Tennis · resolved market
Thionville: Dan Added vs Martin Krumich
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc00b6e0d7667deb8cfe145272658647db4ae7f128a38e1c9538fe87755362e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Martin Krumichof Dan Added, Martin Krumich
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,272
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,037
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,272 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Dan Added | 23c | 24,833$5,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,623.64 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Martin Krumich | 77c | 15,282$11,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,534.62 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Martin Krumich | 79c | 2,947$2,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.87 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Martin Krumich | 78c | 2,349$1,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.55 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Dan Added | 45c | 1,545$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.96 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Martin Krumich | 53c | 999.98$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.99 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Martin Krumich | 61c | 797.63$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.54 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Martin Krumich | 76c | 683.72$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.09 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0b…17c3backed Dan Added | 7c | 540$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +6.5wins | +0.32per pick | 13cpaid | +273.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Dan Added | 19c | 532.22$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.74 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Dan Added | 49c | 500$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 430 | 42.8%184 W · 246 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Martin Krumich | 54c | 313.81$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.35 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd571…9f0abacked Dan Added | 47c | 270.21$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Martin Krumich | 58c | 232.24$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.77 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Martin Krumich | 54c | 221.05$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.49 | 2,150 | 54.1%1,164 W · 986 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Martin Krumich | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 287 | 47.7%137 W · 150 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Martin Krumich | 58c | 188$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.26 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Martin Krumich | 52c | 186$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.28 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcf…ef2fbacked Martin Krumich | 62c | 161.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.52 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Dan Added | 44c | 142.05$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.09 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55fc…8b73backed Dan Added | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb275…c76fbacked Dan Added | 45c | 124.44$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Martin Krumich | 79c | 116$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0f…72ddbacked Martin Krumich | 55c | 109.49$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.49 | 129 | 65.9%85 W · 44 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Dan Added | 47c | 95.74$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2,440 | 51.7%1,261 W · 1,179 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Dan Added | 18c | 88.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x22c1…0df7backed Dan Added | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Martin Krumich | 59c | 66.27$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.25 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…8b6fbacked Martin Krumich | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Dan Added | 47c | 40.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 690 | 51.2%353 W · 337 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Dan Added | 49c | 38.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Martin Krumich | 77c | 37.66$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Martin Krumich | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Dan Added | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 957 | 42.1%403 W · 554 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thionville: Dan Added vs Martin Krumichthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Added vs KrumichKrumich won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.