TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Sacred Heart Pioneers vs. Fairfield Stags

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Fairfield Stagsof Sacred Heart Pioneers, Fairfield Stags
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,621
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,927

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,621 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Sacred Heart Pioneers2c5,590$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.935,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Sacred Heart Pioneers49c2,369$1,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,166.3124444.7%109 W · 135 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Fairfield Stags71c1,840$1,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.8449345.4%224 W · 269 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Fairfield Stags66c1,394$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.942,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Sacred Heart Pioneers2c1,313$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3014930.2%45 W · 104 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Fairfield Stags67c1,280$863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.971,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Sacred Heart Pioneers36c1,260$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.0839742.8%170 W · 227 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Sacred Heart Pioneers36c971.95$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.5334943.3%151 W · 198 L-15.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers33c934.43$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.3612251.6%63 W · 59 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Sacred Heart Pioneers37c825.58$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.81,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcaa4…2229backed Sacred Heart Pioneers1c796.35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9130%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Sacred Heart Pioneers43c757.9$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.212,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf08…9f3fbacked Fairfield Stags67c700$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2312751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers34c519.97$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.3955532.8%182 W · 373 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Sacred Heart Pioneers31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1552,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Fairfield Stags69c424.57$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.961,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Fairfield Stags56c394.73$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.963,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers33c381.82$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12612,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers32c375$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12050745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe545…5bacbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers47c364.13$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.5610347.6%49 W · 54 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Sacred Heart Pioneers49c356.1$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.523,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Fairfield Stags67c312.33$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0730649%150 W · 156 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Sacred Heart Pioneers34c299.99$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1022,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Sacred Heart Pioneers34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbcd…7ab2backed Fairfield Stags74c272.69$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.811973.7%14 W · 5 L+4.7wins+0.25per pick49cpaid+53.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Sacred Heart Pioneers33c232.78$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.0881528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9f8…e913backed Sacred Heart Pioneers33c224.24$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7425049.2%123 W · 127 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Sacred Heart Pioneers46c217.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.571,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ff4…743dbacked Fairfield Stags63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7414451.4%74 W · 70 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Sacred Heart Pioneers33c199.95$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.981,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Sacred Heart Pioneers37c183$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.9217627.8%49 W · 127 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf72…b4a6backed Fairfield Stags68c172.31$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.319470.2%66 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5083350.2%418 W · 415 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b84…48e3backed Fairfield Stags68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.065427.8%15 W · 39 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-31.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c15…45a0backed Fairfield Stags69c146.1$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.273756.8%21 W · 16 L+0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x586d…fb12backed Fairfield Stags38c146.05$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.9918557.8%107 W · 78 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Sacred Heart Pioneers34c139.03$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.081,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Fairfield Stags59c126.5$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0670349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Fairfield Stags66c109.53$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.242,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Sacred Heart Pioneers33c88.54$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9699045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Fairfield Stags47c82$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.893247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bf4…fde8backed Fairfield Stags61c81.15$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.941060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4a3…bce8backed Sacred Heart Pioneers33c78$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.74540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Fairfield Stags66c75.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.764,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Fairfield Stags59c73.79$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.134,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers22c71.66$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9287047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers33c71.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.624340.7%99 W · 144 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe29e…fa35backed Sacred Heart Pioneers55c62.77$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.526342.9%27 W · 36 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-21.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Sacred Heart Pioneers33c60.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8992246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Sacred Heart Pioneers43c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.761,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Fairfield Stags68c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.264658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Fairfield Stags60c55$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.032,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1ca…e0f0backed Sacred Heart Pioneers35c54.29$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2771…896ebacked Fairfield Stags66c53.03$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.032100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+118.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1b5…2e74backed Sacred Heart Pioneers33c52.11$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0819860.1%119 W · 79 L+15.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+18.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Fairfield Stags51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0223544.7%105 W · 130 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71ac…5fd6backed Fairfield Stags66c49$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.667656.6%43 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Sacred Heart Pioneers31c46.72$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2570936.1%256 W · 453 L-27.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ca6…4b74backed Sacred Heart Pioneers33c46.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.45514.5%8 W · 47 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-63.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x556c…5b77backed Sacred Heart Pioneers49c38.32$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.785844.8%26 W · 32 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c47…7a9fbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers34c30$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.29035.6%32 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick35cpaid+18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a2b…cb3abacked Fairfield Stags62c29.03$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.036549.2%32 W · 33 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers49c29$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1831666.1%209 W · 107 L+24.8wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Fairfield Stags69c23.03$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.1436845.7%168 W · 200 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98fe…bc9ebacked Fairfield Stags68c17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.37580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+49%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.