Tennis · resolved market

BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Emerson Jones vs Nikola Bartunkova

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61ee4322dd81d9499e3e3ab242c6c49c168d41153bb81cfb940ef5f2c1c58be7

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Nikola Bartunkovaof Emerson Jones, Nikola Bartunkova
Resolved: Mar 1, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $28,884
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $32,556

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,884 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tennis
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4ffe…9f71backed Emerson Jones	0c	5,837$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.48	2,331	7.9%183 W · 2,148 L	-56.9wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-60.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x75b3…be68backed Nikola Bartunkova	70c	4,428$3,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,328.36	40	40%16 W · 24 L	-5.6wins	-0.14per pick	54cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Emerson Jones	29c	3,899$1,124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,124.35	2,746	30.8%846 W · 1,900 L	-67.1wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f95…b08bbacked Emerson Jones	41c	2,228$909 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$908.83	110	45.5%50 W · 60 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…d2a3backed Nikola Bartunkova	59c	1,250$738 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$512.5	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.35per pick	65cpaid	+54.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1978…b93abacked Emerson Jones	41c	1,250$513 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$512.5	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x800b…152abacked Nikola Bartunkova	59c	1,151$679 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$471.79	71	63.4%45 W · 26 L	+9.4wins	+0.13per pick	50cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Emerson Jones	41c	889.45$363 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$363.27	1,809	43.8%793 W · 1,016 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ab0…b46abacked Emerson Jones	24c	833.33$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	237	35%83 W · 154 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Nikola Bartunkova	61c	750$458 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$291.55	454	57.9%263 W · 191 L	-14.2wins	-0.03per pick	61cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97a0…da35backed Emerson Jones	34c	741.45$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	479	46.3%222 W · 257 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Emerson Jones	39c	723.99$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.84	160	29.4%47 W · 113 L	-6.6wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Emerson Jones	40c	499.98$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.99	465	53.8%250 W · 215 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Emerson Jones	40c	488.1$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.17	1,284	39.2%503 W · 781 L	-12.2wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Nikola Bartunkova	61c	459.02$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$179.02	530	58.1%308 W · 222 L	+15.8wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Emerson Jones	36c	435.72$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.24	4,288	40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L	-139.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Nikola Bartunkova	59c	400$236 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$164	1,240	41.2%511 W · 729 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe026…2b3abacked Nikola Bartunkova	77c	389.96$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.96	503	64.6%325 W · 178 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	64cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Emerson Jones	42c	389.74$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.76	1,853	48.4%897 W · 956 L	-32.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Nikola Bartunkova	62c	379.54$235 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.93	2,776	53.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L	+69.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x04b0…02c6backed Emerson Jones	7c	359.44$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	80	7.5%6 W · 74 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	11cpaid	-56.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5e6…ef9dbacked Nikola Bartunkova	59c	338.98$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.98	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.15per pick	49cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Emerson Jones	17c	324.42$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.81	507	31.2%158 W · 349 L	-41.2wins	-0.08per pick	39cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd571…9f0abacked Nikola Bartunkova	58c	318.14$185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.14	37	56.8%21 W · 16 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Nikola Bartunkova	58c	269.99$157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.4	784	52.9%415 W · 369 L	+22.4wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57c3…3201backed Nikola Bartunkova	63c	244.03$154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.29	189	57.7%109 W · 80 L	-5.3wins	-0.03per pick	60cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Nikola Bartunkova	60c	235.33$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.13	99	49.5%49 W · 50 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Emerson Jones	41c	206$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.77	1,414	41.1%581 W · 833 L	-21.3wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x865d…47aabacked Nikola Bartunkova	61c	199.98$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.99	27	63%17 W · 10 L	+2.0wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Emerson Jones	42c	195.13$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.95	2,058	59.5%1,225 W · 833 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x55fc…8b73backed Nikola Bartunkova	57c	175.13$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.13	47	42.6%20 W · 27 L	-2.6wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-12%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Emerson Jones	31c	169.37$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.14	2,537	53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L	+61.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Nikola Bartunkova	61c	163.93$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.93	1,768	43.2%764 W · 1,004 L	+2.9wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe901…3139backed Emerson Jones	7c	159.4$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	238	32.4%77 W · 161 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-24%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Nikola Bartunkova	76c	150.67$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.54	619	53.3%330 W · 289 L	+18.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66df…7ea5backed Nikola Bartunkova	59c	144.07$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.07	99	58.6%58 W · 41 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe062…61fdbacked Nikola Bartunkova	58c	129.31$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.31	106	49.1%52 W · 54 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70f9…f25bbacked Nikola Bartunkova	59c	116$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.99	992	55.9%555 W · 437 L	+32.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ae3…3c15backed Nikola Bartunkova	70c	114.29$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.29	683	50.1%342 W · 341 L	-25.5wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Emerson Jones	36c	110.79$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.72	1,265	29.2%370 W · 895 L	-13.3wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Emerson Jones	23c	107.3$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.68	4,765	47%2,238 W · 2,527 L	-82.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x999d…5b2ebacked Emerson Jones	43c	100.63$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.1	75	50.7%38 W · 37 L	+5.1wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x48f9…cd95backed Nikola Bartunkova	79c	100$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21	46	67.4%31 W · 15 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	67cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Emerson Jones	12c	98.82$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.86	813	49.1%399 W · 414 L	+21.6wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0642…8c68backed Nikola Bartunkova	58c	98.79$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.49	643	58.8%378 W · 265 L	+13.4wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74b2…f6c3backed Nikola Bartunkova	62c	98.79$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.82	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.16per pick	59cpaid	+26.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Nikola Bartunkova	58c	94.83$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.83	2,440	51.7%1,261 W · 1,179 L	+9.9wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa373…b6dcbacked Emerson Jones	43c	87.49$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.5	543	48.1%261 W · 282 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Emerson Jones	20c	86.55$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.22	6,840	48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L	+58.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Nikola Bartunkova	59c	83.88$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.39	1,832	53%971 W · 861 L	-45.6wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Nikola Bartunkova	68c	83.14$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.45	3,072	44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L	-30.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-23%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04eb…f50dbacked Nikola Bartunkova	59c	71.46$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.57	294	61.9%182 W · 112 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	63cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Nikola Bartunkova	80c	64$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.92	1,008	46%464 W · 544 L	-19.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Nikola Bartunkova	80c	64$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.01	737	45.2%333 W · 404 L	-9.4wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x983a…ac6bbacked Nikola Bartunkova	58c	60$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.2	138	47.8%66 W · 72 L	-6.4wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb93c…d7ecbacked Emerson Jones	44c	56.82$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Emerson Jones	42c	52.76$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.34	1,245	33.9%422 W · 823 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Nikola Bartunkova	80c	48$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.65	970	46.6%452 W · 518 L	-8.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Emerson Jones	33c	46.26$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.06	3,270	13.8%450 W · 2,820 L	-549.1wins	-0.17per pick	31cpaid	-57.4%equal weight	31-0.17 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Nikola Bartunkova	58c	46$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.12	770	47.9%369 W · 401 L	-19.8wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Nikola Bartunkova	67c	45$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.83	3,901	50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L	-13.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8e78…8bb1backed Nikola Bartunkova	59c	42.46$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.46	30	50%15 W · 15 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Nikola Bartunkova	70c	42.28$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.68	864	70%605 W · 259 L	+43.2wins	+0.05per pick	65cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nikola Bartunkova	59c	41.66$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.91	7,968	50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L	+92.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x610d…6c37backed Emerson Jones	41c	35.61$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.6	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-1.9wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2db8…e042backed Nikola Bartunkova	62c	32.26$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.26	750	61.7%463 W · 287 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	62cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ae2…8d89backed Emerson Jones	42c	24.39$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.24	43	39.5%17 W · 26 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Nikola Bartunkova	59c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.2	292	44.5%130 W · 162 L	-8.4wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Nikola Bartunkova	59c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.2	272	46.3%126 W · 146 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Emerson Jones vs Nikola Bartunkova

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market