Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Sacred Heart Pioneers vs. Fairfield Stags: O/U 157.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5c244e694b86a99b28436b9336ff9f1a2b1e1f124ddb48a0d4e8a2389b7b327
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,669
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,651
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,669 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 51c | 31,990$16,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,582.02 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 16,124$7,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,816.66 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Over | 49c | 6,021$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,950.39 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 50c | 3,063$1,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,531.48 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Over | 49c | 1,857$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.03 | 274 | 50%137 W · 137 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Over | 48c | 1,799$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.32 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Over | 48c | 1,600$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.18 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9931…ea8cbacked Over | 49c | 847.35$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.2 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Under | 51c | 709.74$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.77 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 53c | 465.24$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.79 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae84…fd9dbacked Over | 48c | 421.29$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.22 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Under | 53c | 416.6$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.8 | 176 | 61.4%108 W · 68 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Over | 48c | 261.58$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.56 | 262 | 54.2%142 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 48c | 198.25$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.16 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55fc…8b73backed Over | 50c | 198.25$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 49c | 135.73$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.96 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 47c | 113.1$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.16 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 46c | 108.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.69 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Over | 55c | 99.13$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.52 | 383 | 51.7%198 W · 185 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 48c | 99.13$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.58 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 50c | 73.79$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.55 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 48c | 62.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 54c | 55.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 310 | 57.4%178 W · 132 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 54c | 43.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac56…3efdbacked Over | 51c | 39.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sacred Heart Pioneers vs. Fairfield Stags: O/U 157.5this page
- Sacred Heart Pioneers vs. Fairfield StagsFairfield Stags won
- Sacred Heart Pioneers vs. Fairfield Stags: O/U 156.5Under won
- Sacred Heart Pioneers vs. Fairfield Stags: O/U 159.5Under won
- Spread: Fairfield Stags (-4.5)Fairfield Stags won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.