 61c | 1,016$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Padres | 11c | 1,016$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4356…181dbacked Dodgers | 61c | 1,007$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.73 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 50cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Dodgers | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c33…d435backed Padres | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Padres | 30c | 971.3$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.93 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff4…5a2dbacked Dodgers | 61c | 966$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.74 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd319…b3f9backed Dodgers | 61c | 934$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.26 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…f282backed Dodgers | 61c | 931$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.09 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c7…669bbacked Dodgers | 61c | 918$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.02 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a98…3984backed Padres | 39c | 900$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0277…8696backed Dodgers | 61c | 882$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Dodgers | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Dodgers | 65c | 869$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.15 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3661…b27cbacked Dodgers | 61c | 869$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.91 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Padres | 38c | 827.58$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.9 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Padres | 26c | 799.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Padres | 26c | 756.11$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.44 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Padres | 46c | 731$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.26 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Padres | 26c | 698.02$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.25 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Dodgers | 53c | 656.47$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.84 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Padres | 39c | 641$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Padres | 45c | 600$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Padres | 25c | 591.87$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.16 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…1dbdbacked Padres | 55c | 575.45$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.85 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Padres | 13c | 563$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.56 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Padres | 37c | 534.13$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.93 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4b…94d4backed Padres | 40c | 526$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 251 | 55.4%139 W · 112 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Dodgers | 58c | 517.86$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.86 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Padres | 39c | 512.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.89 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Dodgers | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Dodgers | 76c | 499.26$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.13 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Dodgers | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.87 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Dodgers | 52c | 482.23$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.23 | 478 | 50.4%241 W · 237 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…c65dbacked Padres | 37c | 476.9$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.45 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Dodgers | 69c | 468.45$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.63 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Dodgers | 61c | 413.04$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.09 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Padres | 31c | 400$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.93 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…e15cbacked Padres | 40c | 375$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Padres | 40c | 375$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Padres | 23c | 368.01$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.32 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Dodgers | 54c | 359.3$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.3 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Dodgers | 61c | 356$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.84 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Padres | 40c | 354.99$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.55 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Padres | 44c | 349.98$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.99 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Padres | 44c | 330.68$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.5 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.